1. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS
(2-14) Eric Fisher, OT, Central Michigan: Fisher was my pick last week and will remain the Chiefs' pick. Nothing they have done in free agency would indicate they are headed in a different direction.
2. JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
(2-14) Luke Joeckel, OT, Texas A&M: The Jags have many needs but Joeckel will be the highest-ranked player on their board and a 10-year starter.
3. OAKLAND RAIDERS
(4-12) Sharrif Floyd, DT, Florida: Nothing new on the Raiders' front as they take an instant starter on a porous defense.
4. PHILADELPHIA EAGLES
(4-12) Dee Milliner, CB, Alabama: The Eagles may consider QB Geno Smith in this spot but they may come back in the second round for a QB like EJ Manuel.
5. DETROIT LIONS
(4-12) Barkevious Mingo, OLB, LSU: After watching a few more LSU games especially the Washington game I can see the rare athletic ability in Mingo. He reminds me of Jason Taylor but quicker.
6. CLEVELAND BROWNS
(5-11) Jarvis Jones, OLB, Georgia: Granted they signed Paul Kruger but to put Jones 74 plays behind the line of scrimmage on the opposite side makes the Brown defense dangerous.
7. ARIZONA CARDINALS
(5-11) Matt Barkley, QB, Southern California: The rumors about the Cardinals passing on a QB in the first round are hard to believe considering the offense would be left to Drew Stanton and Brian Hoyer. Barkley's pro day is coming and so is his private workout.
8. BUFFALO BILLS
(6-10) Geno Smith, QB, West Virginia: The Bills' situation isn't much different than the Cardinals. There's no chance the Bills are starting Tarvaris Jackson or waiting until the second round and possibly missing out on the QB they want in this draft.
9. NEW YORK JETS
(6-10) Dion Jordan, DE, Oregon: The Jets can't rush the passer and haven't addressed the issue in free agency. The only real pass rushers left in free agency are all older players like Abraham and Freeney.
10. TENNESSEE TITANS
(6-10) Star Lotulelei, DT, Utah: The Utah DT can play NT or "3 Technique" and is a penetrator. His presence will enhance the opportunities for the defensive ends.
11. SAN DIEGO CHARGERS
(7-9) Lane Johnson, OT, Oklahoma: The Chargers need offensive line help at left tackle and guard. Take the LT in the first round and come back later for a guard. Johnson has all the athletic ability in the world to protect Philip Rivers' blind side. He will struggle early with power rushers but will improve quickly.
12. MIAMI DOLPHINS
(7-9) Xavier Rhodes, CB, Florida State: Sean Smith is gone and the Dolphins need a big, physical corner. Rhodes has long arms and is aggressive. He may be an immediate upgrade from Smith.
13. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS
(7-9) Desmond Trufant, CB, Washington: I'm sure the Bucs would like Rhodes in this spot, but Trufant has the quickness and has covered the top receivers in the Pac-12. An opening day starter. However, if the Bucs decide to trade for Darrelle Revis, this pick will change.
14. CAROLINA PANTHERS
(7-9) Chance Warmack, OG, Alabama: Warmack will be graded much higher than the 14th spot, but guards haven't gone in the top 10 in more than 10 years. He's a 10-year starter with a few trips to the Pro Bowl. 15. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS
(7-9) Ezekiel Ansah, DE, Brigham Young:
The Saints need outside linebackers who can rush the passer and be capable of putting their hand on the ground in the four-man rush. Ziggy is not as raw as advertised and will be effective early. Go watch the Senior Bowl to see what this guy is all about.
--completely believable scenario