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re: The Official tzimme4 Fantasy Prediction/Analysis/Keephisasshere Thread

Posted on 8/20/15 at 1:47 pm to
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71953 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

Posted by BilJ on 8/20/15 at 1:34 pm to GynoSandberg Cruz was already regressing before the horrific injury


Of course. Still need to factor in the looks Cruz will steal

quote:


By worry, I mean Cruz just eating his production up

If I draft OBJ, I'm looking for what I got last season. I'm looking for Antonio brown numbers


If he builds on his numbers from last year over the course of 16 games, you are talking GOAT status. Unlikely IMO

If he put up the same numbers over 16, you're talking best WR in the league. Possibly but still unlikely IMO

If he regresses slightly you're still looking at 2nd/3rd rd value at worst

For me, I know Antonio is gonna flirt with 120 balls, DT88 leads WR in 100 yard games and RZ targets over the past few years, Dez gonna get 1200 and 10, Julio is best WR in the L when healthy, AJ and Megatron have huge floors... I'm just not pulling the trigger on Beckham over proven commodities.
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158721 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 1:52 pm to
Julio is the guy I keep flirting with the possibility of being the #1 WR in all formats

can't quite bring myself to put him over AB....but
This post was edited on 8/20/15 at 1:55 pm
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 2:07 pm to
I guess I need to get down to it. I don't see beckham regressing


I'm worried about his targets
Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
28356 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 2:16 pm to
X WR in Kyle Shannonhan system will eat. He's #1 or #2 at the end of the season
Posted by Gtothemoney
Da North Shore
Member since Sep 2012
17713 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 2:20 pm to
Best Rookie since Moss. But he still has Eli throwing him the ball.

Some days you get the dude on the left. But when you need him, you get the Eli on the right.

Posted by AmOutlawBR
Louisiana
Member since Jun 2014
1153 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 2:21 pm to
Antonio Brown

over/under 115 receptions and why?
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71953 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 2:43 pm to
quote:

X WR in Kyle Shannonhan system will eat. He's #1 or #2 at the end of the season


Lol like the system even matters with Julio

Koettler was already running a pass happy scheme
Posted by MrWiseGuy
Member since Dec 2009
27419 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 2:46 pm to
quote:

Julio is the guy I keep flirting with the possibility of being the #1 WR in all formats

can't quite bring myself to put him over AB....but



I got him at No. 2 -- which is why I grabbed him where I did in Fantasy Regulars.

Everything is there -- targets, good offense, dome, scheme. And most importantly, an advanced skillset.

The question is, do owners think last year's 6 touchdowns is the norm, or will he finish with 11-12 or more like the rest of the elite wideouts.
This post was edited on 8/20/15 at 2:48 pm
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158721 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 3:00 pm to
TDs and health bro
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 3:07 pm to
The Falcons just can't get it done in the red zone

A number of dez, OBJ, and Brown's TDs came in red zone or even goal line situations

If you plug Julio jones into those other offenses last year, he scores over 10 TDs.

Posted by tzimme4
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
28356 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 3:43 pm to
Actually the system does matter with Shanahan, Santana Moss, Andre Johnson and Pierre Garcon all #1 or #2 in targets under him. Julio should be no different especially when the Falcons have a shite secondary that will allow a ton of points in which the Falcons will be playing catch up
This post was edited on 8/20/15 at 3:46 pm
Posted by forksup
Member since Dec 2013
8817 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 3:51 pm to
Yeah, I like Julio this season but... If you can't get looks through the air in Koetter's system, it's not very likely things will get THAT much better regardless of Shanahan's X receiver system. I'd imagine Julio in Top 4-6.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71953 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 4:21 pm to
He was 3rd amongst WRs in targets last year and he missed a game and parts of other games

So yeah he will be at the top of targets if he's heathy, regardless.
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 5:59 pm to
Julio was tackled inside the five 10 times last year. Lead the league.

It reminds me of the year Calvin got 49848327282 yards and only 5 scores.
Posted by tigersint
Lafayette
Member since Nov 2012
3546 posts
Posted on 8/20/15 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

Julio was tackled inside the five 10 times last year. Lead the league. It reminds me of the year Calvin got 49848327282 yards and only 5 scores.



Madden curse, bro
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 6:50 pm to
quote:

The Falcons just can't get it done in the red zone

Best red zone percentage in the NFL in 2014. 44 drives, 41 scores.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112198 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 6:52 pm to
How many are TDs vs FGs? I always hated that stat whenever they mix those two together
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 6:53 pm to
That's a good question. The stat on TV did not say.
Posted by wildtigercat93
Member since Jul 2011
112198 posts
Posted on 8/21/15 at 6:56 pm to
that's why I hate that redzone percentage stat, there's no real context to it. Especially in fantasy

I mean a team could be 100 percent over 44 attempts and only score 132 points vs a team that only went 19/44 in the redzone and scored 133. And Team A in that situation has only benefited that teams kicker
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 8/23/15 at 3:17 pm to
Is tzimme4 actually Tristan Cockcroft?

quote:

Ka'Deem Carey, RB, Chicago Bears: It's somewhat strange that he hasn't garnered more attention during the preseason's early weeks, being that there's a growing sentiment that Matt Forte -- that's first-rounder Matt Forte to you -- is due for a disappointing season under new coach John Fox. The Forte criticisms are somewhat fair, being that Fox's sans-Peyton Manning offenses have been more run-oriented, plus Forte is now 29 years old with a good amount of wear on his tires. Carey's combine and preseason performances last season lowered his fantasy stock, yes, but he's still a good between-the-tackles runner capable of absorbing a hefty workload if necessary. To be clear: I hate handcuffing players. But in deeper leagues in which the final-round running backs are scarce, Carey simply makes sense for Forte owners.
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