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Statistics: Why LSU will beat Wisconsin: A response to Wisc Trolls

Posted on 8/21/14 at 5:55 pm
Posted by WAR TIGER
Death Valley
Member since Oct 2005
4051 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 5:55 pm
I have looked at a few aspects of the game and I feel pretty confident about an LSU Victory. Here's why:

1. OPENING GAMES
Yes, LSU and Wisconsin are both 5-0 in the last five openers. There are two differences between the teams though. A. LSU treats opening games like a season opening 'bowl game' (So, LSU will absolutely be prepared). B. Who we have played:
WISC --> UMASS, N. IOWA, UNLV, UNLV & N. ILL
LSU --> TCU, N. Texas, Oregon, UNC, Washington

Simply put, Wisconsin will not be ready.

2. SIMILAR OPPONENTS FOR COMPARISON:
At a quick glance over the last 7 years, I noted four teams that we have both played:
OREGON, SOUTH CAROLINA, TCU, OHIO STATE
RECORD? LSU 4-0 (with a NC over Ohio State)
WISC 0-4 (I acknowledge that I only looked briefly at schedule for this. Because I'm sure wisconsin beat Ohio State once or twice in that time. Maybe.

3. RECORD VERSUS RANKED TEAMS:
How far back should we geaux? I looked at the last 7 seasons for a comparison of win/loss ratio for end-of-season ranked opponents. Here are the facts:
Losses to ranked opponents:
WISCONSIN 17
LSU 15

Pretty close comparison in my opinion......
Until you look at wins versus ranked opponents!

Wins over ranked opponents:
WISONSIN 9
LSU 29

So, over the last 7 years against ranked opponents Wisconsin is 9-17 and LSU is 29-15!!!

Also consider that Wisconsin is 1-6 in their last 7 bowl games. LSU is 4-3 (with SEC championships and a National Championship, and a Loss in NC game).

4. LOSSES TO UNRANKED TEAMS:
Over the last 7 years, the losses are double to Wisconsin:
WISCONSIN: 10
LSU: 5 (3 of these are to Ole Piss!!)

Is it more fair to be more recent? Say just the last 4 years??
WISCONSIN: 6
LSU: 1


ALL SAID: In the last 7 years, Wisconsin simply has not faced as many ranked teams as LSU. Further, they win about 33% of those games. LSU wins 66%.
And LSU thrives in opening games against ranked opponents. Wisconsin? Not an intimidating list.

HOWEVER: I am impressed with one major factor about Wisconsin. RUSHING YARDS. They averaged 283 yards per game last season. So, I respect their ground game. Big line. Experienced. Great running backs.
On the other hand, they lost all of their front 7 on defense......going up against our O-line and great running backs will be a serious challenge!
Wisconsin might even take the lead in the first half. LSU, however, has size, speed and skill that Wisconsin rarely sees. The late third quarter and fourth quarter will belong to LSU.

No prediction on a score.
But I do predict victory!!!

GEAUX TIGERS!!!!!
This post was edited on 8/21/14 at 11:45 pm
Posted by CheerWhine
A little bit of Mardi Gras
Member since Apr 2014
71984 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 5:56 pm to
Posted by No8Easy2
& ( . ) ( . ) 's
Member since Mar 2014
11660 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:04 pm to
i fill your vibe through the interweb
Posted by LSU-DUDE
USA
Member since Apr 2013
2066 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:19 pm to
College football is upon us
Posted by Grit-Eating Shin
You're an Idiot
Member since May 2013
8432 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:20 pm to
Well done!
Posted by 8miles
slidell
Member since Oct 2005
5653 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:21 pm to
somebody did their homework.
Posted by goatmilker
Castle Anthrax
Member since Feb 2009
64060 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:21 pm to
Thats alot of work right there.
Posted by thunderbird1100
GSU Eagles fan
Member since Oct 2007
68255 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:22 pm to
Les Miles is undefeated in regular season OOC games at LSU. Nine years of never losing to an OOC team prior to the bowls.

That's the most impressive statistic out there.

35-0, and he will move to 39-0 after this season. We are currently on a 45 game Regular season OOC win streak.
Posted by Sterling Archer
Austin
Member since Aug 2012
7276 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:23 pm to
Very well done sir
Posted by BehindU
Lake Charles
Member since Mar 2014
564 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:25 pm to
Some quality post today.
Keep it going ranters
Posted by dr smartass phd
RIP 8/19
Member since Sep 2004
20387 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:26 pm to
quote:

Why LSU will beat Wisconsin


“They got a little bit different athlete running around out there,” he said. “Look at their defensive linemen. Standing next to them, walking off the field, they don’t look like a lot of the guys we see. That’s the common trait.”
Posted by plance
Baton Rouge
Member since Jan 2007
1590 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:27 pm to
Let 'er rip!

Let's get this season started already!
Posted by Geaux Tahel
Member since Feb 2006
6629 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:28 pm to
O'Noes Wisconsin trolls. No way we can win since Wisky fans said so.
Posted by themunch
Earth. maybe
Member since Jan 2007
64557 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:32 pm to
No way we win this game... freshmen everywhere and no depth anywhere.. no qb... stupid grass eater coach... no clock manager...



















































Posted by chalupa
Member since Jan 2011
6752 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:32 pm to
quote:


“They got a little bit different athlete running around out there,” he said. “Look at their defensive linemen. Standing next to them, walking off the field, they don’t look like a lot of the guys we see. That’s the common trait.”



Before reading the rest of the thread, Chip Kelly, right?
Posted by dr smartass phd
RIP 8/19
Member since Sep 2004
20387 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:33 pm to
quote:

Chip Kelly, right?


yep
Posted by jledet
Panhandle
Member since Jan 2008
4922 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:35 pm to
Great info and I like the facts.

But.......

None of that means shite for this game, or the next


Simply put this team isn't the past years. Might be better might be worse. Same for Wisconsin.


If you want to talk shite to Wisconsin just say Big Underclassman Gonna Assrape
Posted by silstang23
Bossier City, LA
Member since Oct 2007
4957 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:37 pm to
Up vote!
Posted by aaronb023
TeamBunt CEO
Member since Feb 2005
11774 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:44 pm to
Eat shite Bucky Badger!!
Posted by Hiphopanonymous
Baton rouge
Member since Jul 2014
2375 posts
Posted on 8/21/14 at 6:53 pm to
Nice work
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