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Started By
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New Storm Track has moved South!
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:11 pm
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:11 pm
2
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:11 pm to Malaysian Tiger
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:15 pm to Port City
awesome
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:19 pm to Port City
that orange model goes out of its way to smack NOLA! That forecaster is probably a Tampa Bay fan or something. 
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:19 pm to im4LSU
fricker.
I wonder if there is a real reason that they have it turning toward texas or just optimism. right now, it looks to be on the same path as Gustav.
I wonder if there is a real reason that they have it turning toward texas or just optimism. right now, it looks to be on the same path as Gustav.
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:21 pm to dranknpurple
NOLA / Louisiana is hardly in the clear at this point. Look at this computer projection: GFDL Model
I hope it's wrong...
Ike:
I hope it's wrong...
Ike:
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:22 pm to alajones
haha yes i got somebody before it got whacked!!!
hadnt been done in a while
hadnt been done in a while
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:23 pm to Port City
Wunderground Storm Models
This link's models has the storm going between Baffin Bay in S. Texas to Houston. Nothing further east than Houston.
This link's models has the storm going between Baffin Bay in S. Texas to Houston. Nothing further east than Houston.
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:23 pm to millertyme
It is an old model run from yesterday.
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:23 pm to millertyme
What are you looking at? GFDL hitting Texas per your link.
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:23 pm to millertyme
That model projection is at least a day old. The new GFDL model shows it southwest of Houston.
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:25 pm to millertyme
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:29 pm to millertyme
This is from 13 different computer models. But, I think I'll wait until it gets into the Gulf to see how things turn out.
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:36 pm to BamaMan45
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:42 pm to millertyme
You have to look at the initialization point of the model. If it initialized at a point behind the current location then its not going to be an accurate run.
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:48 pm to Malaysian Tiger
Changing conditions always flex the 5 day quite a bit. Watch the NHC's 3 day and the GFDL, not for accuracy even 6 or 7 days out, but for trends. GFDL was pretty good 5 day out (and even earlier, but there was some fluctuation) for Gustav. I'm relatively confident that while we (Louisiana) get the bad side of the storm, but only the Cameron Parish/Calcasieu area really has worries about a direct hit/near miss.
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:54 pm to im4LSU
quote:Aren't you the clever one.
haha yes i got somebody before it got whacked!!!
quote:That's because when you do it, you get suspended. For some reason, you got off with a warning.
hadnt been done in a while
Posted on 9/8/08 at 4:56 pm to Ice Cold
didnt know that but now i do sry guys
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