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touchdown moses 
New Orleans Saints Fan
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
5431 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:11 am to memphstigers23)
quote:
We're back at it again we did well yesterday
yep and i hit the 2 football games last night on top of it
my football unit is double what i am calling a unit so far in cbb but im about to change that 
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memphstigers23 
Ole Miss Fan
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:11 am to Bryant91092)
I put a little on the ML
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memphstigers23
Ole Miss Fan
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:12 am to touchdown moses)
I didn't touch football last night, I didn't really like either game that much but I like Air Force tonight
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Carson123987 
LSU Fan
Middle Court at The Rec
Member since Jul 2011
22969 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:13 am to memphstigers23)
1-0 on bills last night, going to trail RAS today and make some money going into cfb
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touchdown moses
New Orleans Saints Fan
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
5431 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:16 am to memphstigers23)
-22 is alot of points but hawaii does suck balls
i'll probably bet it
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HoLeInOnEr05 
Auburn Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
12053 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:16 am to memphstigers23)
I'm going to hammer the frick out of Air Force tonight ... Hawaii is god awful.
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bobbyray21 
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
6872 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:17 am to HoLeInOnEr05)
quote:
Yea man ... But I'm contemplating on how I am going to continue to do it.
Trying to decide whether or not to keep betting what I previously won, or keep starting over at 100 after every 100 I make, so that I don't take one bad beat, and lose it all.
I wouldn't go that route. Just use confidence points and increase your bets accordingly.
"Is there any reasonable chance that [team x] loses this game"?
"If they played 100 times, would underdog [team y] even win 5 games"?
Just keeping asking questions like this. Let the answers guide you.
At some point you'll take a bad beat. Just know that it will happen. And it's for that reason that people think betting on the ML is risky. I look at it a different way. Betting on the ML is safe because I'm winning all my games. And so I'm continuing to accumulate money and increase my bankroll such that a bad beat isn't really all that bad.
Sometimes you have to be willing to pull the trigger on a play for an amount you're not comfortable with.
You think I didn't have reservations about putting 300 dollars on Serena Williams at -900? But that's fear talking. That's not your rationale. Your rational brain knows Serena is going to win 6-0, 6-1 in about 25 minutes, and so you make the play.
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memphstigers23
Ole Miss Fan
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:18 am to HoLeInOnEr05)
Yeah that was my reasoning, Hawaii is just awful. And yeah -22 is a lot of points but I think they cover easy. I'm leaning Air Force -22 & TT O41
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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
6872 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:21 am to memphstigers23)
quote:
Yeah that was my reasoning, Hawaii is just awful. And yeah -22 is a lot of points but I think they cover easy. I'm leaning Air Force -22 & TT O41
Shiyyeett...Hawaii has lost by 35+ to any team they've played that has a pulse.
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touchdown moses
New Orleans Saints Fan
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
5431 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:23 am to memphstigers23)
i went with
310 Air Force TT Over 41 -110
310 Air Force 1st Half -13 -110
310 Air Force 1st Quarter -6½ -115
310 Air Force -22 -102
all 1 unit
This post was edited on 11/16 at 9:24 am
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memphstigers23
Ole Miss Fan
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:27 am to touchdown moses)
Air Force -22 -110
Air Force TT O41.5 -110
Air Force 1H -13 -110
Air Force -6.5 1Q -115
ETA: all also 1 unit
This post was edited on 11/16 at 9:28 am
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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
6872 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:28 am to bobbyray21)
quote:
At some point you'll take a bad beat. Just know that it will happen.
But you could go an entire CFB season without taking a bad beat. Or maybe taking just one (which would be a great season).
My point....is that don't expect the bad beat to come. It isn't like rolling dice at a craps table. You could hit 40 MLs in a row without worrying about inevitability. Every ML play is a win -- there's no risk involved. If you're picking wisely, that is.
That's how I think about it, at least. I told my buddy how much I had on FSU on the ML, and he was like "so your'e risking 2K to win 400", and I responded: "No, I'm not risking anything. FSU is gonna win the damn. I'm just collecting 400."
It's a good mindset to have.
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touchdown moses
New Orleans Saints Fan
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
5431 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:28 am to memphstigers23)
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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
6872 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:30 am to touchdown moses)
quote:
310 Air Force TT Over 41 -110
310 Air Force 1st Half -13 -110
310 Air Force 1st Quarter -6½ -115
310 Air Force -22 -102
What are the 310's?
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touchdown moses
New Orleans Saints Fan
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
5431 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:33 am to bobbyray21)
nothing of importance i think its just the game number i copy/pasted from 5dimes
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redfieldk717 
UTEP Fan
Monroe
Member since Oct 2011
12024 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:35 am to bobbyray21)
i put a unit on tenn. just cause im bored at work
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memphstigers23
Ole Miss Fan
Fenway Pahk
Member since Mar 2012
10278 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:35 am to touchdown moses)
You got the TT .5 less than me on 5 dimes by 4 minutes 
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HoLeInOnEr05
Auburn Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
12053 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:35 am to bobbyray21)
Probably the line number ...
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bobbyray21
Tennessee Fan
Member since Sep 2009
6872 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:36 am to touchdown moses)
Who wants to put 200 dollars on Air Force at the ML?
Don't be scared of that -1500 number. It only comes into play when you lose. And Hawaii ain't winning this game, ladies and gentlemen.
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touchdown moses
New Orleans Saints Fan
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
5431 posts
| re: NCAAB Bet Thread 11/16 (Posted on 11/16/12 at 9:38 am to memphstigers23)
under 42 is important though.. you gtg
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