Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback | TigerDroppings.com
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lsumatt
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2005
12550 posts

Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback

Coaches Poll - LSU #14

BCS Bowl Predictions

National Title Game: Florida State versus Auburn
Rose: Stanford vs. MSU
Orange: Ohio State vs. Clemson
Sugar: Bama vs. OU
Fiesta: Baylor vs. UCF

LSU Bowl Scenario

Alabama will join Auburn in the BCS bowls leaving the Capital One Bowl to have their choice between South Carolina and Missouri. How they choose will have a big impact on LSU's bowl scenario.

My guess is the Capital One takes 10-2 South Carolina. The Outback Bowl then gets first crack at 11-2 Missouri being an SEC east team. If they take them, the Cotton chooses between 9-3 LSU and 8-4 A&M and they probably take LSU. However, the Outback may pass on Missouri since they are so far away and may not have huge TV appeal. Missouri would be then locked into the Cotton by the "safety net rule" and the Outback chooses between LSU, A&M, and 8-4 Georgia. I think they take LSU there as I doubt that pass on an 11 win Missouri team to take an 8-win team.

If the Cap One takes Missouri instead, conventional wisdom would say that the Outback would take 10-2 SC. But they played there last year and SC has made it very clear they don't want to go and would rather the Cotton. My guess is the Outback doesn't want a team that isn't excited about it and passes on them - again leaving LSU, A&M and UGA. Probably going with LSU.

If the Outback does pass over LSU for A&M or UGA, it goes to the Chicken. I think they know how upset LSU fans would be about it and pass sending LSU to the Gator.

Update at 4:00 pm - Looks like Outback against Iowa

quote:

@RabalaisAdv: Breaking: source tells The Advocate #LSU will play Iowa in the Outback Bowl bowl Jan 1 in Tampa.


Times Picayune: LSU vs. Iowa in Outback

This post was edited on 12/8 at 4:42 pm



tigerfan in bamaland
LSU Fan
Behind enemy lines
Member since Sep 2006
34905 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
quote:

lsumatt


Nails, as usual. thanks

Sticky this.


ETA:
quote:

no way in hell they pass on 11-2 Bama


I like it. 11-2 Bama
This post was edited on 12/1 at 10:01 am


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Rouge
USA Fan
TD.com HOF Member - Class of 2014
Member since Oct 2004
100221 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
very reasoned explanation


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Amocat1
LSU Fan
Tacoma
Member since Sep 2006
480 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback


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catholictigerfan
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2009
43885 posts
Online

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
quote:

50% Cotton, 40% Outback, 5% Chicken, 5% Gator




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Chadwick
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Aug 2011
1682 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
Awesome job as usual Matt.

I also request a sticky.


Smalls
LSU Fan
The South
Member since Jul 2009
5019 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
Honestly, I would.rather play in Tampa. Change of scenery.


TriumphTiger
LSU Fan
Snellville, GA
Member since Sep 2007
6794 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
quote:

Cotton is obligated to take the loser of the SECCG if still available


Other things I have read indicate this as well. I didn't find anything that says this officially though.


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rygu96
LSU Fan
Larose, La
Member since Nov 2007
134 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
Awesome Info!!!!!! It makes since!!


Walter White
LSU Fan
Lafayette/New Orleans
Member since Sep 2012
2633 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
FWIW, Jerry Palm still has us going to the Cotton in his latest bowl projections as of this morning:

LINK




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tzimme4
LSU Fan
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
9939 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
Missouri playing in the Cotton would make sense because they're a former Big 12 school playing against an former rival. They would travel for this game as well. This is the same reasoning why A&M playing Oklahoma last year made a good fit. Which is why I think we'll play on a New Year's Day bowl.


AustinTigr
LSU Fan
Austin, TX
Member since Dec 2004
883 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
I want whatever outcome that doesn't send Alabama to the NC game. Period.



dchunk
LSU Fan
Member since Dec 2010
415 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
quote:

Honestly, I would.rather play in Tampa. Change of scenery.


Agree, but the game starts at 11 am Eastern.


catholictigerfan
LSU Fan
Member since Oct 2009
43885 posts
Online

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
quote:

Missouri playing in the Cotton would make sense because they're a former Big 12 school playing against an former rival. They would travel for this game as well. This is the same reasoning why A&M playing Oklahoma last year made a good fit. Which is why I think we'll play on a New Year's Day bowl.



the problem with this that the cap one bowl and the outback bowl would both have to pass on mizzou. Only if the rule the OP mention about the cotton having to take the loser is true than Mizzou will go Cap one or Outback (assuming they lose)
This post was edited on 12/1 at 11:02 am


Dead End
USA Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2013
2204 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
Cotton sounds nice. We'll see what happens.



siliconvalleytiger
LSU Fan
Bay Area, CA
Member since Apr 2004
23537 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
On the money as usual. Nice work.


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saderade
New Orleans Saints Fan
America's City
Member since Jul 2005
21634 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
When is the last time a SECW team played in the Outback? I thought it had been years.

ETA: Auburn in 09 but before that 1996
This post was edited on 12/1 at 11:51 am


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Off McVoy
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2006
758 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
The Outback is NOT at 11 eastern anymore- its on at 1 eastern- has been for last couple of years- exact same time as cap one.


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Rice N Gravyy
LSU Fan
Palm Beach, Florida
Member since Oct 2013
266 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
As long as the game is in Florida I am happy.


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CubsFanBudMan
Member since Jul 2008
1000 posts

re: Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
CFN has aTm in the Cotton over LSU, which goes to Atlanta vs. Duke. I don't see the SEC office letting that happen. Also, does the Cotton really want a 4 lose team that is on a 2 game losing streak? I may be biased, but I don't see how there isn't a bold line drawn between the top 5 teams and top 5 bowls at 3 loses.


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