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Billy Mays
Hawaii Fan
Member since Jan 2009
18106 posts

Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread

Early leans:

Cleveland +7.5 @ Dallas
San Diego +7.5 @ Denver
Green Bay -3.5 @ Lions
Philadelphia +3.5 @ Washington

Also,

Colin Cowherd ?@ESPN_Colin

Have already selected blazin 5----wow---we may have lock of the year material.



Cowherd is 35-15 on the year FWIW


touchdown moses
New Orleans Saints Fan
eunice, LA
Member since Nov 2009
5673 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
took the bills tonight at -2.5 -115


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BeaumontBengal
LSU Fan
Beaumont, Texas
Member since Feb 2005
1974 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
Has he announced his selections?

You like Phi with Nick Foles?

I like:

NO -4.5 @ Oak
GB -3.5 @ Det
Bal -3.5 @ Pitt (no Big Ben)

All square bets, but I've been doing ok the last few weeks picking 3-4 square bets a week. I guess I kind of like Cle +9 (what's on 5dimes right now) too.



Billy Mays
Hawaii Fan
Member since Jan 2009
18106 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
quote:

You like Phi with Nick Foles?



Yes, especially with Washington's atrocious secondary. Foles is going to put up solid numbers.

The Eagles are in desperation mode and more talented. The public is all over Washington right now.


BeaumontBengal
LSU Fan
Beaumont, Texas
Member since Feb 2005
1974 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
I would imagine they are. My brother even said he may even take the Redskins in survivor when we were watching the Cowboys game last week. I'm thinking of staying away from that game.


Zipfer2022
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Nov 2011
2918 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
quote:

Yes, especially with Washington's atrocious secondary. Foles is going to put up solid numbers.


You are nuts. A rookie QB behind that offensive line?!

Washington -3.5 and New Orleans -4.5 are the two best plays of the NFL season and they come in the same week


Billy Mays
Hawaii Fan
Member since Jan 2009
18106 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
Not surprised. The public hates Philadelphia right now but their talent is undeniable. Seems like a good move to take better than a FG against a mediocre divisional rival. Vick being out is not a detriment because he's been bad. Washington is 0-3 ATS as a favorite this year, so they aren't exactly proven frontrunners.

If it goes up to 4 or 4.5 I'd probably lay an extra unit.

Love GB @ Detroit tho. Detroit's defense is absolutely god awful. Clay Matthews being out will hurt but still like it.


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Billy Mays
Hawaii Fan
Member since Jan 2009
18106 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
quote:


You are nuts. A rookie QB behind that offensive line?!



Vick sucked this year. If you think they are taking a big hit (or any at all) with Foles I think you are nuts. Sure the OL is terrible, but Shady will be fed early and often. They need him on track.

I'd imagine the line would've been Wash -1 if Vick was healthy. Is Vick worth 2.5 points? The public sees Foles as a downgrade - not convinced. We don't even know if Vick is 100% yet. Wash will have to prep for both.

ETA: I don't think Philly is that great I just think the line is in their favor on this one. More betting points than teams.
This post was edited on 11/15 at 10:23 am


TigerBait2008
LSU Fan
Death Valley
Member since Jun 2008
18405 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
Early Leans:


Green Bay
Tampa Bay
Denver


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Zipfer2022
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Nov 2011
2918 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
I'm not sure how you can even blame Vick for this bad season. He literally has had no time to throw all year and has gotten crushed. The Eagles haven't been able to run the ball either. Their offensive line is the worst in football along with the Cards. You really have confidence in Foles? Good luck, man. No way in hell Wash loses this game. Maclin is banged up as well. HFA will be huge, and I beleive there is a good chance for rain in this game. Going to be a miserable day for Philly.
This post was edited on 11/15 at 10:34 am


Billy Mays
Hawaii Fan
Member since Jan 2009
18106 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
I understand it looks bad for the Eagles.

I'm not really blaming Vick for Philly sucking, I just think he's having a terrible season and his lack of preparation and leadership has been a detriment. He's not exactly Peyton Manning as a team member.

I expect this to a FG game. I'm leaning Philly because Washington is not that good. Divisional games are usually close.

I'm not really looking @ Philly as a team because I think they are meh, moreso the 3.5 (or potentially 4 or 4.5).

It's about the number.


carmenjello
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Nov 2011
92 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
locked in on tuesday morning Baltimore Ravens ML +160 2* (now -190)



Biff Tannen
UNLV Fan
Member since Sep 2012
2515 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
I'm playing U45 tonight

I'm also leaning bills tonight, dolphins have been playing poorly lately.. if they don't reestablish the run again they are in for a long night

the bills are a pretty good home team, despite what the #s say imo


HoLeInOnEr05
North Carolina Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
15761 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
I like it.


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Billy Mays
Hawaii Fan
Member since Jan 2009
18106 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
I'm teasing the Bills tonight.

The knee jerk reaction says stay away from Miami after getting pwned at home by Tennessee.

I'm a Bills fan, and I know better not to trust them, especially when the public likes them

If the number gets up over 3 in the next hour I might hop on the Dolphins.


bamafan425
Colorado State Fan
Denver via Chattanooga
Member since Jan 2009
24818 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
I'm on UNDER 45.5.


BilJ
LSU Fan
DANGA ZONE
Member since Sep 2003
121571 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
Phins !


HoLeInOnEr05
North Carolina Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
15761 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
Under for 1.5*


BilJ
LSU Fan
DANGA ZONE
Member since Sep 2003
121571 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
Fine guys I'll go under


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Zipfer2022
New Orleans Saints Fan
Member since Nov 2011
2918 posts

re: Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
quote:

Over 4.5 season trend! Visitor in #Dolphins games 50-23 against the spread (68% ATS)


Probably going to regret ever getting involved, but just have a gut feeling Miami wins.

Dolphins +2.5


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