Raleigh, N.C. – When PPP last polled Louisiana in 2010, Bobby Jindal was one of the most popular Governors in the country. 58% of voters approved of the job he was doing to just 34% who disapproved. Over the last two and a half years though there's been a massive downward shift in Jindal's popularity, and he is now one of the most unpopular Governors in the country. Just 37% of voters now think he's doing a good job to 57% who are unhappy with him.
The decline in Jindal's popularity cuts across party lines. Where he was at 81/13 with Republicans in August 2010, now it's 59/35. Where he was at 67/22 with independents back then, now he's at 41/54. And what was a higher than normal amount of crossover support from Democrats at 33/58 is now 15/78. There was a time when Jindal probably would have been seen as a slam dunk candidate for Republicans against Mary Landrieu in 2014. But now he actually trails Landrieu 49/41 in a hypothetical match up.
Trailing Landrieu hardly puts Jindal alone among Louisiana Republicans. She leads all seven we tested against her, by margins ranging from 3 to 12 points. Landrieu has a narrowly positive approval rating with 47% of voters giving her good marks to 45% who disapprove. That's up from 41/53 in August of 2010...her numbers are seeing some recovery from their post Obamacare decline.
The Republican who comes closest to Landrieu is Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne, who trails just 46/43. Dardenne has a 41/23 favorability rating statewide and is seen positively by both Democrats (43/22) and Republicans (42/25). We also tested a number of current or former Republicans members of Congress against Landrieu. Charlie Boustany comes the closest with a 6 point deficit at 48/42. He's followed by Jeff Landry who trails 48/39, Steve Scalise who trails 48/38 and Bill Cassidy who trails 50/40, and John Fleming who trails 50/38.
“Most of the Republicans have low name recognition so it will get closer,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “But Mary Landrieu’s near 50% and in a much stronger position for reelection probably than most people would have expected.”
Add Rep. Charles Boustany, R-La., to the list of potential challengers to Democratic Sen. Mary Landrieu in 2014.
Boustany's campaign declined to say whether the congressman is actively looking at the race, but noted that "many local officials and community leaders approached Congressman Boustany to voice their support for a Boustany Senate candidacy" during recent Mardi Gras events in Washington. According to a campaign spokesman Neal Patel, "The Congressman is committed to providing conservative leadership and getting real results for South Louisiana."
"With supporters from New Orleans to Baton Rouge to Shreveport to South Louisiana, Congressman Boustany continues to reflect on his substantial 22 point victory just two months ago," Patel said, in an e-mail.
That's a clear reference to former Rep. Jeff Landry, R-La., who has also been mentioned for the seat. Boustany beat Landry decisively in a member-vs.-member runoff last December after the two were drawn into the same district; the Pelican State lost a seat following reapportionment. That campaign left Landry with little money and a few burned bridges with state Republicans, giving some pause as to whether he could mount a serious challenge to Landrieu.
Other Republicans with their eyes on Landrieu's seat include Reps. John Fleming and Bill Cassidy. Cassidy's campaign said he was "honored" by the support he's receiving from Louisianans. Cassidy recently traveled outside of his own congressional district to give speeches in conservative Metarie and Slidell, prompting speculation that he may pursue a bid.
The people of Louisiana want from their governor what the Manships tell them they want of their governor. The Manships hate Jindal so after 5 years of Jindal bashing every day on local news and print, it's finally showing dividends in public opinion. The tail has finally started wagging the dog in this case.
You're a complete moron if you really think thats accurate.
-Louisiana could have a fun race for Governor in 2015. New Orleans Mayor Mitch Landrieu is seen pretty positively statewide, with 49% of voters rating him favorably to 26% with an unfavorable opinion. In a hypothetical contest with Senator David Vitter, who has a 46/38 approval rating, the two would be tied at 44%. Landrieu would have a slight edge over Lieutenant Governor Jay Dardenne at 44-42. If Landrieu decided to run it appears that it would be a competitive race.
-Only 24% of voters in Louisiana think Bobby Jindal should run for President in 2o16 to 66% who think he should not. Even among Republicans just 35% would like to see him make a White House bid. In a hypothetical GOP primary field in the state Jindal finishes third at 14%. Marco Rubio leads the way with 21% to 18% for Mike Huckabee and after Jindal it's Chris Christie at 11%, Jeb Bush at 9%, Rand Paul at 8%, Paul Ryan at 7%, Rick Perry at 3%, and Susana Martinez at 1%.
You can add Louisiana to the list of states where Hillary Clinton might be competitive with a 2016 Presidential bid, at least at this stage. She has a 46/44 favorability rating in the state and has 3 points lead over Jindal (48/45) and Rubio (46/43) in hypothetical match ups. She ties Ryan at 46.
-Finally we polled on some historical items in Louisiana. In a rematch of the 1991 Gubernatorial race Edwin Edwards would beat David Duke by a much wider margin than he did the first time around, 62/15. He would even win 44/24 with Republican. Edwards has a 42/44 favorability rating in the state, pretty decent numbers for a politician who's done time. His numbers are better than Barack Obama and Bobby Jindal's there.
One of the features of the federal health care law is that it increases the number of people covered by Medicaid, the program that is run jointly by the federal and state government to provide health care for low income and disabled residents. If states agree to increase the number of people covered, the federal government would pay 100% of the cost for the first four years, and 90% of the cost in the future. If Louisiana participates more Louisianans would receive health coverage, but some critics argue that the state cannot afford future costs of expanding health coverage under Medicaid. First, do you think Louisiana should participate in the expansion of Medicaid or should it not participate?
Should participate in Medicare expansion - 51%
Should not participate in Medicare expansion - 43%
Governor Jindal, a critic of Medicaid expansion, has questioned the state’s ability to pay for future Medicaid costs and has been opposed to expanding coverage to more residents under the Medicaid program. Others have argued that by not participating, Louisiana taxpayers are leaving millions of federal dollars that would be available for health services on the table. On this who do you agree with more
The Governor’s position the Louisiana should not expand Medicaid - 41%
The position of others that we should not leave millions in federal health care dollars on the table - 52%
As of right now do you believe things in Louisiana are going in the right direction or have they gotten off on the wrong track?
Right direction 37.3%
Wrong track 46.9%
Mixed / somewhere in between / depends (DNR) 9.1%
Dont know (DNR) 5.9% Refused (DNR) 0.9%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job done by Bobby Jindal as Governor?(IF ANSWERED ASK :) And do you strongly (approve / disapprove) or just somewhat (approve / disapprove)?
Approve / strongly 21.0%
Approve / somewhat 24.9%
Disapprove / somewhat 11.8%
Disapprove / strongly 36.6%
Dont know (DNR) 5.3% Refused (DNR) 0.5%
Here's hoping that Bobby will tarnish the republican brand enough in Louisiana to drag down a few of the other neanderthals we send to congress. Watch your back David Vitter.