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C
Atlanta Falcons Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
24177 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
LINK

updated as of a few minutes ago. Still in first


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
90554 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
You omitted PlanoPrivateer's oil prediction.

When you include it, $95.00, he has the Gold Medal with a deviation of 8.95% to your 9.41%.



C
Atlanta Falcons Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
24177 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
Ok just added his. Which price listing are we going to use? Right now we are virtually tied.


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
90554 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
quote:

Which price listing are we going to use?

CNBC-US Markets: As of 5 PM CST 12/31/12

Overall Best Average Predictions:
Gold Medal: PlanoPrivateer: 9.16% average deviation
Silver Medal: C: 9.20% average deviation
Bronze Medal: lynxcat: 10.02% average deviation

DJ30: Actual = 13,104.14
Gold Medal: LSUtoOmaha: (Prediction 13,094.62) .07% deviation
Silver Medal: LSURussian: (Prediction 13,250.00) 1.11% deviation
Bronze Medal: PlanoPrivateer: (Prediction 12,800.00) 2.32% deviation

S&P500: Actual = 1,426.19
Gold Medal: C: (Prediction 1,430.00) .27% deviation
Silver Medal: LSU0358: (Prediction 1,400.00) 1.84% deviation
Bronze Medal: Chris Farley: (Prediction 1,480.00) 3.77% deviation

NASDAQ: Actual = 3,019.51
Gold Medal: LSURussian & lynxcat (tie) (Prediction 2,950.00) 2.3% deviation
Bronze Medal: C: (Prediction 3,100.00) 2.67% deviation

EUR/$: Actual = $1.3197
Gold Medal: PlanoPrivateer: (Prediction $1.2500) 5.28% deviation
Silver Medal: LSU0358: (Prediction $1.4000) 6.08% deviation
Bronze Medal: GumboPot: (Prediction $1.23) 6.80% deviation

10 Year Bond: Actual = 1.761%
Gold Medal: LSU0358: (Prediction 1.80%) 2.21% deviation
Silver Medal: ProjectPat: (Prediction 2.0%) 10.73% deviation
Bronze Medal: Tigress & PlanoPrivateer (tie) (Prediction 2.000%) 13.57% deviation

30 Year Bond: Actual = 2.953%
Gold Medal: ProjectPat: (Prediction 2.950%) .10% deviation
Silver Medal: Tigress: (Prediction 3.000%) 1.59% deviation
Bronze Medal: LSU0358 (Prediction 2.8000%) 5.18% deviation

Gold: Actual = $1,675.80/oz
Gold Medal: Zilla: (Prediction $1,650.00) 1.54% deviation
Silver Medal: C & ProjectPat (tie) (Prediction $1,500.00) 10.49% deviation

Silver: Actual = $30.227/oz
Gold Medal: GumboPot: (Prediction $34.00) 12.48%% deviation
Silver Medal: ProjectPat (Prediction $26.00) 13.98%% deviation
Bronze Medal: PlanoPrivateer (Prediction $25.20) 16.63%% deviation

Oil: Actual = 91.82
Gold Medal: LSURussian & Tigress (tie) (Prediction $90.00) 1.982% deviation
Bronze Medal: PlanoPrivateer & Chris Farley (tie) (Prediction $95.00) 3.46% deviation

Best Single Category Prediction: LSUtoOmaha: Dow Jones 30, Prediction of 13,094.62, actual = 13,104.14 for a deviation of .07%!


Worst Single Category Prediction: goodgrin: Silver, Prediction of $65.00/oz, actual = $30.227/oz for a deviation of 115.04%!


Thanks to everyone for playing!


C
Atlanta Falcons Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
24177 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
Really surprised at the bump oil had over the last few weeks. Was feeling really good about my 85$ prediction...


lynxcat
Rutgers Fan
Member since Jan 2008
17075 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
I'll take the bronze


C
Atlanta Falcons Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
24177 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
Funny thing, I just added the beginning prices for 2012 to the bottom of the spreadsheet and got a 7.12% deviation... not sure what it really means.


LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
90554 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
Wouldn't that mean that prices changed by an average of 7.12% since 12/31/11?


Chris Farley
Maryland Fan
Regulating
Member since Sep 2009
3992 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
I got 3rd in the only two things I have actual big ETF positions in, S&P and Oil. I'm a wizard.


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C
Atlanta Falcons Fan
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Dec 2007
24177 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
Haha I meant what it means as an indication for how we predicted. Are we predicting way to much volatility vs reality?


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Projectpat
Texas A&M Fan
Houston, TX
Member since Sep 2011
8538 posts

re: Predict the 12/31/2012 prices...(Winners on page 6)
quote:

Gold Medal: ProjectPat: (Prediction 2.950%) .10% deviation




WHIFFED on the market indices.
This post was edited on 1/10 at 7:45 pm


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