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Bowl Projections : Looks like LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
Posted on 12/1/13 at 9:57 am
Posted on 12/1/13 at 9:57 am
Coaches Poll - LSU #14
BCS Bowl Predictions
National Title Game: Florida State versus Auburn
Rose: Stanford vs. MSU
Orange: Ohio State vs. Clemson
Sugar: Bama vs. OU
Fiesta: Baylor vs. UCF
LSU Bowl Scenario
Alabama will join Auburn in the BCS bowls leaving the Capital One Bowl to have their choice between South Carolina and Missouri. How they choose will have a big impact on LSU's bowl scenario.
My guess is the Capital One takes 10-2 South Carolina. The Outback Bowl then gets first crack at 11-2 Missouri being an SEC east team. If they take them, the Cotton chooses between 9-3 LSU and 8-4 A&M and they probably take LSU. However, the Outback may pass on Missouri since they are so far away and may not have huge TV appeal. Missouri would be then locked into the Cotton by the "safety net rule" and the Outback chooses between LSU, A&M, and 8-4 Georgia. I think they take LSU there as I doubt that pass on an 11 win Missouri team to take an 8-win team.
If the Cap One takes Missouri instead, conventional wisdom would say that the Outback would take 10-2 SC. But they played there last year and SC has made it very clear they don't want to go and would rather the Cotton. My guess is the Outback doesn't want a team that isn't excited about it and passes on them - again leaving LSU, A&M and UGA. Probably going with LSU.
If the Outback does pass over LSU for A&M or UGA, it goes to the Chicken. I think they know how upset LSU fans would be about it and pass sending LSU to the Gator.
Update at 4:00 pm - Looks like Outback against Iowa
Times Picayune: LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
BCS Bowl Predictions
National Title Game: Florida State versus Auburn
Rose: Stanford vs. MSU
Orange: Ohio State vs. Clemson
Sugar: Bama vs. OU
Fiesta: Baylor vs. UCF
LSU Bowl Scenario
Alabama will join Auburn in the BCS bowls leaving the Capital One Bowl to have their choice between South Carolina and Missouri. How they choose will have a big impact on LSU's bowl scenario.
My guess is the Capital One takes 10-2 South Carolina. The Outback Bowl then gets first crack at 11-2 Missouri being an SEC east team. If they take them, the Cotton chooses between 9-3 LSU and 8-4 A&M and they probably take LSU. However, the Outback may pass on Missouri since they are so far away and may not have huge TV appeal. Missouri would be then locked into the Cotton by the "safety net rule" and the Outback chooses between LSU, A&M, and 8-4 Georgia. I think they take LSU there as I doubt that pass on an 11 win Missouri team to take an 8-win team.
If the Cap One takes Missouri instead, conventional wisdom would say that the Outback would take 10-2 SC. But they played there last year and SC has made it very clear they don't want to go and would rather the Cotton. My guess is the Outback doesn't want a team that isn't excited about it and passes on them - again leaving LSU, A&M and UGA. Probably going with LSU.
If the Outback does pass over LSU for A&M or UGA, it goes to the Chicken. I think they know how upset LSU fans would be about it and pass sending LSU to the Gator.
Update at 4:00 pm - Looks like Outback against Iowa
quote:
@RabalaisAdv: Breaking: source tells The Advocate #LSU will play Iowa in the Outback Bowl bowl Jan 1 in Tampa.
Times Picayune: LSU vs. Iowa in Outback
This post was edited on 12/8/13 at 4:42 pm
46
Posted on 12/1/13 at 9:59 am to lsumatt
quote:
lsumatt
Nails, as usual. thanks
Sticky this.
ETA:
quote:
no way in hell they pass on 11-2 Bama
I like it. 11-2 Bama
This post was edited on 12/1/13 at 10:01 am
Posted on 12/1/13 at 9:59 am to lsumatt
very reasoned explanation
Posted on 12/1/13 at 9:59 am to lsumatt
Posted on 12/1/13 at 10:00 am to lsumatt
quote:
50% Cotton, 40% Outback, 5% Chicken, 5% Gator
Posted on 12/1/13 at 10:08 am to lsumatt
Awesome job as usual Matt.
I also request a sticky.
I also request a sticky.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 10:28 am to lsumatt
Honestly, I would.rather play in Tampa. Change of scenery.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 10:28 am to lsumatt
quote:
Cotton is obligated to take the loser of the SECCG if still available
Other things I have read indicate this as well. I didn't find anything that says this officially though.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 10:30 am to Chadwick
Awesome Info!!!!!! It makes since!!
Posted on 12/1/13 at 10:36 am to rygu96
Missouri playing in the Cotton would make sense because they're a former Big 12 school playing against an former rival. They would travel for this game as well. This is the same reasoning why A&M playing Oklahoma last year made a good fit. Which is why I think we'll play on a New Year's Day bowl.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 10:46 am to tzimme4
I want whatever outcome that doesn't send Alabama to the NC game. Period.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 10:51 am to Smalls
quote:
Honestly, I would.rather play in Tampa. Change of scenery.
Agree, but the game starts at 11 am Eastern.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 10:55 am to tzimme4
quote:
Missouri playing in the Cotton would make sense because they're a former Big 12 school playing against an former rival. They would travel for this game as well. This is the same reasoning why A&M playing Oklahoma last year made a good fit. Which is why I think we'll play on a New Year's Day bowl.
the problem with this that the cap one bowl and the outback bowl would both have to pass on mizzou. Only if the rule the OP mention about the cotton having to take the loser is true than Mizzou will go Cap one or Outback (assuming they lose)
This post was edited on 12/1/13 at 11:02 am
Posted on 12/1/13 at 10:59 am to catholictigerfan
Cotton sounds nice. We'll see what happens.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 11:02 am to lsumatt
On the money as usual. Nice work.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 11:02 am to Dead End
When is the last time a SECW team played in the Outback? I thought it had been years.
ETA: Auburn in 09 but before that 1996
ETA: Auburn in 09 but before that 1996
This post was edited on 12/1/13 at 11:51 am
Posted on 12/1/13 at 11:09 am to dchunk
The Outback is NOT at 11 eastern anymore- its on at 1 eastern- has been for last couple of years- exact same time as cap one.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 11:18 am to lsumatt
As long as the game is in Florida I am happy.
Posted on 12/1/13 at 11:30 am to lsumatt
CFN has aTm in the Cotton over LSU, which goes to Atlanta vs. Duke. I don't see the SEC office letting that happen. Also, does the Cotton really want a 4 lose team that is on a 2 game losing streak? I may be biased, but I don't see how there isn't a bold line drawn between the top 5 teams and top 5 bowls at 3 loses.
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