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re: Things aren't looking good for Louisiana's RE market

Posted on 1/25/16 at 5:10 pm to
Posted by southernelite
Dallas
Member since Sep 2009
53151 posts
Posted on 1/25/16 at 5:10 pm to
If they end the film tax credits, New Orleans could be the next Detroit.
Posted by Linkovich
crater lake
Member since Feb 2007
9541 posts
Posted on 1/25/16 at 5:24 pm to
There is nothing in the Lake Charles market for real estate and what is on the market is absurdly priced.
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167089 posts
Posted on 1/25/16 at 5:43 pm to
Yea the LC RE market shouldn't slow down anytime soon no matter what happens with the rest of the state.
Posted by Athanatos
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2010
8141 posts
Posted on 1/25/16 at 5:51 pm to
New Orleans Suffers from the following:

High crime
High taxes
High insurance
High water
Low wages
Low levees
Poor education
Et cetera
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 1/25/16 at 10:30 pm to
fair points, i would find hard to raise a family here.

it does seem to me that the city is booming, despite the other issues.
Posted by Sneaky__Sally
Member since Jul 2015
12364 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 6:56 am to
The city is booming, but there have been a ton of high end apartments that are recently finished and under construction. I have already started to see rents dropping for some of these projects compared with roughly one year ago.

Another thing that I personally think will play a big role in the local residential market is that most of the larger multi-family projects were done with historic tax credits. Once the associated five year holding period expires many owners plan to sell them off as condo units as an exit strategy.

I think lower rents and an influx of high end condominium units may loosen the demand for some of the older single family homes.
Posted by Sneaky__Sally
Member since Jul 2015
12364 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 6:58 am to
Actually towards Audubon but I don't want to say too much

Are you talking about the rumored student housing near Nashville?
Posted by Halftrack
The Wild Blue Yonder
Member since Apr 2015
2763 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 8:35 am to
What if they legalize marijuana and prostitution? Won't that provide more good-paying jobs and taxes to help the real estate market?
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97614 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 9:31 am to
quote:

it does seem to me that the city is booming, despite the other issues.




pretty much the definition of a bubble
Posted by Tigerfan19
Member since Mar 2004
2118 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 9:41 am to
Stout

Me and the wife purchased .5 acre in Youngsville, planning on building there this year.
Due to the O&G Industry I'm actually getting out of the industry now and not waiting to get laid off. Getting into the financial business so at first I will be taking a pay cut. I've been following the real estate market closely looking at foreclosures etc.
You think I should just hold onto the property and look into purchasing a home at a reduced price instead of building? Only saying this b/c it looks as though I may be able to find a really nice home for a great price
I can still use the value of the property as my down payment or just try and sell the property outright as well.
Just looking for your thoughts. I have a friend in the RE business who has his eye out for homes, just wanted another opinion on someone who may be more taped in.
TIA
Posted by hungryone
river parishes
Member since Sep 2010
11987 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 10:08 am to
quote:

I've been following the real estate market closely looking at foreclosures etc.
You think I should just hold onto the property and look into purchasing a home at a reduced price instead of building? Only saying this b/c it looks as though I may be able to find a really nice home for a great price

In a word, YES. Wait a bit longer, and you'll get some excellent deals, esp in Youngsville.
Posted by stout
Smoking Crack with Hunter Biden
Member since Sep 2006
167089 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 10:09 am to
I'd ask your friend that knows that market better than I do. I invest in the LC market and also happen to manage a lot of homes in a lot of states for banks so my interest lies purely in that but I would expect that there will be plenty of inventory and fewer buyers in the Laffy area soon. That's just what happens when bubbles pop. It's just hard to know for sure what that timeline will be and if it fits inline with yours.

The other thing to consider is that you may be able to build fairly cheap if there are contractors not building specs due to the slow down and looking for work.
Posted by Tigerfan19
Member since Mar 2004
2118 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 10:30 am to
quote:

I'd ask your friend that knows that market better than I do. I invest in the LC market and also happen to manage a lot of homes in a lot of states for banks so my interest lies purely in that but I would expect that there will be plenty of inventory and fewer buyers in the Laffy area soon. That's just what happens when bubbles pop. It's just hard to know for sure what that timeline will be and if it fits inline with yours.


Ok, sorry about that I thought you dealt w/RE in this market exclusively.

quote:

The other thing to consider is that you may be able to build fairly cheap if there are contractors not building specs due to the slow down and looking for work.


My wife's uncle was going to build our home, he's a great contractor that would build the house quite under the normal sq ft dollar amount for that location. Which is why I purchased the property so I would be able to flip the home in 10 years.
Just started to change my thinking b/c of the excess amount of homes that may be coming onto the market soon. I was also thinking of holding onto the property if possible.
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97614 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 10:33 am to
if existing home prices drop then the price to build won't be far behind it
Posted by eng08
Member since Jan 2013
5997 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 11:18 am to
I am begging my parents to sell the house I grew up in in lakeview. I know they could make a bundle right now and I don't want them to miss it.
Posted by rocket31
Member since Jan 2008
41819 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

pretty much the definition of a bubble


but none of those issues are "new" - and the housing market continues to soar


so, in other words, people have been moving to new orleans in droves despite the bad - whats gonna make them stop?
This post was edited on 1/26/16 at 10:32 pm
Posted by tes fou
Member since Feb 2014
838 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 11:09 pm to
quote:

doesn't have the jobs to support current prices


Thats what I keep saying, the math never lies. When you look at total cost including maintenance and taxes and insurance the numbers just don't add up in New Orleans.

Posted by Paul Allen
Montauk, NY
Member since Nov 2007
75132 posts
Posted on 1/26/16 at 11:18 pm to
Numbers don't add up in Baton Rouge either. Drive down Old Perkins make a left on highland and drive all the way to campus and you'll see a myriad of homes well in excess of $600,000. A friend from Dallas asked where do people in Baton Rouge work to afford these estates?
Posted by yellowfin
Coastal Bar
Member since May 2006
97614 posts
Posted on 1/27/16 at 6:53 am to
The "new" part is the soaring real estate prices. Those problem were always there but real estate was also affordable.
Posted by LSUAfro
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2005
12775 posts
Posted on 1/27/16 at 8:09 am to
quote:

Drive down Old Perkins make a left on highland and drive all the way to campus and you'll see a myriad of homes well in excess of $600,000. A friend from Dallas asked where do people in Baton Rouge work to afford these estates?


A 45 year old couple making $150k+/year living in a 250k(they bought for $200k)home, been paying on a house for 20 years and sells that house, puts them in a $500k home with damn near the same note they had in their prior house when they roll their equity over.

Really not very baffling.
quote:


A friend from Dallas asked where do people in Baton Rouge work to afford these estates?

BR has a very strong middle-middle upper class job market.

BR lacks an abundance of the upper-crust jobs. Not enough corporate HQs here.
This post was edited on 1/27/16 at 8:10 am
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