I can't see UF beating FSU on the road. We need as many teams ahead of us as possible to lose. If UGA beats bama in the SECCG, does bama still get a bcs nod ahead of us should we beat arky? What about A&M?

This post was edited on 11/18/12 at 8:08 pm

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Posted by Weaver

Madisonville, LA

Member since Nov 2005

27719 posts

Posted on 11/18/12 at 8:35 pm to rebeltiger1

We need to finish top 4 or no bcs. Luckily, I can see Texas out scoring k state, Oregon st beating Oregon, Fsu beating UF and if lsu wins we should move from 7 to 4. Sugar against Oklahoma unless they lose to okie st. Then it could be lsu vs Texas in the sugar.

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Posted by LSU Tiger Eyes

Key Biscayne, FL

Member since Sep 2003

2531 posts

Posted on 11/18/12 at 8:41 pm to rebeltiger1

"W"

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Posted by JPLSU1981

Baton Rouge

Member since Oct 2005

26206 posts

Posted on 11/18/12 at 9:03 pm to Weaver

quote:
We need to finish top 4 or no bcs.

That's actually not correct. Top4 is not as important anymore as it was when Fiesta/Rose was in play.

At this point, if FSU beats Florida, probably regardless of whether LSU finishes in the Top4 or not, LSU is going to the Sugar Bowl.

Would it help if LSU finished in the Top4? Certainly, but it's not necessary. Obviously it would make Sugar automatic by rule as opposed to the Sugar getting to pick between A&M/LSU/Florida (Also, FWIW, as far as the Top4 auto is concerned, we need either Oregon to lose and/or Oregon to get back into the Pac12 title game so that they don't finish #3 as a non-champion and get the auto-bid).

All that said, it's pretty clear at this point:

FSU beats Florida:
BCSCG-Bama/UGA
Sugar-LSU
Cap1-Bama/UGA
Cotton-A&M
Outback-Florida
CFA-USC

Florida beats FSU:
BCSCG-Bama/UGA
Sugar-Florida
Cap1-Bama/UGA
Cotton-A&M/LSU
Outback-A&M/LSU
CFA-USC

This post was edited on 11/18/12 at 9:05 pm

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Posted by JPLSU1981

Baton Rouge

Member since Oct 2005

26206 posts

Posted on 11/18/12 at 9:07 pm to GeauxLSU4

quote:
If UGA beats bama in the SECCG, does bama still get a bcs nod ahead of us should we beat arky? What about A&M?

No, SECCG loser is going to the Capital One Bowl. A&M is somewhat of a concern, but not nearly the concern they were in regards to Fiesta. Sugar is taking LSU over A&M (the Fiesta would have probably taken A&M over LSU).

We simply need FSU to beat Florida and we're almost certainly headed to the Sugar. Of course, if you're rooting for BCSCG, there's obviously a ton more stuff you can root for along with that.

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Posted by SECTiger1

Edinburgh, IN

Member since Jun 2011

199 posts

Posted on 11/18/12 at 9:42 pm to rebeltiger1

Cotton Bowl.

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Posted by bulldog95

North Louisiana

Member since Jan 2011

20682 posts

Posted on 11/18/12 at 9:47 pm to rebeltiger1

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Posted by KingwoodLsuFan

Member since Aug 2008

11447 posts

Posted on 11/18/12 at 9:51 pm to rebeltiger1

I'm guessing Sugar right now.

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Posted by Ghostfacedistiller

Member since Jun 2008

17500 posts

Posted on 11/18/12 at 10:00 pm to rebeltiger1

Chic-fil-a. Hope I'm wrong.

UF wins goes to Sugar.
Bama backdoors to another BCSNCG
Uga goes to Cap One
USC to Outback
A&M to Cotton
LSU to CFA, similar to 2005

KSU vs. Oregon-Fiesta
Rutgers vs FSU-Orange
Florida vs. Oklahoma-Sugar
Stanford vs. Nebraska-Rose
Bama vs. Notre Dame-BCS

I hope I'm wrong.

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Posted by medtiger

Member since Sep 2003

21645 posts

Posted on 11/18/12 at 10:01 pm to JPLSU1981

quote:
Outback-A&M/LSU

Since 1995, 3 SEC west teams have played in th Outback Bowl...Auburn twice, Bama once. Since 1997, only Auburn in 2009 played in the Outback Bowl from the West. I think South Carolina is a virtual Outback Bowl lock. If A&M is available and Manziel wins the Heisman, I could see them taking them. But they aren't taking LSU.

This post was edited on 11/18/12 at 10:05 pm

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