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Message
LSU: 83 - South Carolina: 94 Game Over
Posted on 2/8/16 at 2:36 pm
Posted on 2/8/16 at 2:36 pm
LSU is coming off of a 2-win week against bottom-dwellers Mississippi State and Auburn. With the wins, and A&M losing 2, LSU has moved into sole position of 1st place. They travel to Columbia, SC to take on the 2nd place Gamecocks. South Carolina is coming off of a massive road win @Texas A&M which really made a huge statement around the country. South Carolina is 20-3 and 7-3 in SEC. To say their OOC schedule was weak is an understatement. They played all home games except 1 neutral site game. The only Power 5 schools they played were Clemson and St Johns (who is currently 0-11 and on a 14 game losing streak).
Projected Lineups
South Carolina-
F Mindaugas Kacinas 6'7 227 10.5ppg, 5.5rpg,
F Chris Silva 6'9 205 5.7ppg, 4.6rpg,
F Michael Carrera 6'5 212 14.1ppg, 7.2rpg, 49% from 3
G PJ Dozier 6'7 185 7.3ppg, 3.5rpg
G Sindarius Thornwell 6'5 215 12.7ppg. 5.0rpg, 3.6apg
Key Reserves-
G Duane Notice 6'2 212 10.9ppg, 38.5% from 3
F Laimonas Chatkevicius 6'11 251 9.8ppg, 4.5rpg
LSU-
F Craig Victor
F Ben Simmons
G Keith Hornsby
G Jalyn Patterson
G Tim Quarterman
Offensively:
Stats-
PPG: 77.3 (68th nationally)
FG%: 43.7% (170th nationally)
3p%: 35.4% (141st nationally)
FT%: 67.3% (261st nationally)
FTA: 29.5 (1st nationally)
APG: 13.5 (151st nationally)
Turnovers: 14.3 (299th nationally)
Offensive Rebs: 12.2 (16th nationally)
Offensive Efficiency: 1.037 (120th nationally)
Offensively, USCe is not a great scoring team, but they do one thing exceptionally well...attack the basket. They lead the nation in free throw attempts per game. They don't shoot it well once there, but regardless, when you go to the charity stripe 30 times a game, it's a huge advantage.
Michael Carrera has always been an LSU killer, but this year he has stepped his game up and is overall just a terrific player. He has added a jump shot to his arsenal and he's knocking down nearly half of his 3's per game. Thornwell is a former 5-star who has good ability but sometimes plays a bit out of control. USC's front court is made up of Lithuanians and a player from Gabon. The 2 Lithuanians can both step out and stretch a D.
Thornwell, Carrera, and Notice are the big time shooters. PJ Dozier is a very good freshman with elite athletic ability. He's 6'7 so it'll be interesting to see how we match up. Our normal lineup with Patterson could be iffy because of the size disadvantage. USC can also rebound exceptionally well.
Defensively:
Stats-
PPG: 68.8 (103rd nationally)
FG%: 39.3 (20th nationally)
RPG: 41.8 (10th nationally)
SPG: 6.8 (98th nationally)
BPG: 4.4 (64th nationally)
Turnovers Forced: 15.2 (25th nationally)
Off Rebounds Allowed: 8.7 (129th nationally)
Defensive Efficiency: .922 (19th nationally)
South Carolina is a great defensive team. They turn teams over, and they keep opponents from shooting a good percentage. They have lots of experienced players that move their feet well, and they don't get out of position often. Michael Carrera is excellent at drawing chargers, and that's terrifying. Texas A&M's Jalen Jones fouled out, and 4 other players had at least 3 fouls. There were several of those that were charges drawn by USC. LSU will have to play a smart game.
Keys to the Game:
1.) Foul Trouble: As mentioned before, South Carolina is #1 in free throws attempted per game, and do a terrific job causing fouls. LSU's Craig Victor is 8th in the country in fouls per game. He and Ben Simmons must do a good job not getting silly fouls.
2.) Stopping Guard Penetration: A key to keeping big men out of foul trouble is not letting opposing guards into the lane. The beginning of the season LSU was absolutely awful at this. However, they have steadily increased each week as the season has gone on...but there has not been an attacking style of team like this nearly all year.
3.) Team Effort. Ben Simmons averages nearly 8 more points on the road than at home on the season. The last 4 away games of the year, the entire team must help him out and not put the entire load on his shoulders.
Prediction:
South Carolina is a very solid team. They won't wow you with a specific player, or blow you away with athleticism...but they're a very organized, experienced team that plays hard the entire game. Although they come off of an emotional win on Saturday, this game can vault them into 1st place in the SEC. South Carolina is not a deep team at all. They will run about 7-8 out there. Although LSU doesn't have much more depth, overall the talent is deeper, so this could be an advantage for LSU.
As a bubble team, all games are important to LSU. This is a huge opportunity to win on the road against a top 25 opponent. Unfortunately, I think South Carolina will be a little too much at home.
LSU - 68
USC - 73
Projected Lineups
South Carolina-
F Mindaugas Kacinas 6'7 227 10.5ppg, 5.5rpg,
F Chris Silva 6'9 205 5.7ppg, 4.6rpg,
F Michael Carrera 6'5 212 14.1ppg, 7.2rpg, 49% from 3
G PJ Dozier 6'7 185 7.3ppg, 3.5rpg
G Sindarius Thornwell 6'5 215 12.7ppg. 5.0rpg, 3.6apg
Key Reserves-
G Duane Notice 6'2 212 10.9ppg, 38.5% from 3
F Laimonas Chatkevicius 6'11 251 9.8ppg, 4.5rpg
LSU-
F Craig Victor
F Ben Simmons
G Keith Hornsby
G Jalyn Patterson
G Tim Quarterman
Offensively:
Stats-
PPG: 77.3 (68th nationally)
FG%: 43.7% (170th nationally)
3p%: 35.4% (141st nationally)
FT%: 67.3% (261st nationally)
FTA: 29.5 (1st nationally)
APG: 13.5 (151st nationally)
Turnovers: 14.3 (299th nationally)
Offensive Rebs: 12.2 (16th nationally)
Offensive Efficiency: 1.037 (120th nationally)
Offensively, USCe is not a great scoring team, but they do one thing exceptionally well...attack the basket. They lead the nation in free throw attempts per game. They don't shoot it well once there, but regardless, when you go to the charity stripe 30 times a game, it's a huge advantage.
Michael Carrera has always been an LSU killer, but this year he has stepped his game up and is overall just a terrific player. He has added a jump shot to his arsenal and he's knocking down nearly half of his 3's per game. Thornwell is a former 5-star who has good ability but sometimes plays a bit out of control. USC's front court is made up of Lithuanians and a player from Gabon. The 2 Lithuanians can both step out and stretch a D.
Thornwell, Carrera, and Notice are the big time shooters. PJ Dozier is a very good freshman with elite athletic ability. He's 6'7 so it'll be interesting to see how we match up. Our normal lineup with Patterson could be iffy because of the size disadvantage. USC can also rebound exceptionally well.
Defensively:
Stats-
PPG: 68.8 (103rd nationally)
FG%: 39.3 (20th nationally)
RPG: 41.8 (10th nationally)
SPG: 6.8 (98th nationally)
BPG: 4.4 (64th nationally)
Turnovers Forced: 15.2 (25th nationally)
Off Rebounds Allowed: 8.7 (129th nationally)
Defensive Efficiency: .922 (19th nationally)
South Carolina is a great defensive team. They turn teams over, and they keep opponents from shooting a good percentage. They have lots of experienced players that move their feet well, and they don't get out of position often. Michael Carrera is excellent at drawing chargers, and that's terrifying. Texas A&M's Jalen Jones fouled out, and 4 other players had at least 3 fouls. There were several of those that were charges drawn by USC. LSU will have to play a smart game.
Keys to the Game:
1.) Foul Trouble: As mentioned before, South Carolina is #1 in free throws attempted per game, and do a terrific job causing fouls. LSU's Craig Victor is 8th in the country in fouls per game. He and Ben Simmons must do a good job not getting silly fouls.
2.) Stopping Guard Penetration: A key to keeping big men out of foul trouble is not letting opposing guards into the lane. The beginning of the season LSU was absolutely awful at this. However, they have steadily increased each week as the season has gone on...but there has not been an attacking style of team like this nearly all year.
3.) Team Effort. Ben Simmons averages nearly 8 more points on the road than at home on the season. The last 4 away games of the year, the entire team must help him out and not put the entire load on his shoulders.
Prediction:
South Carolina is a very solid team. They won't wow you with a specific player, or blow you away with athleticism...but they're a very organized, experienced team that plays hard the entire game. Although they come off of an emotional win on Saturday, this game can vault them into 1st place in the SEC. South Carolina is not a deep team at all. They will run about 7-8 out there. Although LSU doesn't have much more depth, overall the talent is deeper, so this could be an advantage for LSU.
As a bubble team, all games are important to LSU. This is a huge opportunity to win on the road against a top 25 opponent. Unfortunately, I think South Carolina will be a little too much at home.
LSU - 68
USC - 73
This post was edited on 2/10/16 at 8:15 pm
Posted on 2/8/16 at 2:48 pm to LSUButt
quote:
As a bubble team, all games are important to LSU. This is a huge opportunity to win on the road against a top 25 opponent. Unfortunately, I think South Carolina will be a little too much at home. LSU - 68 USC - 73
I disagree. LSU is playing better than they have all season. I predict that the Tigers get it done on the road and beat USCe.
LSU - 77
USC - 65
Posted on 2/8/16 at 2:50 pm to LSUButt
Inb4bfniiiyoucultpeopleneedtolookatstatsandrpionly
Posted on 2/8/16 at 2:54 pm to LSUButt
WTF..
How could you do this to me Butt
I hope somebody emptys your shampoo and replaces it with Nair
Oh Campy
How could you do this to me Butt
I hope somebody emptys your shampoo and replaces it with Nair
Oh Campy
This post was edited on 2/8/16 at 2:55 pm
Posted on 2/8/16 at 2:54 pm to LSUButt
I HATE THIS GUY
This post was edited on 2/8/16 at 3:00 pm
Posted on 2/8/16 at 2:58 pm to camplsu
In all seriousness, and yes I know they just won at Aggieland, that USCe is not as good as people are making them out to be. Call me crazy but I just don't think that they are. I really think we win this game and it becomes our signature top 50 road win.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 2:59 pm to LSUButt
Good backcourt size
This will be like the game 10 years ago; Tigers in a close one
This will be like the game 10 years ago; Tigers in a close one
Posted on 2/8/16 at 3:00 pm to TommyDaTiger
I know why Butt is concerned about this game. Carrera has always been an LSU killer and this year his stats are out of control good. Out of nowhere he shooting 48% from beyond the arc. And he could single-handedly get Ben and Victore in foul trouble. He is that guy who is going to flop every single time he is guarding Ben. I'm just hoping we get a ref crew that is going to let them play.
This post was edited on 2/8/16 at 3:08 pm
Posted on 2/8/16 at 3:03 pm to camplsu
Ref crew that will let them play, you mean like Tom Ritter and company
This post was edited on 2/8/16 at 3:05 pm
Posted on 2/8/16 at 3:03 pm to camplsu
quote:
he could single-handedly get Ben and Simmons in foul trouble
That's pretty darn good.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 3:04 pm to LSUButt
We need to go at least 1-1 in these next two. Increase that RPI, another big win, and stay towards the top of the SEC.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 3:07 pm to liquid rabbit
My bad. I meant Victor.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 3:17 pm to camplsu
quote:
Carrera
his constant flopping pisses me off so much. i hope Benny abuses him tomorrow night.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 3:29 pm to The Truth 34
Game previewed coming out mid day on a Monday for a Wednesday night game, basketball fever is in the air. Gonna be a tough one for sure. the implications for winning the league and getting into the dance this week are huge. Tigers get it done in a dog fight! LSU 67 USC 63
Posted on 2/8/16 at 3:49 pm to jptiger2009
I feel like we split this week, which is fine with me. Two extremely tough games. It would be great for a huge road win at SC, but I see us losing a close one due to foul trouble.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 5:02 pm to LSUButt
Looking forward to seeing the first-place Tigers in action, I've got my ticket. USCe would be a huge road win, hopefully we have a great game and get it done.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 5:17 pm to CheerWhine
They can win this game, I hope they do.
Posted on 2/8/16 at 5:23 pm to LSUButt
Big daddy Keith Hornsby has awoken and is ready to ball out. Look for Keith to drop 25
Lsu will have to get in transition often. That will either result in easy buckets or get SC to not crash the boards as hard. I'll take the first place tigers by 5. 76-71
Lsu will have to get in transition often. That will either result in easy buckets or get SC to not crash the boards as hard. I'll take the first place tigers by 5. 76-71
Posted on 2/8/16 at 5:34 pm to LSUButt
Should be a great one. It'll be a tough game for us, even at home. Simmons is awesome to watch and I've seen us go cold for whole games. Won't be surprised at all if we drop this one, or even lose badly.
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