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Can anyone explain what's going on with Coffee?

Posted on 4/21/17 at 9:45 am
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18848 posts
Posted on 4/21/17 at 9:45 am
I like to follow this Barclays ETN called JO, which tracks the commodity futures.

For the past year some long swing trades could have been made on this one. From $18 to 23, from $20 to $25, then back down to $18 and up to $22 again.
So we're looking at a range of about 20% in just a few months. Well, after peaking at $22.23 in January it sits below $18 now...but I'm just wondering why the sudden decrease?? I'ts dropped 10% in two days! ...and I've read that coffee is scarce this year
I love to drink the stuff, but the global market isn't my forte. Help anyone?





Posted by rb
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
5633 posts
Posted on 4/21/17 at 9:56 am to
Low supply shouldn't be fueling the downward slide ? Looks like an opportunity to me.
This post was edited on 4/21/17 at 9:58 am
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18848 posts
Posted on 4/21/17 at 10:07 am to
quote:

Low supply shouldn't be fueling the downward slide ? Looks like an opportunity to me.

My thoughts as well...I bought 55 shares
Posted by auisssa
Member since Feb 2010
4153 posts
Posted on 4/21/17 at 10:17 am to
This probably wont help answer your questions, but it's an interesting article to me.

Coffee

And I agree that this looks like a great buying opportunity.
Posted by tigerbaiter1033
USA
Member since Nov 2011
2296 posts
Posted on 4/21/17 at 10:19 am to
I'm not experienced buying ETN's. Is there a maturation date or a hold period before you sell?
Posted by Iowa Golfer
Heaven
Member since Dec 2013
10229 posts
Posted on 4/21/17 at 11:20 am to
When does it roll the single front month futre's contract it owns?

That's one possible explanation. Also, wouldn't the cruve have steepened and wouldn't there be contango?

It's a note, I'd trade its options around its underlying trading months - HKNUZ
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18848 posts
Posted on 4/21/17 at 11:28 am to
Thanks for the options suggestion, but the only thing I know about contango and backwardation is that they are BAD!
This one isn't 3x leveraged so I was thinking there wouldn't be a huge contango impact.
Posted by bovine1
Walnut Ridge,AR via Tallulah,LA
Member since Dec 2004
1273 posts
Posted on 4/21/17 at 5:55 pm to
LINK
Scroll down on this page and you can see all the global coffee news.
Posted by bayoubengals88
LA
Member since Sep 2007
18848 posts
Posted on 6/2/17 at 12:54 pm to
Hot damn. $16.97 now...
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