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re: 2015 Bold Fantasy Baseball Predictions

Posted on 3/26/15 at 2:04 pm to
Posted by Lester Earl
Member since Nov 2003
278154 posts
Posted on 3/26/15 at 2:04 pm to
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 3/26/15 at 2:24 pm to
J Roll went 17-28 last season as a sick MI power-speed guy. I am not sure how much more he could improve overall.
Posted by CE Tiger
Metairie
Member since Jan 2008
41584 posts
Posted on 3/26/15 at 6:36 pm to
quote:

*Avisail Garcia is a top 20 OF, hitting 25 bombs and driving in 80+



Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 3/31/15 at 3:48 pm to
Tristan Cockroft's BOLD Prediction (Most arent bold but whatevs)

• Yasiel Puig will win the National League's MVP award. Considering that in 2014 he had minus-2 defensive WAR, 2 Defensive Runs Saved and a minus-2.3 Ultimate Zone Rating -- meaning he was effectively a league average to slightly below-average defender -- think about what that means in terms of his offense.

• This will be the first season since 2009 that Troy Tulowitzki plays in at least 145 games.

• Freddie Freeman will finish the season one of the 10 highest-scoring hitters, using ESPN's standard points-league settings.

• Stephen Strasburg will win the National League's Cy Young Award.

• Remember those 80-steal expectations that optimistic fantasy owners had for Billy Hamilton? This season they'll come to fruition, as he steals at least 25 more bases in 2015 than in 2014, making him the first player to reach the 80-steal plateau since Vince Coleman and Rickey Henderson in 1988.

• Kole Calhoun will lead the majors in runs scored.

• While everyone claims he'll miss time due to injury, Johnny Cueto will make another 30-plus starts and finish among the top 10 starters on the Player Rater for the second consecutive season.

• Cueto will also complete said season with the Cleveland Indians, getting traded there in the final week of July and making him by far the biggest AL-only league FAAB prize of 2014. Better yet: The Indians will land him without having to surrender top prospect Francisco Lindor.

• Masahiro Tanaka will finish higher on the Player Rater than he did in 2014; he was the No. 27 starting pitcher and No. 116 player overall last season. In fact, he'll make at least 25 starts, five more than last season.

• Yan Gomes will lead all catchers in home runs.

• Kris Bryant will still be with Triple-A Iowa on April 17 . . . and April 20 . . . and April 25 . . . and ... May 10! He'll make his big league debut in the May 11 opener of a seven-game homestand, and will still hit 20 home runs.

• Among the 68 pitchers who made at least 30 starts in 2014, Kyle Gibson will enjoy the largest increase in strikeouts, adding at least 40 to his total.

• Brett Cecil will finish higher among relief pitchers on the 2015 Player Rater than Jake McGee did in 2014 (that's 15th, incidentally).

• Evan Marshall will save at least 30 games for the Arizona Diamondbacks.

• Despite beginning the season in the bullpen, Kevin Gausman will be the highest-rated Baltimore Orioles pitcher on our Player Rater. Yes, that includes the closer, Zach Britton.

• Josh Donaldson will hit at least 35 home runs for the Toronto Blue Jays. Yes, it's an old, bold call: I made this one in December, but in case you missed it, here's a recap.

This post was edited on 3/31/15 at 3:51 pm
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 3/31/15 at 3:49 pm to
• Jeurys Familia will lead the New York Mets in saves.

• Ryan Braun will stay healthy and exceed every one of the five Rotisserie categorical contributions we've projected for him.

• Gerrit Cole will strike out 220 batters with a 2.90 ERA.

• Manny Machado's career high for home runs in a season was 14, set in 2013. He'll hit at least that many after the All-Star break in 2015.

• More Orioles: Chris Davis will finish in the top five in baseball in home runs . . . and the bottom five in (qualified) batting average.

• Despite an ERA higher than 3.00, Rick Porcello will win 20 games.

• Matt Shoemaker's ERA will rise by at least one run.

• The Houston Astros won't declare a closer when breaking camp, but internally they'll have decided upon "their guy," and that individual will finish among the Player Rater's top 10 closers. His name: Luke Gregerson.

• The Boston Red Sox's team leader in saves in 2015 will be a pitcher who is not currently on the roster. Sorry, Koji Uehara owners.

• The American League's Rookie of the Year will be a member of the Blue Jays, but it will be neither Aaron Sanchez nor Daniel Norris. Instead, it'll be their starting center fielder, Dalton Pompey.

• Alex Guerrero will finish higher on the Player Rater than a fellow Cuban import playing in the National League West, Yasmany Tomas.

• He'll cost you a ninth-round pick in ESPN standard leagues, but Dee Gordon will finish outside the Player Rater top 100. Meanwhile, Micah Johnson will go at least 15 rounds later, but will finish within 20 spots of Gordon overall on the final Player Rater.

• Ricky Nolasco will finish higher on the Player Rater this season than Minnesota Twins rotation mate Ervin Santana. It's a minimal-impact one, I know, but it's also a legitimate home-league "board bet" I've got with a fellow owner.

• Joey Gallo will have a Kevin Maas-esque -- or, for those with more recent memories, Tino Martinez's May 2005 -- major league debut in his first two weeks in August, but then he will do positively nothing else for his fantasy owners the remainder of the year, other than ruin their teams' batting averages. (Handy hint: Trade him after a week's worth of gift home runs.)

• Michael Taylor will finish higher on the Player Rater this season than Steven Souza.

• Take this, workload worriers: Madison Bumgarner will finish exactly ninth among starting pitchers on our Player Rater for the third consecutive year.

• Jered Weaver will be the first pitcher to win 19-plus games despite a 4.00-plus ERA since Andy Pettitte in 2003 (21 wins, 4.02 ERA). Just so you don't misread that as a glowing fantasy endorsement: Besides his wins total, Weaver's contributions in the four other primary Rotisserie categories (ERA, WHIP, K's and saves) will all rank outside the top 40.

• At the end of the year, fantasy owners will look at the final Player Rater and ask: "Boy, how did Rick Porcello wind up a top-30 starter?" He'll be that productive, and few will have even noticed while it was happening . . . kind of how Phil Hughes did the same in 2014.

• Jason Hammel will be the National League's such pitcher.

• Shane Greene will strike out 180 batters.

• Aroldis Chapman will become only the second player in the history of baseball to save at least 40 games, strike out at least 125 batters and post an ERA under 2.00. The other: Eric Gagne (2003, with 55, 137 and 1.20).

• Nelson Cruz will hit at least 33 home runs.

• Both A.J. Pollock and Steve Pearce will finish higher on the Player Rater than Carlos Gonzalez.

• At season's end, Arismendy Alcantara in ESPN standard leagues will possess eligibility at second base, third base, shortstop, left field and center field (for those who use separate outfield positions). That might not sound like a prediction, but considering he's only second-and-center (or just "outfield") eligible today, think about what kind of year he'd need to have to gain at least 10 games at all of those spots.

• Bryce Harper won't enjoy the kind of season-long breakthrough that has fantasy owners abuzz, but he'll be a top-25 finisher on the Player Rater, and will be the game's most productive player the final six weeks of the season, setting himself up for a first-round ranking entering 2016.

• Ben Zobrist won't reach double digits in either home runs or stolen bases, yet he'll still find his way into the final Player Rater top 200. (How does he do that?!?!)

• Carlos Santana will conclude the season ranked among the top 10 first-base eligibles and top five third-base eligibles.

• At season's end, Miguel Sano will have more home runs and a higher Player Rater finish than Trevor Plouffe, despite having fewer plate appearances.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 3/31/15 at 3:50 pm to
Robinson Cano will not only mount a challenge to his career high of 33 home runs, he'll also lead the American League in batting average.

• Though he'll fall short of Cano's final total in the category, Jedd Gyorko will finish second among second basemen in home runs.

• In this, their 47th season of existence, the San Diego Padres will finally get their first no-hitter: It'll be thrown by Tyson Ross.

• This one's for my colleague and friend Eric Karabell: Dan Uggla will hit at least 20 home runs and make at least half the starts at second base for the Washington Nationals.

• Justin Upton will set a personal best in home runs despite playing half his games at Petco Park. His career high is 31, set in 2011.

• Javier Baez won't be back with the Chicago Cubs before Sept. 1.

• Avisail Garcia will finish higher on the Player Rater than a fellow player with his initials "A.G.": Alex Gordon.

• I once did this prediction upon request before the start of the 2010 season, and got the correct answer (Jason Heyward), so why not give it another try? The first home run of 2015 will be hit by Anthony Rizzo. He will hit at least 36 more.
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
51036 posts
Posted on 3/31/15 at 3:56 pm to
Damn.. Guererro, Micah J & Taylor.. Tristan would love my TDBL squad
Posted by MrWiseGuy
Member since Dec 2009
27419 posts
Posted on 3/31/15 at 5:18 pm to
quote:

• This one's for my colleague and friend Eric Karabell: Dan Uggla will hit at least 20 home runs and make at least half the starts at second base for the Washington Nationals.


Scooped him up in FSBDL the other day

quote:

• Alex Guerrero will finish higher on the Player Rater than a fellow Cuban import playing in the National League West, Yasmany Tomas.


Already said Guerrero hits 20+ HRs in this thread.
This post was edited on 3/31/15 at 6:51 pm
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 3/31/15 at 6:30 pm to
A few scouts are whispering Tomas already may be more Viceido than Abrue
Posted by MrWiseGuy
Member since Dec 2009
27419 posts
Posted on 3/31/15 at 6:49 pm to
But that at 3B is still valuable

Keith Law flat out says Tomas can't play third. But I believe his last game was at third.

This post was edited on 3/31/15 at 6:51 pm
Posted by Honkus
Member since Aug 2005
51036 posts
Posted on 3/31/15 at 6:52 pm to
quote:

at 3B is still valuable



Not if that's in Reno
Posted by MrWiseGuy
Member since Dec 2009
27419 posts
Posted on 3/31/15 at 6:54 pm to
And this is true
Posted by Vicks Kennel Club
29-24 #BlewDat
Member since Dec 2010
31060 posts
Posted on 3/31/15 at 7:18 pm to
Eno Sarris basically calls Tomas Viciedo 2.0. The most positive thing I heard was a player comp to Trumbo and that sounds like best case.
Posted by MrWiseGuy
Member since Dec 2009
27419 posts
Posted on 4/1/15 at 3:02 pm to
quote:


Good
Rob Refsnyder takes over in June at 2B for Yanks. Great avg, OBP and runs. Meh in SBs.



@BryanHoch: Rob Refsnyder will be "a name that's thrown around a lot today" in meetings, Joe Girardi said.

Posted by reddman
Member since Jul 2005
78186 posts
Posted on 4/1/15 at 3:18 pm to
Been trying to find a way to add him in TDBL. Just dropped Niese for him. We'll see how long that lasts.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 4/1/15 at 3:38 pm to
Hard to party with niese I imagine. Gonna be tough to see him in the free agent pool all year
Posted by Louie T
htx
Member since Dec 2006
36300 posts
Posted on 4/1/15 at 3:42 pm to
Zach McAllister finna make the ASG.
Posted by reddman
Member since Jul 2005
78186 posts
Posted on 4/1/15 at 3:45 pm to
quote:

Hard to party with niese I imagine. Gonna be tough to see him in the free agent pool all year




When you have the staff that I have, Niese will probably be in and out of my roster half a dozen times.
Posted by papz
Austin, TX
Member since Jul 2008
9330 posts
Posted on 4/1/15 at 3:53 pm to
It's weird how all of a sudden he's hitting 99 on the gun.
Posted by GynoSandberg
Member since Jan 2006
71957 posts
Posted on 4/1/15 at 4:01 pm to
I do like Refsynder, though. Actually had him for a bit last year in TDBL hoping he would get the call and drafted him this year and dropped him.. was hoping i could go back to him later
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