View in: Desktop
Copyright @2024 TigerDroppings.com. All rights reserved.
- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Posted by
Message
My Inaugural Preseason Computer Rankings
Posted by Sev09 on 8/28/17 at 12:01 pm3511
I've been doing computer rankings for a couple years now, using stats and other things to try to rerank teams in my own algorithm. At it's core is a line-generating/handicap system that projects game spreads throughout the season.
This is the first time I've developed preseason rankings. In a nutshell, it takes last season's stats, factors in returning starters, incoming recruiting classes, and looks at their projected record for this upcoming season.
Here are the results:
1.) Alabama (58.07) Proj Record: 11-1 or 12-0
2.) Ohio St. (57.52) Proj Record: 11-1
3.) Michigan (56.23) Proj Record: 12-0
4.) Oklahoma (56.00) Proj Record: 11-1
5.) LSU (54.43) Proj Record: 11-1
6.) Clemson (52.19) Proj Record: 11-1
7.) Miami (FL) (52.14) Proj Record: 11-1
8.) Louisville (52.10) Proj Record: 12-0
9.) Wisconsin (52.01) Proj Record: 11-1
10.) Tennessee (51.49) Proj Record: 10-2
11.) Southern California (51.36) Proj Record: 10-2
12.) Washington (50.72) Proj Record: 12-0
13.) Florida St. (50.49) Proj Record: 9-3
14.) South Fla. (50.22) Proj Record: 12-0
15.) Penn St. (50.10) Proj Record: 9-3
16.) Auburn (50.01) Proj Record: 9-3 or 10-2
17.) Tulsa (49.48) Proj Record: 10-2
18.) Oklahoma St. (49.08) Proj Record: 9-3
19.) Washington St. (48.67) Proj Record: 10-2
20.) Texas A&M (48.24) Proj Record: 9-3
21.) Georgia Tech (48.00) Proj Record: 9-3
22.) Virginia Tech (47.41) Proj Record: 9-3
23.) Kansas St. (47.10) Proj Record: 10-2
24.) Army West Point (46.79) Proj Record: 11-1
25.) San Diego St. (46.53) Proj Record: 11-1 or 12-0
26.) Boise St. (46.33) Proj Record: 9-3
27.) Iowa (46.29) Proj Record: 9-3
28.) Colorado (46.01) Proj Record: 10-2
29.) Western Ky. (45.44) Proj Record: 11-1
30.) TCU (45.11) Proj Record: 9-3
31.) Toledo (44.98) Proj Record: 9-3 or 10-2
32.) BYU (44.74) Proj Record: 10-3
33.) Houston (44.71) Proj Record: 9-3
34.) Western Mich. (44.62) Proj Record: 10-2 or 11-1
35.) Navy (44.48) Proj Record: 8-4
36.) Minnesota (44.43) Proj Record: 8-4 or 9-3
37.) Georgia (44.25) Proj Record: 6-6
38.) Mississippi St. (44.19) Proj Record: 7-5
39.) Utah (43.70) Proj Record: 8-4
40.) Vanderbilt (43.32) Proj Record: 7-5
41.) Pittsburgh (43.31) Proj Record: 8-4
42.) Temple (43.29) Proj Record: 9-3
43.) Nebraska (43.20) Proj Record: 7-5
44.) Coastal Caro. (42.95) Proj Record: 12-0
45.) South Carolina (42.84) Proj Record: 7-5
46.) Stanford (42.31) Proj Record: 6-6 or 7-5
47.) Northwestern (42.18) Proj Record: 7-3
48.) West Virginia (41.66) Proj Record: 8-4
49.) Kentucky (41.54) Proj Record: 6-6
50.) North Carolina (41.35) Proj Record: 7-5
51.) Louisiana Tech (41.00) Proj Record: 9-3
52.) Appalachian St. (40.88) Proj Record: 10-2
53.) New Mexico (40.85) Proj Record: 8-4
54.) Indiana (40.58) Proj Record: 7-5 or 8-4
55.) Memphis (39.87) Proj Record: 8-4
56.) Troy (39.80) Proj Record: 8-4
57.) Missouri (39.78) Proj Record: 7-5
58.) Baylor (39.70) Proj Record: 6-6
59.) UTSA (39.50) Proj Record: 9-3
60.) Texas (39.45) Proj Record: 5-7
61.) Boston College (39.43) Proj Record: 7-5
62.) Middle Tenn. (39.01) Proj Record: 8-4
63.) UCF (38.15) Proj Record: 7-5
64.) Arkansas St. (38.11) Proj Record: 8-4
65.) Notre Dame (38.03) Proj Record: 4-8
66.) Florida (37.98) Proj Record: 4-8 (lol)
67.) UCLA (37.93) Proj Record: 5-7
68.) Southern Miss. (37.88) Proj Record: 8-4
69.) Old Dominion (37.73) Proj Record: 8-4
70.) Michigan St. (37.55) Proj Record: 4-8 or 5-7
71.) Air Force (37.14) Proj Record: 6-6 or 7-5
72.) Ole Miss (36.99) Proj Record: 5-7
73.) Duke (36.65) Proj Record: 3-7
74.) Oregon (36.44) Proj Record: 4-8
75.) Tulane (36.28) Proj Record: 5-7
76.) Ohio (36.25) Proj Record: 8-2
77.) Colorado St. (35.97) Proj Record: 5-7
78.) Texas Tech (35.88) Proj Record: 4-8
79.) Wyoming (35.87) Proj Record: 7-5
80.) Maryland (35.56) Proj Record: 3-9
81.) Utah St. (35.54) Proj Record: 6-6
82.) Massachusetts (35.47) Proj Record: 4-8
83.) Northern Ill. (35.45) Proj Record: 6-6
84.) Oregon St. (35.42) Proj Record: 4-8 or 5-7
85.) Syracuse (35.01) Proj Record: 3-9
86.) Ga. Southern (34.87) Proj Record: 6-6
87.) Wake Forest (34.69) Proj Record: 4-8 or 5-7
88.) Cincinnati (34.11) Proj Record: 5-7
89.) Ball St. (33.83) Proj Record: 6-6
90.) Arkansas (33.80) Proj Record: 2-10 (Bert fired)
91.) Purdue (33.62) Proj Record: 2-10 or 3-9
92.) Virginia (33.59) Proj Record: 3-9
93.) Arizona St. (33.47) Proj Record: 3-9
94.) Idaho (33.40) Proj Record: 6-6
95.) Nevada (33.29) Proj Record: 5-7
96.) Illinois (32.90) Proj Record: 2-10
97.) Iowa St. (32.89) Proj Record: 3-9
98.) Eastern Mich. (32.74) Proj Record: 4-8 or 5-7
99.) Central Mich. (32.67) Proj Record: 5-7
100.) South Ala. (32.37) Proj Record: 6-6
101.) UTEP (31.45) Proj Record: 4-8
102.) UNLV (31.15) Proj Record: 4-8
103.) SMU (30.40) Proj Record: 3-9
104.) Fla. Atlantic (30.39) Proj Record: 3-9
105.) Miami (OH) (30.37) Proj Record: 5-7 or 6-6
106.) North Texas (30.27) Proj Record: 4-8
107.) Marshall (30.10) Proj Record: 3-9 or 4-8
108.) Rice (30.01) Proj Record: 3-9
109.) East Carolina (29.90) Proj Record: 2-10
110.) NC State (29.62) Proj Record: 3-9
110.) La.-Monroe (29.62) Proj Record: 2-10
112.) Kansas (29.36) Proj Record: 2-10
113.) California (29.24) Proj Record: 2-10
114.) Louisiana (28.55) Proj Record: 4-8
115.) Kent St. (28.28) Proj Record: 3-9 or 4-8
116.) Georgia St. (28.03) Proj Record: 3-9
117.) Akron (27.75) Proj Record: 3-9 or 4-8
118.) Arizona (27.63) Proj Record: 1-11
119.) Charlotte (27.48) Proj Record: 3-9 or 4-8
120.) Hawaii (26.95) Proj Record: 3-9
121.) Buffalo (26.78) Proj Record: 3-9
122.) Rutgers (26.73) Proj Record: 1-11
123.) Fresno St. (26.59) Proj Record: 1-11
124.) UConn (26.55) Proj Record: 2-10
125.) FIU (26.53) Proj Record: 2-10
126.) San Jose St. (26.43) Proj Record: 2-11
127.) Bowling Green (24.56) Proj Record: 1-11 or 2-10
128.) Texas St. (24.27) Proj Record: 1-11
129.) New Mexico St. (22.10) Proj Record: 1-11
LSU's lone projected loss is to Alabama (-8). Alabama has a toss-up game @Auburn, leading to their ambiguous prediction. Florida and Arky have HUGE letdown years.
If y'all want to know more details behind projected wins/losses, let me know and I'll share.
Pumped for some REAL football!
This is the first time I've developed preseason rankings. In a nutshell, it takes last season's stats, factors in returning starters, incoming recruiting classes, and looks at their projected record for this upcoming season.
Here are the results:
1.) Alabama (58.07) Proj Record: 11-1 or 12-0
2.) Ohio St. (57.52) Proj Record: 11-1
3.) Michigan (56.23) Proj Record: 12-0
4.) Oklahoma (56.00) Proj Record: 11-1
5.) LSU (54.43) Proj Record: 11-1
6.) Clemson (52.19) Proj Record: 11-1
7.) Miami (FL) (52.14) Proj Record: 11-1
8.) Louisville (52.10) Proj Record: 12-0
9.) Wisconsin (52.01) Proj Record: 11-1
10.) Tennessee (51.49) Proj Record: 10-2
11.) Southern California (51.36) Proj Record: 10-2
12.) Washington (50.72) Proj Record: 12-0
13.) Florida St. (50.49) Proj Record: 9-3
14.) South Fla. (50.22) Proj Record: 12-0
15.) Penn St. (50.10) Proj Record: 9-3
16.) Auburn (50.01) Proj Record: 9-3 or 10-2
17.) Tulsa (49.48) Proj Record: 10-2
18.) Oklahoma St. (49.08) Proj Record: 9-3
19.) Washington St. (48.67) Proj Record: 10-2
20.) Texas A&M (48.24) Proj Record: 9-3
21.) Georgia Tech (48.00) Proj Record: 9-3
22.) Virginia Tech (47.41) Proj Record: 9-3
23.) Kansas St. (47.10) Proj Record: 10-2
24.) Army West Point (46.79) Proj Record: 11-1
25.) San Diego St. (46.53) Proj Record: 11-1 or 12-0
26.) Boise St. (46.33) Proj Record: 9-3
27.) Iowa (46.29) Proj Record: 9-3
28.) Colorado (46.01) Proj Record: 10-2
29.) Western Ky. (45.44) Proj Record: 11-1
30.) TCU (45.11) Proj Record: 9-3
31.) Toledo (44.98) Proj Record: 9-3 or 10-2
32.) BYU (44.74) Proj Record: 10-3
33.) Houston (44.71) Proj Record: 9-3
34.) Western Mich. (44.62) Proj Record: 10-2 or 11-1
35.) Navy (44.48) Proj Record: 8-4
36.) Minnesota (44.43) Proj Record: 8-4 or 9-3
37.) Georgia (44.25) Proj Record: 6-6
38.) Mississippi St. (44.19) Proj Record: 7-5
39.) Utah (43.70) Proj Record: 8-4
40.) Vanderbilt (43.32) Proj Record: 7-5
41.) Pittsburgh (43.31) Proj Record: 8-4
42.) Temple (43.29) Proj Record: 9-3
43.) Nebraska (43.20) Proj Record: 7-5
44.) Coastal Caro. (42.95) Proj Record: 12-0
45.) South Carolina (42.84) Proj Record: 7-5
46.) Stanford (42.31) Proj Record: 6-6 or 7-5
47.) Northwestern (42.18) Proj Record: 7-3
48.) West Virginia (41.66) Proj Record: 8-4
49.) Kentucky (41.54) Proj Record: 6-6
50.) North Carolina (41.35) Proj Record: 7-5
51.) Louisiana Tech (41.00) Proj Record: 9-3
52.) Appalachian St. (40.88) Proj Record: 10-2
53.) New Mexico (40.85) Proj Record: 8-4
54.) Indiana (40.58) Proj Record: 7-5 or 8-4
55.) Memphis (39.87) Proj Record: 8-4
56.) Troy (39.80) Proj Record: 8-4
57.) Missouri (39.78) Proj Record: 7-5
58.) Baylor (39.70) Proj Record: 6-6
59.) UTSA (39.50) Proj Record: 9-3
60.) Texas (39.45) Proj Record: 5-7
61.) Boston College (39.43) Proj Record: 7-5
62.) Middle Tenn. (39.01) Proj Record: 8-4
63.) UCF (38.15) Proj Record: 7-5
64.) Arkansas St. (38.11) Proj Record: 8-4
65.) Notre Dame (38.03) Proj Record: 4-8
66.) Florida (37.98) Proj Record: 4-8 (lol)
67.) UCLA (37.93) Proj Record: 5-7
68.) Southern Miss. (37.88) Proj Record: 8-4
69.) Old Dominion (37.73) Proj Record: 8-4
70.) Michigan St. (37.55) Proj Record: 4-8 or 5-7
71.) Air Force (37.14) Proj Record: 6-6 or 7-5
72.) Ole Miss (36.99) Proj Record: 5-7
73.) Duke (36.65) Proj Record: 3-7
74.) Oregon (36.44) Proj Record: 4-8
75.) Tulane (36.28) Proj Record: 5-7
76.) Ohio (36.25) Proj Record: 8-2
77.) Colorado St. (35.97) Proj Record: 5-7
78.) Texas Tech (35.88) Proj Record: 4-8
79.) Wyoming (35.87) Proj Record: 7-5
80.) Maryland (35.56) Proj Record: 3-9
81.) Utah St. (35.54) Proj Record: 6-6
82.) Massachusetts (35.47) Proj Record: 4-8
83.) Northern Ill. (35.45) Proj Record: 6-6
84.) Oregon St. (35.42) Proj Record: 4-8 or 5-7
85.) Syracuse (35.01) Proj Record: 3-9
86.) Ga. Southern (34.87) Proj Record: 6-6
87.) Wake Forest (34.69) Proj Record: 4-8 or 5-7
88.) Cincinnati (34.11) Proj Record: 5-7
89.) Ball St. (33.83) Proj Record: 6-6
90.) Arkansas (33.80) Proj Record: 2-10 (Bert fired)
91.) Purdue (33.62) Proj Record: 2-10 or 3-9
92.) Virginia (33.59) Proj Record: 3-9
93.) Arizona St. (33.47) Proj Record: 3-9
94.) Idaho (33.40) Proj Record: 6-6
95.) Nevada (33.29) Proj Record: 5-7
96.) Illinois (32.90) Proj Record: 2-10
97.) Iowa St. (32.89) Proj Record: 3-9
98.) Eastern Mich. (32.74) Proj Record: 4-8 or 5-7
99.) Central Mich. (32.67) Proj Record: 5-7
100.) South Ala. (32.37) Proj Record: 6-6
101.) UTEP (31.45) Proj Record: 4-8
102.) UNLV (31.15) Proj Record: 4-8
103.) SMU (30.40) Proj Record: 3-9
104.) Fla. Atlantic (30.39) Proj Record: 3-9
105.) Miami (OH) (30.37) Proj Record: 5-7 or 6-6
106.) North Texas (30.27) Proj Record: 4-8
107.) Marshall (30.10) Proj Record: 3-9 or 4-8
108.) Rice (30.01) Proj Record: 3-9
109.) East Carolina (29.90) Proj Record: 2-10
110.) NC State (29.62) Proj Record: 3-9
110.) La.-Monroe (29.62) Proj Record: 2-10
112.) Kansas (29.36) Proj Record: 2-10
113.) California (29.24) Proj Record: 2-10
114.) Louisiana (28.55) Proj Record: 4-8
115.) Kent St. (28.28) Proj Record: 3-9 or 4-8
116.) Georgia St. (28.03) Proj Record: 3-9
117.) Akron (27.75) Proj Record: 3-9 or 4-8
118.) Arizona (27.63) Proj Record: 1-11
119.) Charlotte (27.48) Proj Record: 3-9 or 4-8
120.) Hawaii (26.95) Proj Record: 3-9
121.) Buffalo (26.78) Proj Record: 3-9
122.) Rutgers (26.73) Proj Record: 1-11
123.) Fresno St. (26.59) Proj Record: 1-11
124.) UConn (26.55) Proj Record: 2-10
125.) FIU (26.53) Proj Record: 2-10
126.) San Jose St. (26.43) Proj Record: 2-11
127.) Bowling Green (24.56) Proj Record: 1-11 or 2-10
128.) Texas St. (24.27) Proj Record: 1-11
129.) New Mexico St. (22.10) Proj Record: 1-11
LSU's lone projected loss is to Alabama (-8). Alabama has a toss-up game @Auburn, leading to their ambiguous prediction. Florida and Arky have HUGE letdown years.
If y'all want to know more details behind projected wins/losses, let me know and I'll share.
Pumped for some REAL football!
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by Mystictiger on 8/28/17 at 12:02 pm to Sev09
Arkansas at 2-10?
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by TigerLunatik on 8/28/17 at 12:03 pm to Sev09
You don't take this stuff very seriously or anything do you?
That's great stuff, let's hope it plays out for LSU that they're the 5th best team now and can improve on that.
That's great stuff, let's hope it plays out for LSU that they're the 5th best team now and can improve on that.
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by Goldrush25 on 8/28/17 at 12:03 pm to Sev09
11-1, huh?
Fair enough. Make it so, O.
Fair enough. Make it so, O.
Whatever algorithm you have is wrong. Tennessee ain't going 10-2, A&M isn't gonna win 9 games,
How does Michigan go undefeated and finish below Ohio State?
Florida is way better than 4-8
Most of this shite makes no sense. How is Washington undefeated and outside of the top 10?
How does Michigan go undefeated and finish below Ohio State?
Florida is way better than 4-8
Most of this shite makes no sense. How is Washington undefeated and outside of the top 10?
quote:
Solo Cam
That's not their projected final rankings. It's the preseason rankings, which uses their projected record as part of the algorithm. It's not 100% based on projected record. Otherwise, I'd just order them based on that, haha.
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by TNTigerman on 8/28/17 at 12:18 pm to Mystictiger
quote:
Arkansas at 2-10?
Sounds good to me.
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by KamaCausey_LSU on 8/28/17 at 1:34 pm to Sev09
Pretty interesting.
How do your results compare against Vegas win-loss totals? More or less in line or a few huge differences?
How do your results compare against Vegas win-loss totals? More or less in line or a few huge differences?
TD SponsorTD Fan
USA
Member since 2001
USA
Member since 2001
Thank you for supporting our sponsors Posted by Site Sponsor to Everyone
Advertisement
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by lsurulz1515 on 8/28/17 at 1:42 pm to Sev09
How have your past seasons looked comparing your preseason rankings to the final rankings?
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by BigOrangeWave on 8/28/17 at 1:52 pm to lsurulz1515
quote:
How have your past seasons looked comparing your preseason rankings to the final rankings?
From OP:
quote:
This is the first time I've developed preseason rankings.
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by beauchristopher on 8/28/17 at 2:11 pm to Sev09
Yes please
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by RummelTiger on 8/28/17 at 2:12 pm to Sev09
UGA at 6-6?
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by bluebarracuda on 8/28/17 at 2:13 pm to Sev09
Care to share your algorithm?
re: My Inaugural Preseason Computer RankingsPosted by Sev09 on 8/28/17 at 2:22 pm to KamaCausey_LSU
quote:
How do your results compare against Vegas win-loss totals? More or less in line or a few huge differences?
My lines are generally pretty dang close to Vegas. I was about 55-60% against Vegas last year.
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News