except that isnt happening at all. those 3 combined for 20 last year. they're not upping their total by 10 along with bregman hitting 10.
Jones had a bad year last year. He has a lot more power than his homerun total. He hit 5 in the Cape last summer in 32 games (and won the home run derby). With the postseason, we'll play around twice that many games. He's also already hit 2 this year. It would not be surprising at all to see him hit 10-12. Katz hit 13 last year, so I expect him to hit somewhere in that vicinity this season. That's ~25 right there. Bregman is supposed to have great power and wouldn't even be playing college ball had he not gotten hurt his senior year of high school. Ross has been one of the most improved hitters on the team the past couple seasons. I don't see him hitting a bunch, but I could definitely see he and Bregman hitting 15 between themselves. That comes out to right around 40 combined between the 4. However, outside those 4, I don't see anyone else on the team hitting more than 4 or 5.
IMO, I think it's a fallacy to say that just because Jones hit 4 last year there's no way he gets to 10-12. Katz only hit 4 in 2011 and hit 13 last year. Jones has every bit as much ability to hit for double digit homeruns as Katz does. There's a reason he's considered a 5 tool type player and is as highly a rated prospect as he is.
This post was edited on 2/21 at 9:17 am