Started By
Message

re: Official Erin Energy (ERN) thread

Posted on 8/12/15 at 2:13 pm to
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 8/12/15 at 2:13 pm to
7/31 report shows 28.73% of float short. I speculate the percentage of the real, or effective float is much greater.

If you think about it, ERN doesn't have any news coming, but still, if something set this off, it would go in a hurry given the small float.
Posted by thatguy777
br
Member since Feb 2007
2384 posts
Posted on 8/12/15 at 2:58 pm to
Volume up today...I will continue to add in the coming weeks/months. I like what I am seeing.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 8/12/15 at 3:03 pm to
Tortoise always beats the hare.
Posted by Tiger Bawlz
Southeast of Disorder
Member since Dec 2007
1977 posts
Posted on 8/13/15 at 3:15 pm to


Eta: wrong board; I'm down 3% in ERN.







This post was edited on 8/13/15 at 3:20 pm
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 8:56 am to
A smidge of earnings leakage is my guess.
Posted by thatguy777
br
Member since Feb 2007
2384 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 10:01 am to
Short interest has been steadily high on this one. We expect about 40 mil in revs Q3? Maybe we get a bounce after they report.
Posted by JamalSanders
On a boat
Member since Jul 2015
12135 posts
Posted on 9/16/15 at 12:49 pm to
I'm up 4.62% right now and am buying more. I'm up 21% in MCZ and am buying more.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 4:29 pm to
Hopefuly we ripped off like a band aid both the oil prices and the short's attack piece.

I think the projection above is about right for Q3. At least $40MM in revenue, but very hard to tell if they have it hedged, less royalties and at what premium over brent they're getting for the crude.

Maybe .20 per share? Does that sound right at bout $42-$43MM?
Posted by thatguy777
br
Member since Feb 2007
2384 posts
Posted on 9/17/15 at 4:36 pm to
Sounds right. I have been thinking the pps would slowly increase into Q3 report then bounce after. Hard to tell with current prices of oil. we will see soon enough.
Posted by thatguy777
br
Member since Feb 2007
2384 posts
Posted on 9/18/15 at 7:12 pm to
Interesting bounce at close today. Have a good weekend everyone! Go Tigers!
Posted by JamalSanders
On a boat
Member since Jul 2015
12135 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 11:14 am to
Lead brick today.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 3:26 pm to
Q3, and finishing the cy/fy with profits is the game here.

Navy, taxi cabs for the Marine Corp.
Posted by JamalSanders
On a boat
Member since Jul 2015
12135 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 4:15 pm to
quote:

Q3, and finishing the cy/fy with profits is the game here.


I'm still wet behind the ears with this investing stuff. That's why I don't have more than $50 in any stock I directly control.

quote:

Navy, taxi cabs for the Marine Corp.


A Marine is a cheap dog. It's amazing what you can get one to do for you if you just feed it.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 9/21/15 at 8:43 pm to
Hmmm
Posted by thatguy777
br
Member since Feb 2007
2384 posts
Posted on 9/23/15 at 11:23 am to
insider selling going on causing the price to drop...
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 9/30/15 at 5:50 am to
I wonder if Glencore had something to do with this?

I have to admit, I'm anxious to see Q3, especially since Glencore's news.

Kase Lawal in a business relationship with Glencore? This probably shouldn't come as a surprise to anyone who knows the history.

Some rumblings out there about Glencore's ethics.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 10/5/15 at 5:38 pm to
LINK

Will they ever get it out of the ground, and how long will it take?

Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 10/7/15 at 8:23 am to
A block of 21K went yesterday close to open. As I do a pro forma cash flow statement, it seems to me they can make it for a while.

I'm interested in everyone's take on this, as well as thoughts about the comments on the joint venture.

Bueller?
Posted by JamalSanders
On a boat
Member since Jul 2015
12135 posts
Posted on 10/7/15 at 10:35 am to
quote:

A block of 21K went yesterday close to open. As I do a pro forma cash flow statement


Not entirely sure what either of these mean. Little help.
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 10/7/15 at 6:13 pm to
21K shares moved in one trade yesterday between 9-10AM IIRC.

An estimated cash flow based on projected Q3 earning, the present price of oil, etc.. To see if they can somehow manage to stay open, which I don't think is an issue, and have some funds left to drill for the at least 1BB barrels of oil they own drilling rights on. At least a billion, that's just based on the new 500MM they recently verified, and the rest at Oyo. Probably a lot more. I lost track, and although I'm from Iowa, I'm not quite Superman keeping track of every detail. If we had Superman at WR, we would be in the T10 by season's end. Our offensive tackles will be fine. Thanks for asking. We seem to always be able to take 1 star recruits and turn them into Outland Trophy winners, and multi millionaires in the NFL. And they graduate up here also. Laffy! It has a lot to do with the fact we eat USDA Prime, and not USDA crappy Choice steaks on a daily basis. I had some absolutely fantastic Wagyu the other day.

They made some comments in their release about their search for a joint venture as they sit on a lot of oil, and will need help drilling for it.

I pay attention because I have my money in it. I ask if anyone has seen Bueller becuase I'm stunned how many people put money in something without any research or ongoing due diligence.

After Q3, and then after profitability I'll post laffy links. Because that's what I do. When I'm not working, which I still am at 6PM. But I still manage a moment to check my money. Because I'm weird I guess.

The comment about the Marine Corp above I chose to take in a friendly joking sort of way. I like the Navy, but not the know it all Navy guy on the political threads.

B1G > SEC FTW!

Laffy Taffy right here in Iowa.

Jump to page
Page First 19 20 21 22 23 ... 26
Jump to page
first pageprev pagePage 21 of 26Next pagelast page

Back to top
logoFollow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News
Follow us on Twitter, Facebook and Instagram to get the latest updates on LSU Football and Recruiting.

FacebookTwitterInstagram