OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™ - Page 3 - TigerDroppings.com

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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


My early leans:

NIU-6 vs. Kent: Probably my favorite play of the week. It breaks my heart to bet against Kent because they've been mighty mighty good to me all season, but I do think NIU is the better team. Just way more explosive on offense.

UCLA+8.5 @ Stanford: I can't imagine that this is anything other than a very close game, and I wouldn't be surprised if UCLA won outright. I don't think UCLA outright threw the previous game, but I also don't think they played it with a great deal of emotion. This will be different.

Okie State-4 @ Baylor: Baylor will regress back to the mean, and will get beat by a sizable margin.

WVU-19.5 vs. Kansas: I can't imagine that Kansas is going to be real real excited about going into the Appalachian Mountains to play a meaningless game in freezing cold weather while drunken hillbillies hurl expletives and liquor bottles at them. Just a hunch on my part.


MTSU+9.5 @ Arky State: This just seems like too many points for an MTSU team that, as I see it, is on the same level as Arky State.

Cincy-5 @ UConn: UConn sucks at football. They aren't closing out the season with wins against the two best teams in their league. Last week was an outlier. They'll get worked by Munchi and the gang.

ULL-9.5 @ FAU: FAU is pretty atrocious, but I'm not sure I'm gonna throw down on this. Will decide as the week goes along. Every time I've messed with ULL this year, it has backfired, so I may lay off.

Boise-8.5 @ Nevada: I like this game. Nevada isn't that good this year at all. I mean, this isn't your older brother's Boise State, by any stretch of the imagination, but they're an appreciably better team than Nevada, who just recently eeked out a 7 point win against the Fightign Bob Davies of New Mexico.

New Mexico State+13.5 @ Texas State; I'm honestly not sure if I'm going to be able to bring myself to bet on a team as atrocious as NMST. But this is too many points. Texas State lost last Saturday to UTSA, who is complete dogtrash. They shouldn't be favored by this many points over any team comprised of players 14 years or older.

Kansas State-11.5 vs. Texas: I watched Texas play TCU last week. Texas is a train wreck. And K-State will be fresh off a bye week. I see Kansas State rolling the longhorns in this game. Shouldn't be close.








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TigerTatorTots
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
The Rec, Middle Courts- retired
Member since Jul 2009
63682 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


Strong Leans as of now

NIU -6
Ok St is I can get 4 I am betting it
Cincy -5
South Florida +6 (91% of early bets on PITT and line has moved from 5.5 to 6)


Meh oh WVU -19.5. 92% of early bets are on WVU and the line has moved down.






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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


quote:

Strong Leans as of now

NIU -6
Ok St is I can get 4 I am betting it
Cincy -5
South Florida +6 (91% of early bets on PITT and line has moved from 5.5 to 6)


Meh oh WVU -19.5. 92% of early bets are on WVU and the line has moved down.


Every game this year that I've had where there has been appreciable RLM, I've won. There's been five or six. I love RLM.






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TigerTatorTots
New Orleans Pelicans Fan
The Rec, Middle Courts- retired
Member since Jul 2009
63682 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


Added:

1* NIU -6
1* OK st -4






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bamafan425
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


3rd page bump.

OU/Baylor OVER 86.5 is the highest total ever.






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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


quote:

3rd page bump.

OU/Baylor OVER 86.5 is the highest total ever.


Ever ever?






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bamafan425
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


What people are saying on twitter.

DonBest.com ?@DonBestSports
O/U total of 86.5 on this week's college football game between Baylor & Oklahoma State is largest ever according to oddsmaker Kenny White



This post was edited on 11/28 at 12:57 pm


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bamafan425
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


2* unit teaser: Bama -0.5/UNDER 57

Might even add more. I'm confident Bama wins, and I'm confident this total doesn't approach 57.



This post was edited on 11/28 at 1:06 pm


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Chef Leppard
Georgia Fan
Member since Sep 2011
7859 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


Is it possible NOT to take the under in that monstrosity?





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bamafan425
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


Unless UGA gets up 20+ ala TAMU early, then I don't see this total approaching 57 (or 50.5 really) at all. I think if UGA gets up early, we come back and make a game of it. If Bama gets up early, we play ball control and keep the total low.

Honestly, in that teaser, I feel like I'm basically playing Bama -0.5.

I'll probably get burned, but that is one of the strongest plays I've had all year.






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Chef Leppard
Georgia Fan
Member since Sep 2011
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


Was referring to the Ok St game sorry

I don't know if two teams exist that I wouldn't pound U86






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bamafan425
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


No problems. I would lean under.

I might include them in a 13-point teaser just so I can have an UNDER 99.5 in a teaser.






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Chef Leppard
Georgia Fan
Member since Sep 2011
7859 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


no doubt





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HoLeInOnEr05
North Carolina Fan
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


That OU game could very easily be 56-53





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bamafan425
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


Oh, I'd probably do it for a dollar, but that'd be awesome. If it gets to 87, I'm definitely doing a 13 point teaser on it. UNDER 100 doesn't come often.





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Chef Leppard
Georgia Fan
Member since Sep 2011
7859 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


I just looked and remembered that Baylor/WVU score was 70-63

frick that






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bamafan425
Mississippi St. Fan
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


NIU -6 (-120) added. Dont wanna risk this getting above 7.





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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


quote:

NIU -6 (-120) added. Dont wanna risk this getting above 7.


I took it on the ML.






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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts

re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


quote:

Unless UGA gets up 20+ ala TAMU early, then I don't see this total approaching 57 (or 50.5 really) at all. I think if UGA gets up early, we come back and make a game of it. If Bama gets up early, we play ball control and keep the total low.

Honestly, in that teaser, I feel like I'm basically playing Bama -0.5.

I'll probably get burned, but that is one of the strongest plays I've had all year.


I agree. UGA can win, but only if they get up early. TAMU established that blueprint, but implementation is difficult, especially without Johnny Manziel. UGA has really good RBs, though. They can score.

Do you usually make plays on your team? I never ever ever bet on Tennessee.






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bamafan425
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re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™


I normally don't.

I have included Bama in a few teasers or ML parlays.

I took Bama -13 against Michigan early in the season.

Wanted to play the UNDER in the LSU game, but didn't. I knew that line was off by about 4 points.

But like I said, on this one I feel like I'm basically playing Bama ML for only -120 since I feel like UNDER 57 is a lock unless UGA wins (and then I'd lose anyways).



This post was edited on 11/28 at 5:16 pm


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