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Posted by
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quote:
I suggest that you decided before you started that a poor running game was the main reason for the inept offense.
I believed that to be true, but it doesn't mean I tried to filter the data or form it to prove my assertion. I began looking at it to see if the numbers would prove my assumption.
quote:
To smugly suggest that those who think otherwise are "foolish and wrong" suggests that you put too much faith in your numbers.
I never said they were "foolish and wrong." I may have said bits and pieces of their beliefs are foolish and wrong, but I never said what you are implying.
quote:
I suppose that I must foolishly remain unconvinced by your argument.
I didn't post it with the intentions of getting 500 e-high fives. I put in the work to look at some data to see what would turn up.
Let's face it, most of the arguments on here are: "JJ sucks cause he gets sacked", "JJ sucks cause he can't throw deep" "JJ just sucks" without any real attempt to support claims other than "I saw it so I know it's true."
A lot of times those opinions are skewed. For example, people arguing that he's inaccurate. That's flatly untrue. It just is. But the entire failure of the offense causes people to magnify the performance of one or two players and argue things which actually aren't true at all.
quote:
OBUDan
Just give up. There are JJ supporters and JL supporters. I guarantee you if JL starts, those same people that wanted him to start will want to bench him after the first pick six. Same for Jefferson, they will want him in and as soon as he gets sacked and costs us a game, they will call for JL. I just want a damn running game, the hell with the qb.
quote:
I guarantee you if JL starts, those same people that wanted him to start will want to bench him after the first pick six.
I assure you there are a few on here that would want him to play regardless of how he played.
re: QB Play: NOT the Major Problem w/the Offense (statistical support)Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 4/21/10 at 4:03 pm to OBUDan
Thanks to OBUDan for a great post that obviously took a lot of work. Sure, he has a position but he sure went to some trouble to support it and also seemed willing to note where the stats did not completely support him (e.g., noting that Flynn was a better runner and also showing the stats where Flynn had an edge as a passer).
Very interesting read.
Very interesting read.
Our O and D in '09 were about as non-complimentary as they could get. And our OL and QB didn't realy agree with one another either. Just miserable team chemistry. IOW, no one helped JJ out much (and he didn't help himself).
With that said, if I was drafting a QB and my only options were JJ ('09 version) and Flynn ('07 version), I would without equivocation pick Flynn. So if the stats are reaching a different conclusion, then I'll assume they simply aren't properly accounting for all the variables and the method is flawed.
With that said, if I was drafting a QB and my only options were JJ ('09 version) and Flynn ('07 version), I would without equivocation pick Flynn. So if the stats are reaching a different conclusion, then I'll assume they simply aren't properly accounting for all the variables and the method is flawed.
quote:
In actuality, what you are arguing makes very little sense from a statistical standpoint.
You are claiming that Flynn checked the offense out of bad plays and into good plays, thus the disparity between the rush games. Besides the fact that it's such an enormous gap that that seems highly unlikely, then why didn't it positively affect the passing game as much as well?
I mean, theoretically, if Flynn does such a great job of checking into great plays while JJ does poor job of it, shouldn't Flynn's passing numbers be off the charts better than JJ's?
Does anyone find it interesting that the rushing offense ranked 90th, but the passing game ranked 97th? Seems like if the "real reason" the offense was so bad was really the rushing game then the passing game would be better??
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......and, btw, those rankings do not push sacks to the passing game, so you could make a case that the passing game was much worse than the running game (as if that was really possible).
They both better be 50-60 places better this year or I'm afraid we're looking at a train wreck.
They both better be 50-60 places better this year or I'm afraid we're looking at a train wreck.
re: QB Play: NOT the Major Problem w/the Offense (statistical support)Posted by DaSaltyTiger on 4/22/10 at 12:45 am to TheDoc
Candidly, if the offensive line does not produce better, it will be more of the same.
re: QB Play: NOT the Major Problem w/the Offense (statistical support)Posted by TheDoc on 4/22/10 at 4:46 am to DaSaltyTiger
quote:
Candidly, if the offensive line does not produce better, it will be more of the same.
+1
I remember making a thread about the o-line after I got back from seattle. they have to get better.
re: QB Play: NOT the Major Problem w/the Offense (statistical support)Posted by RogerTheShrubber on 4/22/10 at 5:48 am to DaSaltyTiger
quote:
Candidly, if the offensive line does not produce better, it will be more of the same.
Offensive line can be worked around. You can scheme an offense to play to your strengths. If the coaching, particularly of skill position players doesn't improve LSU will be in a lot of trouble. The offense appeared lost far into the season. When you have two seasoned QB's, neither who appears can read a defense to save their lives and the problems manifested in different manners you have problems beyond player ability and position.
re: QB Play: NOT the Major Problem w/the Offense (statistical support)Posted by TigerFan55555 on 4/22/10 at 11:35 am to RogerTheShrubber
numbers schmumbers, all bullshite, you either got it or you dont...and if he had it this thread wouldnt exist...
re: QB Play: NOT the Major Problem w/the Offense (statistical support)Posted by N.O. via West-Cal on 4/22/10 at 11:52 am to TigerFan55555
I'll let OBUDan speak for himself, but I don't think he set out to prove that JJ is as good as Flynn or that he would take 2009 JJ over Flynn. Instead, I think he used the stats of a player that won a NC for LSU and who is universally considered a "good" college QB if not better so that there would be a benchmark against which to compare JJ's performance. That's all I got out of it, anyway, and I would never take 2009 JJ over 2007 Flynn.
re: QB Play: NOT the Major Problem w/the Offense (statistical support)Posted by Chimlim on 4/22/10 at 12:24 pm to N.O. via West-Cal
quote:
QB Play: NOT the Major Problem w/the Offense (statistical support)
I agree....QB is not our major problem. That said, shouldn't that concern many people about the coaching staff? I mean, the offense is an obvious problem and Miles did not fire Crowton. If QB play was the only problem, then the whole Perrilloux excuse would be valid. But obviously, QB was not the only problem, it was only part of a much, much bigger problem with the entire offense. The fact both our QBs lack confidence and leadership is more troubling then their play on the field. It all comes back to coaching. Crowton does not know how to coach a QB and forces them to execute plays they are not comfortable with. Miles' biggest mistake is keeping him. Combine that with an Oline that gets dominated, provides poor pass protection, and a running game that is non-existent and you have a train wreck for an offense.
The good news is that you can't do much worse then 112 in the country, that's pretty much rock bottom. You can only improve from there. The bad news is that with Crowton, improvement will be minimal.
re: QB Play: NOT the Major Problem w/the Offense (statistical support)Posted by Navytiger74 on 4/22/10 at 1:10 pm to OBUDan
Thanks for the analysis. I'm sure the fact that the coaches chew this stuff all the time is the reason why we won't see a change under center next year.
I think JJ can be a good QB with some more quality work.
I think JJ can be a good QB with some more quality work.
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