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Started By
Message
LSU will beat Kentucky tonight, and Vegas knows (so does William)
Posted on 1/5/16 at 11:54 am
Posted on 1/5/16 at 11:54 am
As we all know, Vegas is very good at setting the lines of most all sporting events. I personally am a gambler and thoroughly enjoy betting on sports. I love trying to look at where Vegas set the line, and trying to see what they don't want you to see.
Take the Vanderbilt game for example, I took LSU +10 and a small money line bet at +325. It was the first time I have bet on LSU all season. Why? Why choose to bet on LSU taking on its toughest opponents on their floor? Simple, because the spread just wasn't right. Vegas knew something.
Lets look at some notable spreads for Vandy prior to the LSU game:
- Vanderbilt -9 vs Dayton (Dayton a good 11-2 team)
- Vanderbilt +2 vs Kansas (#1 team in America)
I looked at this and thought to myself,
"So Vanderbilt is -9 against a good, tough 11-2 Dayton team, and only +2 vs the best team in America, But only -10 to an LSU team who can't seem to do anything right outside of Benny? Thats not right."
What did LSU do? They beat Vandy straight up.
Now lets look at some of Kentuckys spreads:
- Kentucky was -11 vs a solid 10-2 Ole Miss team
- Kentucky was -1.5 vs a good 12-2 Louisville team
- Kentucky was -7 @ a talented UCLA team
- Kentucky was -10 against a talented OSU team
But for some reason, Kentucky is only -4 tonight against our underachieving LSU tigers. So were only +4 against UK, but +10 against Vandy? I get there's home court, but in all honesty, thats not that big of a factor.
By setting the line at only -4, it shows that Vegas is scared to let Kentucky give up any more points, because they know LSU will play with them.
So mark my word, LSU will beat Kentucky tonight.
ETA: Well, well, well.... "Jinx" they said... "Peej" they said...
You can read Vegas people. The line didn't look right from the start. And the National Championship will be closer than you expect on Monday. *drops mic*
Take the Vanderbilt game for example, I took LSU +10 and a small money line bet at +325. It was the first time I have bet on LSU all season. Why? Why choose to bet on LSU taking on its toughest opponents on their floor? Simple, because the spread just wasn't right. Vegas knew something.
Lets look at some notable spreads for Vandy prior to the LSU game:
- Vanderbilt -9 vs Dayton (Dayton a good 11-2 team)
- Vanderbilt +2 vs Kansas (#1 team in America)
I looked at this and thought to myself,
"So Vanderbilt is -9 against a good, tough 11-2 Dayton team, and only +2 vs the best team in America, But only -10 to an LSU team who can't seem to do anything right outside of Benny? Thats not right."
What did LSU do? They beat Vandy straight up.
Now lets look at some of Kentuckys spreads:
- Kentucky was -11 vs a solid 10-2 Ole Miss team
- Kentucky was -1.5 vs a good 12-2 Louisville team
- Kentucky was -7 @ a talented UCLA team
- Kentucky was -10 against a talented OSU team
But for some reason, Kentucky is only -4 tonight against our underachieving LSU tigers. So were only +4 against UK, but +10 against Vandy? I get there's home court, but in all honesty, thats not that big of a factor.
By setting the line at only -4, it shows that Vegas is scared to let Kentucky give up any more points, because they know LSU will play with them.
So mark my word, LSU will beat Kentucky tonight.
ETA: Well, well, well.... "Jinx" they said... "Peej" they said...
You can read Vegas people. The line didn't look right from the start. And the National Championship will be closer than you expect on Monday. *drops mic*
This post was edited on 1/5/16 at 10:13 pm
Posted on 1/5/16 at 11:56 am to WilliamTaylor21
Jimmy Ott.....is that YOU?
Posted on 1/5/16 at 11:59 am to WilliamTaylor21
Guess this is better than a Peej jinx.....
not enough .......
Got it
not enough .......
Got it
This post was edited on 1/5/16 at 12:00 pm
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:00 pm to WilliamTaylor21
LSU will beat Kentucky because LSU is an underdog to Kentucky?
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:03 pm to Geaux23
LSU will beat Kentucky because they aren't a big enough underdog, yes.
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:10 pm to WilliamTaylor21
quote:
LSU will beat Kentucky because they aren't a big enough underdog, yes.
I've been watching sports for most of my life, I'd have to say that underdogs typically lose.
With that being said:
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:15 pm to WilliamTaylor21
Tell us some things before they happen there hotshot.
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:15 pm to WilliamTaylor21
Going Broadway Joe on us?
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:17 pm to WilliamTaylor21
If Kentucky is favored, it seems like Vegas "knows" we will lose.
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:23 pm to WilliamTaylor21
Hey Jimmy, are you doing your lock of the week a bit early?
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:23 pm to BallDawg
Haha all you name callers just check back here tonight. I'll be sure to bring this back up.
The line is too fishy. It just is.
ETA: who the hell is Jimmy? I'm assuming he was a gambler here?
The line is too fishy. It just is.
ETA: who the hell is Jimmy? I'm assuming he was a gambler here?
This post was edited on 1/5/16 at 12:39 pm
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:39 pm to LordoftheManor
quote:
Kentucky is favored, it seems like Vegas "knows" we will lose.
I guess they "knew" Oklahoma would win too huh?
It's fools like you that give Vegas millions. You're thinking like a gambler. You have to think like a bookie.
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:43 pm to WilliamTaylor21
WilliamTaylor21 Logic...
1. Vegas "knows"
2. Vegas favors Kentucky
3. Therefore LSU will beat Kentucky
1. Vegas "knows"
2. Vegas favors Kentucky
3. Therefore LSU will beat Kentucky
Posted on 1/5/16 at 10:15 pm to Penrod
quote:
WilliamTaylor21 Logic... 1. Vegas "knows" 2. Vegas favors Kentucky 3. Therefore LSU will beat Kentucky
Penrod Logic:
Make sarcastic bullet points only to look like an idiot. Change your name to Nimrod.
Posted on 1/5/16 at 10:22 pm to WilliamTaylor21
Can I get some lottery numbers cuz you damn sure called this one Bravo
Posted on 1/5/16 at 10:26 pm to PurpleKnight88
quote:
Can I get some lottery numbers cuz you damn sure called this one Bravo
Posted on 1/5/16 at 10:27 pm to Spankum
I thought the OP was crazy but he nailed it
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