Number of wins this Tiger BBall team needs to be in strong contention for tourne

22-8. Win out plus only losses to either Kentucky or Florida and another close away game.

This is when the Alabama and Rhode Island games really hurt. We would be 15-4 right now with wins over Missouri and Kentucky and 5-2 in conference. The next 5 games are very winnable, I think, though and if we could get to 18-6, we should be in good shape to finish strong.

i think winning the next 4 is a must. 2 easier road games and two home games. if they can got 4-0 til that Ark game @ Walton...they have a great chance to win the tourny. 11-7 in conference and they probably have to win a couple games in the sec tourny to make it. 12-6 might get you in without a one and done in the sect

vs ARK - W
@ UGA - W
vs Aub - W
@ Tamu - W
@ ARK - L
vs MSU - W
@ UK - L
vs Tamu - W
@ UF - L
@ Vandy - W
vs UGA - W

21-9 might put us on the bubble. Win a tourny game and in. Beating Vandy @ nashville and or ARK @ Walton would be huge. THe other teams I have pegged as W's, we are clearly better than.

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Finishing 21-9 would give us a very good chance at making the tournament. By only losing 3 more games, we'd probably end up as a top 4 seed in the sec tournament and go straight to the quarterfinals which would be huge.

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Agreed, would still have to win that first SECT game though.

It won't be as tough in terms of record as it has been the past few seasons. We only have had one game where we kind of got our butt kicked (Tenn). Everything else has been very close pretty much in terms of the games we lost and there are some pretty good teams in there. I don't even think the loss at Bama is that bad because they play conference teams tough at home. Really, the Rhode Island game is the only blaring shite mark on our resume IMO. If we can pull off another win vs UF or UK and win 20 to 21 games I think we are tough to leave out. But we are going to have to go on the road and take a few to do that.

Name the 3 teams getting in over lsu if we win 21 games, which would put us at 12-6 in conference

A lots going to depend on how Ole Miss Tenn and Georgia finish up. Head to head they have us beat as it stands now. I think Bama won 12 games conference last year and didn't get in.

Have to beat Florida. That's the game. Circle it. I expect Florida to be a borderline top 5 team in the country at that point, beating them at their house that late in the season will count as at least 3 wins

Unfortunately, unless you win it I don't think there is much stock put in the conf tourney. The overall record won't be as important as who you beat and where you beat them. For instance, an 11-7 SEC record with wins at UK and Fla., would probably carry more weight than a 13-5 record with losses to both of those teams. I think LSU has to get to 12-6 in SEC play (even with loses to UK and Fla.) to be in consideration. Even with that they would be looking at a seed somewhere between 9-12, perhaps even the play-in game. The fact that they lost to RI and failed to get any signature wins in an "ok" non-conf schedule means that the margin for error is slim. Unless someone unexpected wins the SECT I think the absolute best the conf can hope for is getting 4 teams in the NCAAT