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purplepylon
New Orleans Saints Fan
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2005
4276 posts

Scenarios for the Playoffs

First, Saints must win remaining 4 games. There is a scenario that gets the Saints in at 8-8, but it's messy.

Teams we are fighting with:

Seattle 7-5: ARZ, atBUF, SF, STL
- Must lose two of the NFC games for Saints to win a tiebreaker against them. Not likely, but possible.

Washington 6-6 : BAL, atCLE, atPHI, DAL
- Must lose any two games for us to pass them. Probably not happening.

Minnesota 6-6 : CHI, atSTL, atHOU, GB
- Must lose at least one. That'll happen. Don't worry about Vikings.

Dallas 6-6 : atCIN, PIT, NO, atWAS
- Doesn't matter, just beat them in Dallas and we got the tiebreaker over them.

Tampa Bay 6-6 : PHI, atNO, STL, atATL
- Same as Dallas. Beat them, we got tiebreaker.

Here is where it gets interesting.

Chicago 8-4: atMIN, GB, atARZ, atDET
- Needs to lose 3 of the remaining 4, if so Saints tie them and would get tiebreaker. Root for this, if we concede that Seattle stays ahead of us. Scenario

NY Giants 7-5 : NO, atATL, atBAL, PHI
- Need to lose 3 of 4. Saints would not own tiebreaker if they lose only 2. Root for this, if we concede Washington stays ahead of us. This only helps us get in if we get Seattle or Chicago out as well. This is just to prevent Washington from taking a Wild Card spot from us. Scenario

This post was edited on 12/4 at 5:19 pm



josh336
LSU Fan
baton rouge
Member since Jan 2007
45469 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
Nice work


Coloradeaux Tiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
Denver, CO
Member since Aug 2011
56 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
So much time is saved by reading these cliffnotes. Thanks


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FleuryNipples
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Apr 2012
2869 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
Thanks

I RA'd for a sticky


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TigerBait1127
New Orleans Saints Fan
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
37269 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
quote:

- Need to lose 3 of 4. Saints would own tiebreaker. Root for this, if we concede Washington stays ahead of us. This only helps us get in if we get Seattle or Chicago out as well. This is just to prevent Washington from taking a Wild Card spot from us. Scenario



this is wrong, they need to lose 2/4. They are 7-5 right now, so going .500 puts them at 9-7 with us winning the tiebreaker due to head to head

I think, if their corners are suspended, seattle goes 1-3 the rest of the way
This post was edited on 12/4 at 12:24 am


purplepylon
New Orleans Saints Fan
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2005
4276 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
quote:

this is wrong, they need to lose 2/4


Actually, if they get to 9-7, they'd get in over us for some reason.
This post was edited on 12/4 at 12:31 am


lsufan251875
LSU Fan
Member since Jul 2008
2643 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
Saints even have a shot at the 5 seed. Crazy


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TigerBait1127
New Orleans Saints Fan
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
37269 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
quote:

Actually, if they get to 9-7, they'd get in over us for some reason.



must be some kind of 3 way tie scenario. that really hurts us

if the saints-giants-seahawks all finish 9-7 we get left out
This post was edited on 12/4 at 1:16 am


purplepylon
New Orleans Saints Fan
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2005
4276 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
Record vs common opponents does us in.


TigerBait1127
New Orleans Saints Fan
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
37269 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
so looks like we aren't gonna make it

looks like we need the giants to win the division and redskins and chicago to lose

I wish there was a website where you could select your team, and it would give you every scenario where your team could make the playoffs
This post was edited on 12/4 at 1:16 am


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wildtigercat93
LSU Fan
Hammond, LA
Member since Jul 2011
54381 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
quote:

I think, if their corners are suspended, seattle goes 1-3 the rest of the way


Expected to get them back this week


Carson123987
LSU Fan
Middle Court at the Rec
Member since Jul 2011
42783 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs


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TigerBait1127
New Orleans Saints Fan
Houston
Member since Jun 2005
37269 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
quote:

Expected to get them back this week



well i think they would have beat Arizona without them, so that was my 1. They'll at least have Browner for the game at Buffalo since they haven't even scheduled his appeal yet (repeat offender too).

@ Buffalo --> I think they lose this one because of the distance from home. Buffalo can't stop the run, so that spells trouble though. Really need sherman to be suspended, but I highly doubt it since his appeal is on that friday.

San Fran --> don't see them winning this one with or without their DB's.

St. Louis --> playing good football right now, they'll win if the corners are out
This post was edited on 12/4 at 3:05 am


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Sophandros
Tulane Fan
Victoria Concordia Crescit
Member since Feb 2005
45181 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
St Louis is also ahead of us right now.


diat150
Tulane Fan
OPELOUSAS
Member since Jun 2005
20516 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
quote:

St Louis is also ahead of us right now.


well thats a pretty depressing thought.


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Tiger Voodoo
New Orleans Saints Fan
Champions 2003, 2007, 2009, 201fack
Member since Mar 2007
9239 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
Was coming to bump your old thread, but this one is money. Excellent work dude. Really appreciate it. Sticky requested.

That Bears collapse against Seattle really took the wind out of my sails though.

I'm still convinced we can win out, but I'm not getting my hopes up for everything else to fall our way.

Still want to see this team get big wins over Giants, Bucs, Cowboys, and Panthers though. Truly, 4 of my least favorite teams along with ATL, Skins, 49ers, and Vikings.

I know it seems settled, but 4 weeks is A LOT of time for things to get shaken up.

If we win out and finish 9-7, who knows what happens.

Plus, I really want to see the D continue to improve, and especially see Drew end on a hot streak. Dude will have a rough summer beating himself up if he doesn't get the bad taste of the past two games out of his system.

Let's finish strong, winning 9 of our last 12, which would be so impressivr given the way the NFL stacked the deck against us, and be poised for another Super Bowl run in 2013 and just let the 2012 chips fall where they may.




Hugo Stiglitz
USA Fan
Germany
Member since Oct 2010
61555 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs


purplepylon
New Orleans Saints Fan
New Orleans
Member since Nov 2005
4276 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
Urlacher to possibly miss remainder of regular season for Bears. Looking like this Bears collapse that we need is taking shape


ATLienTiger
USA Fan
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2006
23849 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
Tim Jennings injury not as serious as initially thought though. But either way their defense is not looking nearly as dominant, and their offense isn't what wins games for then anyway.


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Mike Honcho
LSU Fan
Dallas
Member since Oct 2007
856 posts

re: Scenarios for the Playoffs
quote:

NY Giants : NO, atATL, atBAL, PHI
- Need to lose 3 of 4. Saints would not own tiebreaker if they lose only 2. Root for this, if we concede Washington stays ahead of us. This only helps us get in if we get Seattle or Chicago out as well. This is just to prevent Washington from taking a Wild Card spot from us.

I don't think this is right. If Washington and Dallas fall then the Giants take their division and don't compete with us for the wildcard.


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