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Started By
Message
Nate Silver is done ; It's Over
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:24 am
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:24 am
What an epic crash and burn.
So many arrogant libs threw his bull shite models in everyone's face.
He's done.
So many arrogant libs threw his bull shite models in everyone's face.
He's done.
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:25 am to BeeFense5
its time to taunt him over and over, force him to melt
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:25 am to BeeFense5
My predictions were almost entirely anecdotal and more accurate than his bullshite
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:26 am to DelU249
quote:
My predictions were almost entirely anecdotal and more accurate than his bullshite
mine too
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:26 am to BeeFense5
Nate needs no hate this morning. He had Trump at 30% to win which is completely reasonable.
He is a liberal trying to do a good job. We all have biases.
He is a liberal trying to do a good job. We all have biases.
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:26 am to BeeFense5
He can take his 85% bitch probability of winning in August and shove it up his arse.
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:28 am to gthog61
Nate still has trump at 0% to win the primary
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:32 am to BeeFense5
Listening to the 538 podcast from Monday just to hear the fail. Opened with 76% chance of victory for Hillary.
This post was edited on 11/9/16 at 6:34 am
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:33 am to BeeFense5
No. He's not.
He relied on polls that were purposely slanted.
This was a massive, coordinated effort to rig an election in many ways. Trump was right all along.
I can't believe I'm sticking up for these two people in one thread. I can't stand either of them. LOL
He relied on polls that were purposely slanted.
This was a massive, coordinated effort to rig an election in many ways. Trump was right all along.
I can't believe I'm sticking up for these two people in one thread. I can't stand either of them. LOL
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:37 am to EZE Tiger Fan
Brexit, and now this, poor guy!
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:42 am to CamdenTiger
I didn't understand his methodology to begin with. When looking at his forecasts, it seemed the A rated polls were more in Trump's favor. That only changed when the B and C rated polls were taken into account. I pointed this out to a Dem friend of mine, and he agreed. He said he still wasn't worried though because of all the reported polls. I can't wait to talk to him today.
This post was edited on 11/9/16 at 6:43 am
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:47 am to BeeFense5
His polls actually gave a hell of a lot more credit to Trump than just about any others. He had Trump ahead at times during the campaign. All the polls were pretty much wrong.
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:48 am to BeeFense5
But the 538 Forecast says TRUMP has a 19% chance of winning!
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:48 am to BeeFense5
I know he is a big lib but I don't understand the hate for Silver. You developed a model based on polling inputs to predict probabilities. His model is only as good as those inputs which are out of his control and how you and me respond on a phone.
His prediction gave trump nearly a 30% chance as of Monday night and gave him good chances in the rust belt states he won. He was fighting with the left through yesterday.
His prediction gave trump nearly a 30% chance as of Monday night and gave him good chances in the rust belt states he won. He was fighting with the left through yesterday.
This post was edited on 11/9/16 at 6:59 am
Posted on 11/9/16 at 6:55 am to BeeFense5
He the thing about Nate. All he does is aggregate the polls with some "tweaks" to the modeling, and his "secret sauce" turned about to be nothing special. That's it. Garbage in, garbage out.
So, he was using the same bullshite polls everyone else was, so it's not surprising. At least he got a little closer than most gave Trump credit for.
So, he was using the same bullshite polls everyone else was, so it's not surprising. At least he got a little closer than most gave Trump credit for.
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:17 am to BeeFense5
Didn't he give Trump a much higher chance than the other forecasting sites? I seem to remember that he was called out and ridiculed for predicting that Trump had a real chance.
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:24 am to BeeFense5
quote:
What an epic crash and burn. So many arrogant libs threw his bull shite models in everyone's face. He's done.
You don't understand how odds work do you?
Posted on 11/9/16 at 7:24 am to BeeFense5
Nate has been saying Hillary was weak in the rust belt for months. He's not a pollster, he just aggregates them.
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