Alabama and aTm 2 certain losses
There are no certain losses for this year's team. There are about four 50/50 or worse games, which equates to a NEAR certainty of at least one or two losses, but even that near certainty doesn't apply to any one game in particular, but only the group of four murderous ones.
UGA probably a loss
Maybe. I'd say this one is probably 50/50.
TCU, FLA toss up
Are you really high on TCU, or really down on Florida? I don't regard these two games as even close to equal in difficulty. Florida will be MUCH tougher.
Prob another screw up in there with a young team
Maybe. We have done better in recent years about not losing to inferior teams, Peach Bowl no-show notwithstanding.
8-4 is best case scenario but prob 7-5
No way is 8-4 the best case scenario. I would say it's closer to the worst case. We'd have to lose all four of the tough games, or lose three of them plus another one. I'm not saying it can't happen, but no way is it the best case scenario. And 7-5 seems highly unlikely. In fact, it's probably the worst-case scenario.
I won't be very popular with this prediction but its how I feel
I can't agree with your prediction, but don't sweat people getting on your arse about not picking us to go undefeated and win the NC. The Pumpers are exactly like the Haters, but in mirror image.
Before the season, Pumpers say 14-0 and bitch at anybody who says 8-5. After the season, they make excuses for 8-5 and bitch at anybody who expected 14-0. Haters say 8-5 before the season and bitch after if we don't go 14-0. There's not a dime's worth of difference between them, only they just don't know it.
If you predict 14-0 and are disappointed with 13-1, or if you predict 8-5 and are pleasantly surprised with 9-4, then you are being rational. Otherwise, well...see above.