Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games | TigerDroppings.com

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rickgrimes
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2011
2999 posts

Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


Drew Brees in 5 losses this season:


Drew Brees in 5 wins this season:



Goes to show the numbers a QB like Drew can put up with a little help from the running game.

- The most telling numbers are his: completion percentage, yards/attempt, QB rating and his TD and INT percentages. I bet he will take that any day over having to throw >40 times a game.

- In wins he is attempting 13 less passes but is only throwing for 12 yards less per game.

- Also his TD percentage is double in wins (9.52%) vs losses (5.15%).

- His completion percentage jumps from 56.7% to 70.2% in wins.

- His yards per attempt goes from 6.97 to MVPesq 8.95 in wins.

- His QB rating is 122.2 in wins and 83.7 in losses.







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St Augustine
New Orleans Saints Fan
The Pauper of the Surf
Member since Mar 2006
42200 posts

re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


nice work...


keep pounding the rock






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Sophandros
Tulane Fan
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Member since Feb 2005
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re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


When you are winning, you run more.

The real difference between wins and losses is Brees's play. The run game is better because Brees is playing better. The safeties have to stay back, for example.

So if you want to discuss causality, it starts with Brees.

Oh, and another EXCELLENT thing that you showed with this presentation is that the Carolina and KC games were major flukes.



This post was edited on 11/19 at 6:43 am


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ATLienTiger
USA Fan
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2006
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re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


In our wins he's reeling off a lot more longer throws than in our losses. I guess the Linebackers are playing up close to the box to limit our running game and he is finding Graham/Colston over the middle behind them.





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BobBoucher
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Overland Park, KS
Member since Jan 2008
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re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


Your post might lead some ppl to think play calling is the primary cuprit, but what doesnt show here is how the Oline has improved over time, we have less pentalties putting us in long passing downs, less pressure on Brees, and more holes for the RBs.

And our defense has gotten competitive, so we arent playing catchup by the second quarter and we can still mix in the run effectively.

If i had to rate the factors leading to these stats, id say:

1) improved Oline play
2) fewer penalties/mistakes (dropped passes, etc)
3/4) tie - improved defense/better play calling (more creative, less predictable, etc)




This post was edited on 11/19 at 8:12 am


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Breesus
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re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


Gameplan, playcalling, and balance.

It took a while for Pete to settle into the full duties of OC, it took a while for the team to settle in without Payton, and it took a while for Vitt to correct the straggling issues when he came back. Not to mention the defense's myriad of problems. But finally, spags's plan is working, Vitt is back with the LB's, Kromer is back with the O-line, the Kraken has been released...

The team is finally clicking back into its rhythm, the defense is really suring up, especially in the redzone, and that intangible quality of unstoppable beastmodeness is back. We goin to the ship.



This post was edited on 11/19 at 8:18 am


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whodatfan
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Member since Mar 2008
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re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


quote:

Gameplan, playcalling, and balance. It took a while for Pete to settle into the full duties of OC, it took a while for the team to settle in without Payton, and it took a while for Vitt to correct the straggling issues when he came back. Not to mention the defense's myriad of problems. But finally, spags's plan is working, Vitt is back with the LB's, Kromer is back with the O-line, the Kraken has been released...


I agree with this.


quote:

We goin to the ship


Ok.








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Breesus
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re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


LINK

This sums up my mood perfectly






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rickgrimes
LSU Fan
Member since Jan 2011
2999 posts

re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


I agree. The running game especially the last three games has been really good. They have run for over 5 yards a carry comfortably and ran for almost 150 yards each of those games. In those games Drew has attempted over 30 passes only one time and has crossed 250 yards only once. The balance this team has achieved is amazing. It only bodes well for the rest of this season. Everything is finally gelling together after the difficult start.





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PokerPlayingTiger
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Member since Jan 2007
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re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


In simpler terms it is called "offensive balance". It is very hard to win without it.





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PokerPlayingTiger
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Member since Jan 2007
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re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


And very nice post!





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BarbeTiger
New Orleans Saints Fan
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Member since Jan 2012
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re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


Being able to run the ball gives our offense so many options.





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jeff5891
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Member since Aug 2011
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re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


awesome work dude

The only thing is that I wouldnt put much stock in TD% since not every attempt is thrown for a touchdown and percentages of completing for a touchdown change based on where you are on the field.

However I would circle and highlight how many touchdowns and int were thrown and show the ratio btween them

TD:INT
5 losses 12-TD 6-INT
2:1
5 wins 16-TD 3-INT
16:3

Which is huge a improvement



This post was edited on 11/19 at 11:36 am


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saintsfan92612
New Orleans Saints Fan
a pretty good city
Member since Oct 2008
18629 posts

re: Statistical analysis of Drew Brees and the running game through 10 games


Drew Brees 6 INTs in 5 losses
Matt Ryan 6 INTs in 2 losses


no but seriously, Drew's stats in losses are still around league average. When he plays bad=average.

We are blessed!






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