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Nate Silver is done ; It's Over

Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:24 am
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
41290 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:24 am
What an epic crash and burn.
So many arrogant libs threw his bull shite models in everyone's face.
He's done.
Posted by Tyler9258
Auburn
Member since Dec 2013
4204 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:24 am to
Nasty guy
Posted by heartbreakTiger
grinding for my grinders
Member since Jan 2008
138974 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:25 am to
its time to taunt him over and over, force him to melt
Posted by DelU249
Austria
Member since Dec 2010
77625 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:25 am to
My predictions were almost entirely anecdotal and more accurate than his bullshite
Posted by weptiger
Georgia
Member since Feb 2007
10308 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:26 am to
Screw Nate Pyrite
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
41290 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:26 am to
quote:

My predictions were almost entirely anecdotal and more accurate than his bullshite


mine too
Posted by NCAAFootballGenius
Member since Nov 2006
323 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:26 am to
Nate needs no hate this morning. He had Trump at 30% to win which is completely reasonable.

He is a liberal trying to do a good job. We all have biases.
Posted by gthog61
Irving, TX
Member since Nov 2009
71001 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:26 am to
He can take his 85% bitch probability of winning in August and shove it up his arse.
Posted by BeeFense5
Kenner
Member since Jul 2010
41290 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:28 am to
Nate still has trump at 0% to win the primary
Posted by bwallcubfan
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2007
38113 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:32 am to
Listening to the 538 podcast from Monday just to hear the fail. Opened with 76% chance of victory for Hillary.
This post was edited on 11/9/16 at 6:34 am
Posted by EZE Tiger Fan
Member since Jul 2004
50167 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:33 am to
No. He's not.

He relied on polls that were purposely slanted.

This was a massive, coordinated effort to rig an election in many ways. Trump was right all along.

I can't believe I'm sticking up for these two people in one thread. I can't stand either of them. LOL
Posted by CamdenTiger
Member since Aug 2009
62355 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:37 am to
Brexit, and now this, poor guy!
Posted by AFtigerFan
Ohio
Member since Feb 2008
3236 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:42 am to
I didn't understand his methodology to begin with. When looking at his forecasts, it seemed the A rated polls were more in Trump's favor. That only changed when the B and C rated polls were taken into account. I pointed this out to a Dem friend of mine, and he agreed. He said he still wasn't worried though because of all the reported polls. I can't wait to talk to him today.
This post was edited on 11/9/16 at 6:43 am
Posted by emoney
Westerville, OH
Member since May 2010
8642 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:47 am to
His polls actually gave a hell of a lot more credit to Trump than just about any others. He had Trump ahead at times during the campaign. All the polls were pretty much wrong.
Posted by TakingStock
Member since Jun 2009
6090 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:48 am to
But the 538 Forecast says TRUMP has a 19% chance of winning!
Posted by lsumatt
Austin
Member since Feb 2005
12812 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:48 am to
I know he is a big lib but I don't understand the hate for Silver. You developed a model based on polling inputs to predict probabilities. His model is only as good as those inputs which are out of his control and how you and me respond on a phone.

His prediction gave trump nearly a 30% chance as of Monday night and gave him good chances in the rust belt states he won. He was fighting with the left through yesterday.

This post was edited on 11/9/16 at 6:59 am
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10251 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:55 am to
He the thing about Nate. All he does is aggregate the polls with some "tweaks" to the modeling, and his "secret sauce" turned about to be nothing special. That's it. Garbage in, garbage out.

So, he was using the same bullshite polls everyone else was, so it's not surprising. At least he got a little closer than most gave Trump credit for.
Posted by LPTReb
Member since Jul 2016
467 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:17 am to
Didn't he give Trump a much higher chance than the other forecasting sites? I seem to remember that he was called out and ridiculed for predicting that Trump had a real chance.
Posted by barry
Location, Location, Location
Member since Aug 2006
50336 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:24 am to
quote:

What an epic crash and burn. So many arrogant libs threw his bull shite models in everyone's face. He's done.


You don't understand how odds work do you?
Posted by Draconian Sanctions
Markey's bar
Member since Oct 2008
84766 posts
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:24 am to
Nate has been saying Hillary was weak in the rust belt for months. He's not a pollster, he just aggregates them.
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