Baloo LSU Fan Formerly MDGeaux Member since Sep 2003 45334 posts
re: MSB Season Long Hockey Thread(Posted by Baloo on 2/1/13 at 9:34 pm to Baloo)
Nice to get a win, but the playoff math is still daunting. Based on a full length season, it will take about 54 points in 48 games to make the playoffs this year. Which means we can break the season into 6 groups of 8-game sessions. A team needs to average 9 points per session to reach that magic 54.
Actually, in both conferences, it seems the 8th place team will have 9 points once they have played 8 games. So the math seems to work. The Caps are at 5 points, which is terrible. That means to get back to the 9 points per session average, the Caps would have to go 6-1-1 in their next 8. Which probably isn't happening, even with two games against the Panthers. And that's just to get back on pace. Which they won't do. So the Caps are almost certainly going to be behind the pace until the NEXT 8-game session, which is the season's midpoint. And that's if they average 11 points over both of the next 8-game sessions, or posting a 5-2-1 record. Twice.
Being down 4 points seems small, but it's actually pretty a big hole.