| Posted by | Message |
rocket31 
Toledo Fan
o h i o
Member since Jan 2008
17406 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 10:56 am to carmenjello)
adding NW -3 for 1*
Card:
2* WKU -2.5
3* WVU -4
1* NW -3
|
| Back to top | |
tigerbaittrick 
LSU Fan
Jigga City
Member since Jan 2010
4893 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 11:13 am to rocket31)
A few line movements.
KState down to -6.5
WVU back down to -3.5
Baylor -8.5
UAB +13.5
WKU -1
|
| Back to top | |
bamafan425 
Alabama Fan
Starkville, MS
Member since Jan 2009
9864 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 11:32 am to tigerbaittrick)
Makes me like WVU that Rocket is on them.
|
| Back to top | |
HoLeInOnEr05 
Auburn Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
12053 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 11:50 am to bamafan425)
I'm nervous ... both college games I bet on are seeing RLM 
|
| Back to top | |
wish i was tebow 
UTEP Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2009
23344 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 11:50 am to bamafan425)
If I could get WV at 3!! Oh man.
Really like kstate and wku also.
|
| Back to top | |
SDVTiger 
UCLA Fan
Cabo San Lucas
Member since Nov 2011
1956 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 12:46 pm to wish i was tebow)
Tread with caution with KSU
Paul Rhoads is 9-1 ats last 10 as a dog
Coming off a big win vs TCU hyped up at home with KSU in the classic look ahead to WVU following week fwiw
LINK
Fast forward to 1.15
|
| Back to top | |
suncloser
LSU Fan
Proctorville, OH
Member since Sep 2009
232 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 2:02 pm to TigerTatorTots)
Bankroll is getting low, so I bet the rest on South Carolina +2.5 so either way I will be happy no matter what happens. And maybe, just maybe I can be extremely happy if LSU wins by 1-2 
|
| Back to top | |
WRedmondsStang
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2012
152 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 2:40 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
Hole:
I assume that WV is one of the two that you speak of when referring to RLM, but which is the other. Furthermore, where is the best plasce for me to find this information. TIA
|
| Back to top | |
LSUJuice
LSU Fan
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
10209 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 2:49 pm to suncloser)
I've been in that boat before. It's like paying to see LSU win, or getting paid to lose. And like you said, tiny window for win-win.
|
| Back to top | |
suncloser
LSU Fan
Proctorville, OH
Member since Sep 2009
232 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 2:59 pm to LSUJuice)
Exactly. Last year was the most confused and mad I have ever been as an LSU fan. I placed a $100 bet on the Tigers, 15-1 to win the national championship. My friend kept begging me to place a hedge bet on Bama. My pride for LSU couldn't pull the trigger. Wish I would have!!
|
| Back to top | |
DFWAggie09 
Texas A&M Fan
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
196 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 3:26 pm to tigerbaittrick)
Went ahead and put 3* on WKU down to -1. Try to jumpstart the weekend early again 
|
| Back to top | |
HoLeInOnEr05
Auburn Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
12053 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 3:28 pm to WRedmondsStang)
West Virginia and WKU are experiencing reverse line movement
|
| Back to top | |
LSUAlum2001
LSU Fan
Tier BP
Member since Aug 2003
23769 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 4:00 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
So I guy I know has been calling me the last few weeks to get picks for this winner-take-all weekly pick'em ATS.
Only 5 games.
The pool is over $3400.
Last week he calls and asks for my top 5 and says he'll toss me a $200 or so if he wins. I give him Toledo, Ohio State, West Virginia, Wyoming and Duke. All 5 cover.
I texted him yesterday: Hey.. You went 5-0 last week in the pool.
He calls back and says.. "uhh.. We went 4-1. We played Maryland instead of Wyoming."
Is he FOS? I think so. He's like the bitch on the east coast who bought the pool of powerball tickets with the rest of he McDonald's coworkers; only to lie, hand the winning ticket to a friend and split the money with them.
|
| Back to top | |
HoLeInOnEr05
Auburn Fan
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
12053 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 4:11 pm to LSUAlum2001)
Start giving him the opposite of everything you pick
Back to football this week ... Someone in here previously mentioned Navy over Central Michigan earlier in this thread ... the more I look in to that game, the more I am loving Navy. Their defense is decent, and Central Michigan has no run defense whatsoever. Navy +2 is a strong play this week, I believe.
This post was edited on 10/10 at 4:19 pm
|
| Back to top | |
WRedmondsStang
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2012
152 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 4:11 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
thanks Hole!
|
| Back to top | |
dcrews
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2011
3973 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 4:32 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
What is RLM supposed to tell us exactly? If the team you bet on has a line that's dropping, you would assume that the line you got, isn't as valuable as it was when you bet it. However, on the other side, that would mean the public is steaming the opposite pick, which means you are on the other side of the public, which is generally viewed as a good thing.
What's the big to do about RLM and how much weight should be put into it when evaluating your plays?
This post was edited on 10/10 at 4:33 pm
|
| Back to top | |
tigerbaittrick
LSU Fan
Jigga City
Member since Jan 2010
4893 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 4:32 pm to LSUAlum2001)
Definitely full of shite. Give him bad picks for no on IMO.
|
| Back to top | |
WRedmondsStang
LSU Fan
Member since Sep 2012
152 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 5:00 pm to dcrews)
Not exactly DCrews, RLM is when a larger percentage of the bets(usually meaning the public is on one side), however the line still moves in the direction of the smaller percentage of bets. For instance if the public is hammering WV -5 against TT with say 78% of all bets coming in on WV. However, the line moves to WV-3.5 indicating that although a smaller percentage; larger dollar amounts are on TT( usually assumed to be sharp $$) ultimately moving the line in TT direction.
|
| Back to top | |
dgtiger3 
North Carolina St. Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2005
3158 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 5:40 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
quote:
Back to football this week ... Someone in here previously mentioned Navy over Central Michigan earlier in this thread ... the more I look in to that game, the more I am loving Navy. Their defense is decent, and Central Michigan has no run defense whatsoever. Navy +2 is a strong play this week, I believe.
It was me, lol
Navy is going to RUN all the way to the bank on Friday Night, and I plan on putting a significant amount on it...
34-21 Final
|
| Back to top | |
dcrews
LSU Fan
Baton Rouge
Member since Feb 2011
3973 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 7 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/10/12 at 5:54 pm to dgtiger3)
On it with you. I sure hope you're right
|
| Back to top | |
