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Hoops: LSU (11-4, 1-0) at Bama (12-3, 1-0) - Wed 8pm - TV:CSS/COX4

Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:27 pm
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:27 pm
LSU Hoops @ Bama | WED 8PM | TV:CSS/COX4 | ESPN3.com

SoS’s SEC Power Rankings

1. Kentucky
2. Florida
3. Vanderbilt
4. Alabama
5. Miss St
6. LSU
7. Arkansas
8. Tennessee
9. South Carolina
10. Ole Miss
11. Georgia
12. Auburn

*Note that SEC will probably get 4-5 teams into NCAA Tourny.

General Overview

LSU heads on the road to face a tough Alabama team Wednesday night at 8:00PM vs Bama. This is a big matchup between two of the top contenders from what most fans know as the “Western Division” (note: SEC Basketball does not have divisions). Bama has been in and out of the top 25 this year and pack some star power. Most fans will remember JaMychal Green the Senior All SEC forward and Tony Mitchell their leading scorer. They also bring in 2 highly touted freshman; Levi Randolph and Trevor Lacey.

This Bama squad is another team known for their suffocating man to man defense. They have the 6th highest defensive efficiency (KenPom.com) in the country (LSU is 21). Both big men can block shots and they have had very good perimeter defense. They have allowed only 25% from 3pt land (5th in country) and only 41.6% from 2pt (16th in country). If there defense has a flaw it has been rebounding, a spot LSU looks to take advantage of in this game.

Schedule and SEC stakes

Bama has played a tough schedule and have beated some good teams. Wins include neutral games with Purdue and Witchita St, as well as away games at Georgia Tech and Georgia. They haven’t played very good competition at home. They had a very convincing win at Georgia to start their SEC play winning 74-59.

Alabama is in a very similar situation as us starting 2 freshman, but they have higher expectations. I think this is the best team we could pass up to get into NCAA position. Being able to at least split this home and home with Bama would be HUGE and I mean gigantic if we are looking to get into the Tournament. They have a lot of respect from the nation as a solid squad filled with good freshman and solid leaders.

Though they are talented in the post, they do not have a ton of size and Hamilton will be a major matchup problem for Bama. JaMychal Green was injured a few weeks ago but came off the bench the past two games. I expect him to be back in the starting lineup for this one. They know they will need his defensive presence. Here are the matchups we will see with the starting 5:

PG Matchup

#1 Anthony Hickey 5’10” 172 Freshman
Vs.

#12 Trevor Releford 6’1” 180 Sophomore

2 Guard Matchup

#10 Andre Stringer 5’9” 170 Sophomore
Vs.

#3 Trevor Lacey 6’3” 200 Freshman

3 Guard Matchup

#22 Ralston Turner 6’6” 193 Sophomore
Vs.

#20 Levi Randolph 6’5” 185 Freshman

Forward Matchup

#24 Storm Warren 6’7” 230 Senior
Vs.

#5 Tony Mitchell 6’6” 210 Junior

Center Matchup

#41 Justin Hamilton 7’0” 260 Junior
Vs.

#1 JaMychal Green 6’8” 240 Senior

Stats:



Overall, these teams are very similar. Bama likes to drive and get fouled more than LSU and they are an athletic bunch that haven’t been able to consistently knock down the three pointer, which has been LSU’s weakness (perimeter defense). I honestly think the matchup favors LSU. I think our height advantage down low will be able to contain Bama’s offense. Like I have said in the past, for LSU to be successful they will need a good game from Hamilton and Storm while getting at least 1 of our guards to step up and hit the three. Last game Hickey stepped up and nailed 4/5 from deep and to win this one we will need a similar game out of someone.

I think Bass coming off the bench is another key to LSU. He has come into games and really controlled the tempo. TJ has used him very well and the team has responded while CBass has been in. As long as we have scorers on the floor, which Bass certainly is not, he has been productive. He leads the team in A/TO with a 2.2 ratio and has had 5 games in which he played more than 10 minutes with 0 turnovers. From the PG position that is lights out.

Prediction:
LSU 60 Bama 55


PS: Please no football flames, this is a BASKETBALL thread.
This post was edited on 1/10/12 at 3:31 pm
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:31 pm to
And people let me know if you like this format better than the one I have used the rest of the year.


And here is the link to Andy Kats, ESPN Analyst, saying our game is one of the most interesting of the week:
LINK
This post was edited on 1/10/12 at 12:40 pm
Posted by UnluckyTiger
Member since Sep 2003
35675 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:32 pm to
WHY DO WE HAVE TO PLAY THEM THIS WEEK? ugh
Posted by Tigerfan7218
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2010
14251 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:34 pm to
New format is nice South, and great breakdown as always... Maybe it's just me but if they like to drive the lane like you said I expect LSU to draw a lot of charges like they have all season.

LSU 64 Bama 57
Posted by real
Dixieland
Member since Oct 2007
14027 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:35 pm to
Boy our players are gonna catch hell.
Posted by DropaDeuce
Houston
Member since Jul 2006
1553 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:35 pm to
quote:

LSU Hoops @ Bama
REVENGE!!!
Posted by Sheep
Neither here nor there
Member since Jun 2007
19478 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:35 pm to
I'm as big of an LSU hoops fan as you'll find, but today:

Posted by eXfaktor
A 10 by 11 Dump
Member since Jan 2011
1559 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:37 pm to
quote:

Sheep


So what about tomorrow at 8?
Posted by filmmaker45
Member since Mar 2008
14554 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:39 pm to
Maybe this team can score? I'm looking forward to this game.
Posted by Sheep
Neither here nor there
Member since Jun 2007
19478 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

So what about tomorrow at 8?


I'll, uhhhhh, get it up by then.
Posted by Choupique19
The cheap seats
Member since Sep 2005
61742 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:43 pm to
Awesome. Just in time for Nick Saban to walk out at half court and wave that crystal ball around. While he's at it, he might even bring Landon Collins out to midcourt as well.
Posted by Tigerfan7218
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2010
14251 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:46 pm to
I know it's different sports and all, but I hope the bball team comes out with a chip on their shoulder after last night and just blasts Bama, would make me feel a little bit better.
Posted by Ipreciateu2
Brazier-Watson in Lutcher
Member since Feb 2005
6470 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:51 pm to
Nothing will make me feel better after last night.
Posted by catholictigerfan
Member since Oct 2009
56001 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:56 pm to
I hope we can ride the momentum of the last win, and come out strong in this game
Posted by DennyChimes10
21-0
Member since Mar 2010
1913 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 12:58 pm to
Nice OP!

And Trevor Releford is nowhere near 6'1''

Bama media guide is stepping out on a limb there
Posted by SouthOfSouth
Baton Rouge
Member since Jun 2008
43456 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

And Trevor Releford is nowhere near 6'1''

Bama media guide is stepping out on a limb there



Thanks for the insight. Its like that for all media guides. I'm not too worried about height when it's 5'10" to 6'2" or so cause they are use to playing taller players by now. I'm looking forward to this one but I think LSUs chances really are slimmer than I give them credit for. I'd say 25% chance of victory.
Posted by austintigerdad
Llano County, TX
Member since Nov 2010
1884 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 1:08 pm to
quote:

SouthOfSouth

I was looking forward to reading your post today more than usual ... great format and thanks as always.

Wish we could be there but at least the game is on ESPN3 for those of us outside BR.

ETA:
This post was edited on 1/10/12 at 1:09 pm
Posted by jptiger2009
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
9616 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 1:47 pm to
look for bama to double up hamilton in the post. we need a huge game out of warren, in his first game back in the starting line-up replacing O'Bryant. Look for Stringer to have a breakout game. He should be @ 95% now = more minutes. Turner has to drop his shots from 3 pt land.

LSU 69 BAMA 61
Posted by Tigerfan7218
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2010
14251 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 2:03 pm to
Hope you are two points wrong on the bama score JP, I want to keep that under 60 streak in tact
Posted by Alt26
Member since Mar 2010
28209 posts
Posted on 1/10/12 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Though they are talented in the post, they do not have a ton of size and Hamilton will be a major matchup problem for Bama. JaMychal Green was injured a few weeks ago but came off the bench the past two games. I expect him to be back in the starting lineup for this one. They know they will need his defensive presence. Here are the matchups we will see with the starting 5:


LSU has been outstanding at taking charges. Can they keep it up?

Can Warren defend Mitchell without fouling? Storm is certainly more than athletic enough to do so.

I think Hamilton and Warren get double-figures. If somebody (Turner, Stringer, Hickey) can get hot from 3, LSU has a shot in this one. Ole Miss tried to go zone and LSU buried 3's, effectively putting the game away early.

This would be a HUGE win in a brutal January schedule (2-3 wins this month is what I expect). Anything more, then February and March "could" get really exciting
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