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re: Eric Ebron 2016 expectations?

Posted on 7/20/16 at 5:59 am to
Posted by DallasTiger45
Member since May 2012
8419 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 5:59 am to
People are expecting Cousins to play like his 2nd half all season, yet he's going at an ADP of QB15? 2nd half Kirk was a top 7 QB, seems like there's plenty of regression baked into that price. And Reed was plenty productive in the first half, even when Kirk wasn't playing as well- avg 7 catches for 70 yards and .6 TD's a game.

This is a good offense that has a weak defensive division and should be seeing plenty of red zone opportunities. We may differ in our opinions of Garçon and Crowder, but they certainly aren't red zone threats. Reed should dominate red zone touches.

The injury concern is legitimate. I don't think the concerns about his target share or QB are.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 8:03 am to
quote:

I don't think the concerns about his target share or QB are.


These are small things that add up. I don't think they are major concerns individually.

quote:

People are expecting Cousins to play like his 2nd half all season, yet he's going at an ADP of QB15? 2nd half Kirk was a top 7 QB, seems like there's plenty of regression baked into that price. And Reed was plenty productive in the first half, even when Kirk wasn't playing as well- avg 7 catches for 70 yards and .6 TD's a game.


Im talking about Cousins in regards to producing viable pass catchers, not his fantasy value as a whole. 3 of Reed's biggest games came to close out the season last year, amounting for 36% of his PPR total points (if you add in the 4th big game, that's 50%). This is where the Redskins left us. That's where the perception lies; people are thinking Reed is that guy averaging near 29 per game in that stretch while Cousins was killing it.

quote:

even when Kirk wasn't playing as well- avg 7 catches for 70 yards


And this is who Reed is. Which is good when you mix in the red zone targets, which yes, he should get.

quote:

This is a good offense


Well, depending on Cousins.



I think you are making an argument that doesnt really exist. Where do you have a Reed ranked as a PPR TE?
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278154 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 8:29 am to
what kind of numbers are we predicting for Reed and Cousins?


I like Reed if healthy, but im with you, im not drafting him.


I think Cousins regresses too. I need to see a another year where he flirts with 30 TDs to believe he is the real deal.
Posted by forksup
Member since Dec 2013
8817 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 8:46 am to
I would pick him up around 11 when the QBs go flying just because he's in a weak division. I will probably take a chance on Tannehill again though. If neither work, WW time like last year
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 8:46 am to
If he plays 16 games? He's a top 5 TE

Cousins may be a bye week fill in QB
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158722 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 9:15 am to
I'd say Cousins is a good match up QB, not just bye week fodder.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 9:34 am to
Same thing to me, without knowing the "matchups" yet
Posted by BilJ
Member since Sep 2003
158722 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 9:46 am to
I disagree they're the same thing.

bye week fodder is an alex smith. You start him that 1 week you need him to give you decent points, decent floor but not much of ceiling either.

Cousins is ideal for the types that wait on QB, you pair him with an Eli Manning or Matt Ryan and play the better match up. I trust Cousins and that offense enough to light up poor defenses.
This post was edited on 7/20/16 at 9:47 am
Posted by FlappingPierre
St. George
Member since Nov 2013
4400 posts
Posted on 7/20/16 at 2:27 pm to
Zach Miller.. Gonna be real good this year. And dirt cheap
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