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Automotive Stocks

Posted on 8/18/15 at 10:51 am
Posted by LSU1018
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2007
7215 posts
Posted on 8/18/15 at 10:51 am
What do yall currently think of the auto industry? I was looking at GM and Ford. I think I was leaning more towards GM. Both have dividends over 4%.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37694 posts
Posted on 8/18/15 at 10:57 am to
I honestly don't think in 10 years we will be buying vehicles at the same rate we do now. When automated driving becomes the norm, most people who live in the city will have no need for their own vehicle. Ridesharing will take over in my opinion.

Posted by LSUtoOmaha
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
26574 posts
Posted on 8/18/15 at 11:24 am to
Let's hope so. Humans are so bad at driving and technology seems destined to take over in this space. The real question is, how do we capitalize on it, investment wise. You would think Google is in the best position, but they are so big and their valuations are impossible to understand.
Posted by I Love Bama
Alabama
Member since Nov 2007
37694 posts
Posted on 8/18/15 at 11:31 am to
Uber, Google, Apple and Tesla appear to see it coming and are planning accordingly. I've got no idea how to play the investment side of things.
Posted by Korkstand
Member since Nov 2003
28703 posts
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:34 pm to
Think along the lines of the companies that make the sensors and electronics (MBLY, STM...), mapping, comm towers (anybody other than AMT?), and later on trucking companies (if the unions don't derail that).
Posted by Delacroix
Member since Oct 2008
3985 posts
Posted on 8/18/15 at 12:35 pm to
I would imagine it would be a very long, drawn out transition from manual driving to self-driving cars. You would likely have plenty of time to readjust your assets down the road.
Posted by Jag_Warrior
Virginia
Member since May 2015
4080 posts
Posted on 8/18/15 at 6:16 pm to
I agree. And despite some Silicone Valley players entering the game, I believe it will continue to be the traditional automotive OEMs that will dominate the industry. There will be (and is) technology from the high techs in cars. But the water will still be carried by the Fords, GMs, Toyotas, Mercedes, etc. of the world. In fact, if Tim Cook gets it wrong, I see this foray into the automotive space as a major risk to Apple going forward. Playing with cars can eat up even the biggest cash pile. Even Tesla is no threat to the major OEMs. It's a fun company to follow and I see more than a few innovations coming out of Tesla. But they don't have BMW or even poor old GM sweating bullets.

That said, I rode Tata Motors for a nice gain up until about 2014. That's the new owner of Jaguar and Land Rover. Right now I'm back in Ford and got into Fuji Heavy Industries (Subaru) earlier this year. Subaru's continued sales records have been impressive. Honda and Toyota are steady plays, but I don't have a position in either. And I see GM as a rudderless ship. As soon as they get something semi-fixed, within a year or two, it's screwed up again (e.g., Cadillac).

For shizzles & giggles, I'll go for a few shares of Ferrari, after it settles down post IPO. That's just a vanity play though, not a true investment.
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