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LSU will beat Kentucky tonight, and Vegas knows (so does William)

Posted on 1/5/16 at 11:54 am
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35928 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 11:54 am
As we all know, Vegas is very good at setting the lines of most all sporting events. I personally am a gambler and thoroughly enjoy betting on sports. I love trying to look at where Vegas set the line, and trying to see what they don't want you to see.

Take the Vanderbilt game for example, I took LSU +10 and a small money line bet at +325. It was the first time I have bet on LSU all season. Why? Why choose to bet on LSU taking on its toughest opponents on their floor? Simple, because the spread just wasn't right. Vegas knew something.

Lets look at some notable spreads for Vandy prior to the LSU game:
- Vanderbilt -9 vs Dayton (Dayton a good 11-2 team)
- Vanderbilt +2 vs Kansas (#1 team in America)

I looked at this and thought to myself,

"So Vanderbilt is -9 against a good, tough 11-2 Dayton team, and only +2 vs the best team in America, But only -10 to an LSU team who can't seem to do anything right outside of Benny? Thats not right."

What did LSU do? They beat Vandy straight up.

Now lets look at some of Kentuckys spreads:
- Kentucky was -11 vs a solid 10-2 Ole Miss team
- Kentucky was -1.5 vs a good 12-2 Louisville team
- Kentucky was -7 @ a talented UCLA team
- Kentucky was -10 against a talented OSU team

But for some reason, Kentucky is only -4 tonight against our underachieving LSU tigers. So were only +4 against UK, but +10 against Vandy? I get there's home court, but in all honesty, thats not that big of a factor.

By setting the line at only -4, it shows that Vegas is scared to let Kentucky give up any more points, because they know LSU will play with them.

So mark my word, LSU will beat Kentucky tonight.



ETA: Well, well, well.... "Jinx" they said... "Peej" they said...

You can read Vegas people. The line didn't look right from the start. And the National Championship will be closer than you expect on Monday. *drops mic*
This post was edited on 1/5/16 at 10:13 pm
Posted by LSUGrad9295
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
33436 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 11:56 am to
Jimmy Ott.....is that YOU?
Posted by RATeamWannabe
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2009
25942 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 11:59 am to
Guess this is better than a Peej jinx.....


not enough .......

Got it
This post was edited on 1/5/16 at 12:00 pm
Posted by Geaux23
Member since Sep 2012
5801 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:00 pm to
LSU will beat Kentucky because LSU is an underdog to Kentucky?
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35928 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:03 pm to
LSU will beat Kentucky because they aren't a big enough underdog, yes.

Posted by Geaux23
Member since Sep 2012
5801 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:07 pm to
Ok I'll buy it
Posted by BIWO
Member since Dec 2015
1821 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:10 pm to
quote:

LSU will beat Kentucky because they aren't a big enough underdog, yes.


I've been watching sports for most of my life, I'd have to say that underdogs typically lose.

With that being said:
Posted by The Mick
Member since Oct 2010
43054 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:15 pm to
Tell us some things before they happen there hotshot.
Posted by Errerrerrwere
Member since Aug 2015
38230 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:15 pm to
Going Broadway Joe on us?

Posted by LordoftheManor
Member since Jul 2006
8371 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:17 pm to
If Kentucky is favored, it seems like Vegas "knows" we will lose.
Posted by BallDawg
Lafayette
Member since Sep 2015
45 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:19 pm to
1-800-Gambler
Posted by Adam4LSU
Baton Rouge
Member since Mar 2008
13760 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:23 pm to
Hey Jimmy, are you doing your lock of the week a bit early?
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35928 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:23 pm to
Haha all you name callers just check back here tonight. I'll be sure to bring this back up.

The line is too fishy. It just is.

ETA: who the hell is Jimmy? I'm assuming he was a gambler here?
This post was edited on 1/5/16 at 12:39 pm
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35928 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

Kentucky is favored, it seems like Vegas "knows" we will lose.


I guess they "knew" Oklahoma would win too huh?

It's fools like you that give Vegas millions. You're thinking like a gambler. You have to think like a bookie.
Posted by Penrod
Member since Jan 2011
39079 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 12:43 pm to
WilliamTaylor21 Logic...

1. Vegas "knows"
2. Vegas favors Kentucky
3. Therefore LSU will beat Kentucky
Posted by Ford Frenzy
337 posts
Member since Aug 2010
6876 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 1:18 pm to
thanks for the jinx
Posted by WilliamTaylor21
2720 Arse Whipping Avenue
Member since Dec 2013
35928 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 10:15 pm to
quote:

WilliamTaylor21 Logic... 1. Vegas "knows" 2. Vegas favors Kentucky 3. Therefore LSU will beat Kentucky


Penrod Logic:

Make sarcastic bullet points only to look like an idiot. Change your name to Nimrod.
Posted by PurpleKnight88
Laplace, LA
Member since Jan 2009
856 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 10:22 pm to
Can I get some lottery numbers cuz you damn sure called this one Bravo
Posted by Spankum
Miss-sippi
Member since Jan 2007
55969 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 10:26 pm to
quote:

Can I get some lottery numbers cuz you damn sure called this one Bravo
Posted by monsterballads
Make LSU Great Again
Member since Jun 2013
29262 posts
Posted on 1/5/16 at 10:27 pm to
I thought the OP was crazy but he nailed it
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