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PM and Altria

Posted on 4/28/16 at 1:47 pm
Posted by GREENHEAD22
Member since Nov 2009
19580 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 1:47 pm
Who is the fella always touting these two? I picked up a small amount of both recently and wondering what his thoughts on them are.
Posted by Grits N Shrimp
Kansas City, MO
Member since Dec 2014
646 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

fella


Nice touch.

Bigfella
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18870 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 2:16 pm to
Reynolds seems like the better deal at the moment.

Are you referring to this old thread?
This post was edited on 4/28/16 at 2:18 pm
Posted by L S Usetheforce
Member since Jun 2004
22742 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 3:45 pm to
To BigFellas credit I bought it at 31.......... Haven't looked back
Posted by Grits N Shrimp
Kansas City, MO
Member since Dec 2014
646 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 4:00 pm to
Devil's advocate to someone looking to open a position today. PM has a payout ratio of 90% and MO is 75%. There isn't a ton of room to grow that dividend unless profits increase.

Distribution of marijuana in a few years would certainly boost profits.

disclosure: long PM
Posted by tiger perry
Member since Dec 2009
25668 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 5:20 pm to
Big Fella. His stock advice is solid and I follow it. Buy and hold Atria and Philip Morris.
Posted by Grits N Shrimp
Kansas City, MO
Member since Dec 2014
646 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 6:39 pm to
Wonder where he went. Those PM rants were epic
Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26573 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 7:06 pm to
His Visa pick was amazing too
Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 7:14 pm to
whats up peoples. I just wanted to let some of you know that Im not really buying anymore PM or MO at these levels. The companies arent sells for me bc im not looking to incur a capital gain but they aren't buys for me bc they're at wild valuations relative to historical norms and the dividends aren't too attractive today for the growth they both will produce. With that said, I sell covered calls to add extra dividends to my portfolio on PM and MO and although they dont pay much they add nice additional dividends on a large position.

Visa is one I like bc of all the potential growth in the dividend to come but again I have a big stake already and dont really wish to add here. The market is way up there look where the SPY is for goodness sake. I do think Visa earnings could be weak this year, think about the massive drop in gasoline prices almost 50% cut means a near 50% cut for them from the sale of gasoline which is a major credit card purchase for alot of people....just something to think about my credit card fees at work have been significantly lower.

Anyways love all the names, even MCD, but still this isnt a time to add, so if i was you I wouldnt buy PM or MO here, id sell puts to get in at a better price, but MO is up 100% from when I said it was a buy. Its not like the US smoking market is a booming market, now if weed is legalized, $62 will be cheap, but for me to buy a 3.xx dividend is not the entry on a stock that was initially spun off with a 9% yield and was supposed to basically be a bond in the $18-20 range.
This post was edited on 4/28/16 at 7:17 pm
Posted by Mercy Percy
Norman Oklahoma
Member since Oct 2009
1321 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 7:36 pm to
I have had both since 2006 and I love it( in my 401k). You can beat the div and the the upward trend over the past few years!! Smokin
Posted by RunningBlake
Member since Aug 2011
4105 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 8:24 pm to
I appreciate your post.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18870 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 10:19 pm to
What do you think about RAI at a p/e of 10 and yield around 3.5?
Posted by KillTheGophers
Member since Jan 2016
6209 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 10:21 pm to
V has made me somewhat rich - thank you big fella.


Posted by dabigfella
Member since Mar 2016
6687 posts
Posted on 4/28/16 at 10:27 pm to
quote:

What do you think about RAI at a p/e of 10 and yield around 3.5?


P/E isnt always a useful metric. Reynolds is a dog, a dog with fleas. Newports and Camels are somewhat popular but the rest of their portfolio is literally just garbage:doral,pall mall,capri,carlton are the ones i know off the top of my head but the rest are just junk.

Id say in my business marlboro light, the gold pack makes up like 50%+ of cigarette sales. I mean as I do my ordering it seems like Im constantly buying more and more of that than ever. Then other marlboro products are next in popularity. Id say camel blue and camel crush are probably top 10 best sellers in terms of tobacco but nothing major.

The american cig market is just not something you wanna invest in where its at today. You just dont, its not in a growth phase or anything, but if you did want to invest in it, altria definitely owns the best brands. RAI has some solid stuff but like 90% of the names they own are just junk.

just my 2 cents.
This post was edited on 4/28/16 at 10:30 pm
Posted by Jake88
Member since Apr 2005
68015 posts
Posted on 4/29/16 at 1:55 pm to
Why do you have a new account here?
Posted by tiger perry
Member since Dec 2009
25668 posts
Posted on 4/29/16 at 2:06 pm to
I started a Chevron DRIP account with your advice in the Drip thread. I would have gone with a PM Drip, but I will own shares in a tobacco wholesale company in Lafayette so I went with Chevron due to diversification. You advice is top notch.
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