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re: LINE/LNCO - Anyone with an opinion?

Posted on 7/8/15 at 9:57 pm to
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12574 posts
Posted on 7/8/15 at 9:57 pm to
I think you are seeing a double doosy on LINE right now for 3 reasons. Even though they are well hedged:

1. the possible fed yield hike looming in the distance has the MLP's nose diving. (look at EPD, EEP)
2. They are part of the Alerian MLP ETF which has been getting pounded the last quarter or two
3. Oil/NG is down
Posted by whodatigahbait
Uptown
Member since Oct 2007
1744 posts
Posted on 7/9/15 at 7:48 am to
quote:

1. the possible fed yield hike looming in the distance has the MLP's nose diving. (look at EPD, EEP)
2. They are part of the Alerian MLP ETF which has been getting pounded the last quarter or two
3. Oil/NG is down


Ummmm no. It's the opposite the Alerian MLP is nose diving because the individuals constituents that make up the index are down (EPD. EEP. LINE etc. ) not the other way around.

The index follows the individual stocks the stocks don't follow the index.
Posted by b-rab2
N. Louisiana
Member since Dec 2005
12574 posts
Posted on 7/9/15 at 8:43 am to
Um yes. The stocks in the index are also a slave to the index. So if half of the stocks in the index are taking a beating, the index will be negative and will drag the rest of the "good" stocks down with it.

I'm not saying that LINE is "good" but the ETF going down also having an effect on the nose dive that LINE is having.
This post was edited on 7/9/15 at 9:26 am
Posted by whodatigahbait
Uptown
Member since Oct 2007
1744 posts
Posted on 7/9/15 at 12:15 pm to
quote:

Um yes. The stocks in the index are also a slave to the index. So if half of the stocks in the index are taking a beating, the index will be negative and will drag the rest of the "good" stocks down with it.

I'm not saying that LINE is "good" but the ETF going down also having an effect on the nose dive that LINE is having.


you could not be more wrong. An index measures the performance of a basket of independent stocks. each stocks performance is an independent of one another and has no bearing on each other's performance. The performance of the index is based off the composite of all the stocks in the indices' performance, if the index goes down it's because the majority of the stocks in the index are going down. HOWEVER, in the case of a most indices the correlation between all the stocks are close to 1 so therefore they all move in unison. In this case, MLPs for the most part recently have moved in the same direction as one another (albeit maybe not in the same magnitude) that is why Linn is down with the index. There is no "bad" names bringing linn down with.
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 7/9/15 at 2:24 pm to
I think you are trying to explain beta.

You are not doing that well.
This post was edited on 7/9/15 at 2:24 pm
Posted by whodatigahbait
Uptown
Member since Oct 2007
1744 posts
Posted on 7/9/15 at 3:07 pm to
quote:

I think you are trying to explain beta.

You are not doing that well.



i'm trying to explain how an index performance works, and it is purely based on it's constituents not the other way around....that is all.
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 7/9/15 at 3:21 pm to
I was replyingn to B Rab.

You are correct whodat.
Posted by whodatigahbait
Uptown
Member since Oct 2007
1744 posts
Posted on 7/9/15 at 3:31 pm to
quote:

I was replyingn to B Rab.

You are correct whodat.


my bad.....
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2471 posts
Posted on 7/17/15 at 9:19 am to
Brutal 2 weeks. Is the market foretelling another distribution cut?
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2471 posts
Posted on 7/20/15 at 9:36 am to
Sweet baby jesus, what an absolute bloodbath this morning - small cap E&P's getting destroyed.

Posted by whodatigahbait
Uptown
Member since Oct 2007
1744 posts
Posted on 7/30/15 at 8:01 am to
LINE to suspend distribution....oops
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 7/30/15 at 1:20 pm to
Don't buy it today. Wait a little longer and it will be free.
This post was edited on 7/30/15 at 1:21 pm
Posted by sneakytiger
Member since Oct 2007
2471 posts
Posted on 8/3/15 at 11:22 am to
The analyst coverage I read this morning basically said the same thing. At this point the value of their assets is equal to their liabilities... investing in this is akin to buying a call option on crude
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 8/3/15 at 12:38 pm to
I've become numb to the pain at this point.
Posted by eng08
Member since Jan 2013
5997 posts
Posted on 8/3/15 at 12:47 pm to
I'm still holding on for hope.
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 8/3/15 at 1:09 pm to
Not even worth me selling at this point.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 8/3/15 at 2:11 pm to
A lot of local people are feeling the same way with Petroquest and Stone Energy.
Posted by TheHiddenFlask
The Welsh red light district
Member since Jul 2008
18384 posts
Posted on 8/3/15 at 3:47 pm to
Jumped into PQ at $2.05. My portfolio is a flaming pile of crap. I Usually have enough diversify to avoid this kind of destruction, but I've doubled down 3 times and I'm 70% energy now.

I'll look like a genius if this thing rebounds and I'll be a complete fool if it doesn't.
Posted by Janky
Team Primo
Member since Jun 2011
35957 posts
Posted on 8/3/15 at 4:05 pm to
quote:

Jumped into PQ at $2.05. My portfolio is a flaming pile of crap. I Usually have enough diversify to avoid this kind of destruction, but I've doubled down 3 times and I'm 70% energy now.


That is brutal. Imagine how rich you would be if you had 70% in healthcare stocks.
Posted by cwill
Member since Jan 2005
54718 posts
Posted on 8/3/15 at 9:34 pm to
Anyone holding an MLP E&P after 11/2014 doesn't understand MLPs.
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