Your looking at the wrong thing, stars don't mean shite.

I mean, I think both sides have strong arguments.

I think the staff should get the benefit of the doubt, and we as fan should always be concerned and questioning their judgements.

That is what builds national championship programs. Concern from all parties.

If you look at the recruiting rankings throughout they years they are never perfect, but always a good indicator. a five-star recruit has a 50/50 shot a being a good College player and 1/4 of being objectively great. a 4-star player has roughly a 1/3 chance of becoming a productive player and a 3-star has like a 1/8 chance of being a good started at LSU. yes more 3-star players get drafted, but there are thousands of 3-stars and only 30 five stars, and 300 or so 4-stars. in short, stars aren't everything, but they mean something.

I disagree.

They mean something. They just don't mean everything.

Just one piece of information out of many that needs to be combined to paint an accurate picture or come to a conclusion.

Very true, but remember stars are meant to predict future performance in college, not pros.....

quote:

---

Very true, but remember stars are meant to predict future performance in college, not pros.....

---

There is a lot of overlap.

quote:

---

The final rankings, not the rankings in June.

---

Agreed. And the people that are boasting how highly ranked our class is right now are in denial. We're ranked highly now because of quantity not quality.

I'll give O the benefit of the doubt no matter what, but the denial and excuses on the board are comical.

I look at it like this, an individual players ranking is a bit of a crap shoot. Usually about 15-18 players will be 5 stars across all four services. Tre White was a 3,4,4,5 I believe. Of these 3 star players committed, probably half to two thirds will end up with at least one 4 star ranking. The average player ranking is a good indicator for a class as a whole. I'll also add that a balanced class by position group is important as well because being heavy at two position groups can skew the numbers e.g. 7 DBs rated 4/5 helps with averages, but since only 4-6 can play at the same time and perhaps you have 10 DBs returning anyway you maybe weaker with depth at other groups which just prolongs the cycle for the next year.

quote:

---

If you look at the recruiting rankings throughout they years they are never perfect, but always a good indicator. a five-star recruit has a 50/50 shot a being a good College player and 1/4 of being objectively great. a 4-star player has roughly a 1/3 chance of becoming a productive player and a 3-star has like a 1/8 chance of being a good started at LSU. yes more 3-star players get drafted, but there are thousands of 3-stars and only 30 five stars, and 300 or so 4-stars. in short, stars aren't everything, but they mean something.

---

quote:

---

Even in June they mean something. with players like Leonard Fournette, it is very obvious from years out that they will be great players

---

The Ratings change a lot during the year. They change a lot after the all-star games. With that said, player evaluation is key. Washington and Clemson do a pretty good job of it. 1/2 of the final four supported the star gazers and the other 1/2 supported coaching evaluation. You can even Argue that Penn St. had a case to be in there and they aren't a consistent top 5 recruiting team either.