Regional Projections Thread 5/1 - 5/1/12 | Page 5 | TigerDroppings.com
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Beaux
Xavier Fan
Down On The Bayou
Member since Sep 2005
4269 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1

The thing is in Kendall's poll we are number three overall but his projections we are not even a top 8 seed?


TIGER62
LSU Fan
METAIRIE, LA
Member since Aug 2005
1704 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
purdue is trying to host & will - will fine out whether they are a national seed this weekend when they play ucla, but they will not host in their stadium, going to go to fort wayne or another city


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lsufball19
LSU Fan
Germantown, TN
Member since Sep 2008
9562 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
quote:

If Florida goes at least 18-12 in the league, I would be very surprised if they don't get a national seed. I just can't see them passing over a team with that high of a RPI and that many top 50 wins.

If they lose another series the rest of the year, they shouldn't get a national seed. Their RPI is good because they've played Florida State 3 times on top of the SEC schedule. Thing is, all those FSU games have been midweek games but the RPI doesn't know the difference. If they lose to Kentucky this weekend, they have no business being a top 8 seed. They have exactly one series win over a team with a winning SEC record, and that was the first series of the SEC season.
This post was edited on 5/1 at 5:08 pm


lsufball19
LSU Fan
Germantown, TN
Member since Sep 2008
9562 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
quote:

The thing is in Kendall's poll we are number three overall but his projections we are not even a top 8 seed?

no kidding, and in his poll, Oregon is #13 (they're also around there in all but one major poll). oregon also has an RPI of 15 on NCAA.com, 16 on Warren Nolan, and 16 on Boyds World, yet Kendall has them as a #6. Really? It's like every one of these he comes out with has a formula (some teams can fit into both groups)
1) pick the few obvious teams
2) pick 2 teams from texas
3) pick 2 pac 10 teams
4) be completely stubborn with 1-2 teams that don't really deserve to be there

different year same shite. btw, that CBB Nation projection is the most ridiculous thing i've ever seen. at first glance, the top 8 and host sites don't look terrible but go read through some of the regionals, what a joke. someone was really lazy over there this week.
This post was edited on 5/1 at 5:17 pm


LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22106 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
I'm angry 19, and I shouldn't be cause these don't even matter but I don't give a shite.


lsufball19
LSU Fan
Germantown, TN
Member since Sep 2008
9562 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
i mean i can see leaving lsu out, they're definitely borderline, but Oregon? Rice? um, no. In response to your post in the other thread, yes Kendall Rogers is knowledgable as in he watches a ton of college baseball a lot and knows a lot, but in terms of his skills analyzing players and teams he sees, he's terrible, always has been. He does have a cool job, though.
This post was edited on 5/1 at 5:21 pm


lsufball19
LSU Fan
Germantown, TN
Member since Sep 2008
9562 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
If I was paid to make a projection, my top 8 would be:
1. Baylor
2. Florida St.
3. Kentucky
4. Purdue
5. LSU
6. South Carolina
7. Stanford
8. NC State


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DEANintheYAY
Cal State Fullerton Fan
LEFT COAST
Member since Jan 2008
31822 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
I think Kendall is trying to predict what the NCAA will do and therefore how he ranks LSU might not influence his projections much.


lsufball19
LSU Fan
Germantown, TN
Member since Sep 2008
9562 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
quote:

I think Kendall is trying to predict what the NCAA will do and therefore how he ranks LSU might not influence his projections much.

the ncaa is not going to have Oregon as a 6 or Rice as a 4. Neither team is ranked that high in the human or computer polls. the ncaa isn't going to give oregon a 10 spot when their rpi avg is 15.667 and poll avg is 10.8. kendall is doing what he always does, guesses based on personal, subjective biases. and then he goes full baseball nerd and uses whatever stat fits his argument. the pac 10 isn't very strong this year. he needs to just accept that.


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TigerCub
LSU Fan
Team Boxtard
Member since May 2006
14854 posts
Online

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
quote:

If they lose another series the rest of the year, they shouldn't get a national seed. Their RPI is good because they've played Florida State 3 times on top of the SEC schedule. Thing is, all those FSU games have been midweek games but the RPI doesn't know the difference. If they lose to Kentucky this weekend, they have no business being a top 8 seed. They have exactly one series win over a team with a winning SEC record, and that was the first series of the SEC season.


I'm not disagreeing with you, but top 25, top 50 wins are one of the big things the committee looks at. Has a team ever been passed over for a national seed with a top 3 RPI?


bubbz
Baylor Fan
Team Boxtard
Member since Mar 2006
18939 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
SE Baseball is out

LSU hosting paired with UNC.......


DEANintheYAY
Cal State Fullerton Fan
LEFT COAST
Member since Jan 2008
31822 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
quote:

Fullerton Regional



YES! Although, SE Baseball is normally bad.


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LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22106 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
Bubbz, in that link LSU is hosting a regional but not a Super


Hurricane Mike
LSU Fan
Member since Jun 2008
6425 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
Stanford must be doing some serious BJ'ing. 28-12, 10-8 in conference and the only people that seem to get it right is College Baseball Nation


bubbz
Baylor Fan
Team Boxtard
Member since Mar 2006
18939 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
I know...i didnt say anything about hosting a super


LSU=Champions
BAWxtard | Tier 1
Member since Apr 2004
22106 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
I know you didn't but this phrasing

quote:

LSU hosting paired with UNC.......


Almost implies it.

No worries either way.


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Dro
LSU Fan
Barrett's Barleycorn
Member since Feb 2010
11723 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
College Station Regional
Host: Texas A&M
1. Texas A&M (B12 at large) 31-13 #17
4. Rhode Island (A10 Automatic) 26019 #101
2. Arkansas (SEC at large) 31-13 #12
3. Sam Houston State (SLC Automatic) 31-12 #45







ffishstik
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Dec 2007
2879 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
It will all work it. LSU's SOS will continue to climb, they'll hit 40 wins before the SEC Tourney, and they'll gain ground.

The selection committee WILL try to limit the SEC to no more than 4 teams in Omaha, they almost always do.


lsufball19
LSU Fan
Germantown, TN
Member since Sep 2008
9562 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
quote:

Stanford must be doing some serious BJ'ing. 28-12, 10-8 in conference and the only people that seem to get it right is College Baseball Nation

go read through the regional pairings and you'll change your mind. outside of the host sites, CBB Nation did a terrible job.

Fayetteville: they're not going to give Arkansas a gift like that not being a top 8 seed
Arkansas #16
Missouri State #40
Sam Houston St #45
Delaware St #190

Houston: doubtful
Rice
Ole Miss
Texas
Jackson St

Columbia: doubtful, not just because the top 3 teams are all ranked that high but also not gonna have a regional with teams all from the same state
USC #9
Clemson #33
College of Charleston #28
USC-Upstate


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lsufball19
LSU Fan
Germantown, TN
Member since Sep 2008
9562 posts

re: Regional Projections Thread 5/1
quote:

The selection committee WILL try to limit the SEC to no more than 4 teams in Omaha, they almost always do.

well the SEC has never had more than 4 teams in Omaha, so yeah no shite.


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