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Worried about Predictability

Posted on 10/11/10 at 5:56 pm
Posted by TigerFlash
Baton Rouge, Louisiana
Member since Mar 2006
391 posts
Posted on 10/11/10 at 5:56 pm
I could be wrong but I believe LSU ran the ball on first down 9 out of 10 times in the second half, the only time it passed was on the first down after the fake field goal. Most of those runs netted less than three yards putting us second and long and then third and long. To me this is part of the reason our offense has difficulty moving the ball consistently.
Posted by TigerFlash
Baton Rouge, Louisiana
Member since Mar 2006
391 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 9:53 am to
Well with all the bitching everybody did about our offense the last couple of weeks, I can't believe nobody else sees this as a problem.
Posted by RedPop4
Santiago de Compostela
Member since Jan 2005
14394 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 9:54 am to
:kige:
My friends and I were calling "up the middle" nearly every play. And yes, they switched sides and gaps, but it was almost all between the tackles, as you observed.
Posted by jakedel12
Dallas, Texas
Member since Nov 2006
1449 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 9:55 am to
and we still won....

Posted by Swat5
Houston
Member since May 2010
2417 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 9:57 am to
I know i was screaming that you cant win when you play to not lose. Well..we played not to lose in the second half, but we somehow still won.

I hope we get more aggressive with a lead in the future. you just cant sit on a lead against the big boys and expect to win all the time.

Posted by ANAKINSKY
colorado
Member since Jan 2005
6138 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 9:59 am to
what predictability?

run, run, pass
run, run, pass
run, run, pass
run, run, pass
run, run, pass
run, run, pass
run, run, pass
run, run, pass
Posted by nycajun
Nothin' could be finer.....
Member since Dec 2004
18183 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 10:01 am to
Predictability is a good thing. Because once the other team assumes it can predict what you're going to do, you have the ability, in the right situation, to catch them unprepared for what you really do.
Posted by RedPop4
Santiago de Compostela
Member since Jan 2005
14394 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 10:03 am to
It's a little different when the runs are going for 5 or more yards per attempt. Then you're steamrolling to first downs and affecting confidence. LSU was not able to do this, and instead were averaging 2-3 yards per carry, it's a sizable difference.
Posted by tigerinridgeland
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2006
7635 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 10:04 am to
When was the last time we didn't complain about this? Same criticism was leveled when Jimbo Fisher was the OC. When was the last time that LSU's 1st down play calling wasn't considered predictable?
This post was edited on 10/12/10 at 10:05 am
Posted by RedPop4
Santiago de Compostela
Member since Jan 2005
14394 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 10:07 am to
No doubt.
Posted by blueTunaTiger
Gulf of Mexico, USA
Member since Feb 2009
3696 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 10:07 am to
quote:

what predictability? run, run, pass run, run, pass run, run, pass run, run, pass run, run, pass run, run, pass run, run, pass run, run, pass


Before JLee, absolutely. Even defensive players were hinting to this for the last 18 games. Personnel packages as the primary indicator. But with JLee, It's a whole different ballgame.
Posted by tigerinridgeland
Mississippi
Member since Aug 2006
7635 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 10:09 am to
For the record, no offense was likely seen as more predictable most of the time than it was under McClendon, with the exception of the some of the games against Ole Miss.
Posted by Jaydeaux
Covington
Member since May 2005
18746 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 10:12 am to
True but we went up two scores only to give up a kickoff return for a TD. It's a non factor when special teams hold up. Run it get ahead by 2 scores and get out with the win
Posted by Suntiger
BR or somewhere else
Member since Feb 2007
32856 posts
Posted on 10/12/10 at 10:22 am to
My observations of our offenses predictability.

It's pretty predictable that JJ will get the first two series and Lee will get every other series after that until Lee gets the ball with in the ten yard line then Jefferson will come in.

Lee will not run. Jefferson will more than likely run. Jefferson will throw at least one interception per game.

If Blue is in the game with Jefferson, it is likely an option.

We run on 1st down 100% of the time.
We run on 2nd down about 75% of the time.
We run on 3rd down about 12% of the time.

Shep will run the jet sweep once, maybe, maybe, maybe twice, but after that the defense doesn't have to worry about it anymore.

The TE is open a lot.

If it's third and 20+, we will probably run a draw.


Anything I missed?
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