Chance of Tourney? NIT? - Page 2 - TigerDroppings.com

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heartbreakTiger
USA Fan
grinding for my grinders
Member since Jan 2008
117383 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


i dont think that will be enough to get us in the tourny this year because of the sec. However, I dont see how people have us at below 50 % for the nit.





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LSUtoOmaha
LSU Fan
Nashville
Member since Apr 2004
21050 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


Because we could go 18-12 and have an RPI of 90.





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Sheep
USA Fan
Maximizing my upside
Member since Jun 2007
15496 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


quote:

i dont think that will be enough to get us in the tourny this year because of the sec. However, I dont see how people have us at below 50 % for the nit.


That's great.

quote:

Conference is terrible. They'll be lucky to get 5 teams in


And that's great.

I found my post from last year.

I was off on the .500 part. It's "a game above .500", and it's conference record that mattered, not overall.

quote:

Over the last 10 years:

The SEC has failed to get AT LEAST 5 teams in twice (2010, 2009)

Over the last 10 years:

9-7 has been lower than 5th place once (6th place, 2006... you may recall, the SEC had two Final Four teams that year.) Some seasons, 9-7 can get you third, but 5th place is usually where it puts you.

Over the last 10 years:

71 of the 80 SEC tournament semi-finalists made the NCAAs. Of the nine that didn't make it, all but three had records below 9-7. The interesting thing is that those three semifinalists (with records 9-7 or better) came in the last three seasons: Alabama @ 12-4 last year, State at 9-7 in 2010, and Auburn @ 10-6 in 2009.


And that was before last year's tournament.

Last season, the SEC only got four teams in (and Tennessee was the "odd man out" at 10-6 conference, 18-13 overall.) 3 of the 4 SEC tournament semifinalists made it to the NCAAs. (9-7 Alabama made it over 8-8 semifinalist Ole Miss.) I'm pretty sure if Tennessee would have made the semis, they would have gone to the tourney.

So, if LSU finishes above .500 in conference, and makes it to the semis of the tournament, they have a pretty good shot to make the NCAAs.

I think both of those are possible, though they'll have to hold home court and steal one on the road to get above .500.






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The Boat
LSU Fan
Bitch I'm from Louisiana
Member since Oct 2008
59816 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


LSU's RPI is in the 100s. Good luck making it without winning every game from here on out.





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ellessuuuu
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2004
3172 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


ESPN Has our RPI around 99. Assuming we win today (and if not, we have major problems) and go 3 and 3 down the stretch. That puts us at 18-11 (9-9). Win one in the SEC Tournament and we are 19-12 and probably in the NIT.

If we win out and finish 21-8 we would probably be on the bubble. Assuming we win one at the SEC Tournament we finish 22-9 and will have won 9 of 10 with top 50 wins against: Mizzou (twice); Ole Miss (assuming Kennedy doesn't implode) and then maybe Alabama. Also the four point loss at Marquette is looking better. Bad Losses: South Carolina and Auburn. That is a bubble resume.

Given all that my prediction is that we finish 20-12 and make the NIT.



This post was edited on 2/16 at 12:15 pm


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Tiger1242
LSU Fan
Member since Jul 2011
21183 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


quote:

its very likely we win the sec tourney.

LOL wut?






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Drex
LSU Fan
Kenner, Louisiana
Member since Nov 2007
206 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


Our chances are improving with each game down the stretch. We're getting better as a team with every game. How important is a strong finish and what are our odds now ? NCAA ? Still slim to none unless we win out but NIT? 80-90%





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LSUsCRYSTALball
LSU Fan
Member since Dec 2012
1702 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


NIT, maybe

NCAA, no






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The Boat
LSU Fan
Bitch I'm from Louisiana
Member since Oct 2008
59816 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


LSU will be a high seed in the NIT and hopefully get a home game. Unless thee administration wants to be a bitch again this season.





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lsuallen
LSU Fan
reform ,alabama
Member since Dec 2012
89 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


Man,if we can win @ tenn.,we've got bama,arky,&ole miss @ home.we need at least 3 wins in the s.e.c. and a good game against florida if they're in the title game.still may not be enough though.losses to s.carolina and auburn look horrible.





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gotygers
LSU Fan
west St.Tammany
Member since Sep 2007
3016 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


Why would we split our games?

Bama barely beat us at home you don't think we can beat Bama and Ole miss at home? You don't think we can win at Missouri ?

The toughest game may be Tenn on the road.

By the way the team Florida played no longer exist , this team has so improved !

We can run the table . Our two toughest games will be at Tenn and at Missouri . Allot IMHO depends on what happens Tuesday night . If we win and it will be tough we could run the table and make the NCAA with 2 wins in the SECT.



This post was edited on 2/16 at 7:01 pm


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jeff70121
LSU Fan
Metairie
Member since Dec 2011
477 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


Here's how we make the tourney;

1. Get 20 wins
2. Don't get blown out in the losses
3. Win at least two in the SEC tourney
4. Automatic Bid - Win the SEC tourney

Record now 15-8 (6-6) with 6 regular season remaining and then the SEC tourney.

That's my story & I'm sticking to it!







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The Boat
LSU Fan
Bitch I'm from Louisiana
Member since Oct 2008
59816 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


LSU's RPI is 103.

We could have a legitimate discussion about this if LSU didn't lose to Auburn and South Carolina.



This post was edited on 2/16 at 7:16 pm


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fightingtigers98
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
Member since Oct 2011
9183 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


quote:

LSU didn't lose to Auburn and South Carolina.
gonna kill us for the tourny. We will probably make the NIT as a high seed






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LSUGrad9295
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
12313 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


Does anyone recall the dog shite non conference schedule we played? 6 of our OOC wins are vs teams with an RPI of 214 or worse. Our marquee win? You got it. Northwestern State with an RPI of 87. And we have a loss to a 200's RPI team in South Carolina. There is nothing about our resume that even remotely merits NCAA consideration. If we win out, then come talk to me, but even then there won't be much to see. The SEC is horrible compared to past years.





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The Boat
LSU Fan
Bitch I'm from Louisiana
Member since Oct 2008
59816 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


Those Auburn and Arkansas losses suck so much now. LSU would be 8-4 and looking to finish 2nd in the SEC. Oy vey.





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gotygers
LSU Fan
west St.Tammany
Member since Sep 2007
3016 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


We have so improved ! A win over Bama and ole miss and Missouri at Missouri will substantially raise our RPI !!!





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fightingtiger2335
Southeastern LA Fan
heh?
Member since Aug 2007
57110 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


You're so cool





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gotygers
LSU Fan
west St.Tammany
Member since Sep 2007
3016 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


If we win out and make it to the semi finals of the SECT we are in our RPI would be about 50 IMHO . That is if we win out and win 2 games in the SEC T to make the semi finals





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LSUGrad9295
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since May 2007
12313 posts

re: Chance of Tourney? NIT?


Why am I so cool? Because I presented an opinion then backed it up with hard facts?





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