New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs | TigerDroppings.com
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DEANintheYAY
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Member since Jan 2008
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New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs

Race tightening

Can't find any trend line #s for CNN in Ohio and haven't looked into the guts of the poll yet. Just figured I would share a poll that would sure to be lambasted.
This post was edited on 10/9 at 3:58 pm



BlackHelicopterPilot
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Top secret lab
Member since Feb 2004
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re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
quote:

CNN Poll: Race tightening up in battleground Ohio




quote:

Obama's four point advantage is within the poll's sampling error.




quote:

polls of likely voters in Ohio conducted prior to the debate indicated Obama with a 7-10 point advantage



Context: It's important


Interception
Providence Fan
Member since Nov 2008
11089 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
I saw this poll earlier, but didn't want to be attacked

I'm starting to believe we might be headed to an Electoral College victory for Obama with Romney winning the Popular Vote?


NHTIGER
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Member since Nov 2003
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re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
Romney and Chris Christie teaming up for a nighttime rally in Ohio tonight. That should get a pretty decent crowd.


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DEANintheYAY
Cal State Fullerton Fan
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Member since Jan 2008
31803 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
quote:

I'm starting to believe we might be headed to an Electoral College victory for Obama with Romney winning the Popular Vote?



Romney wins popular vote but loses electoral college 3.1% chance according to demigod Nate Silver


CountryVolFan
Tennessee Fan
Knoxville, TN
Member since Dec 2008
2391 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
No internals published


constant cough
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re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
It's over. Obama's done.


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DEANintheYAY
Cal State Fullerton Fan
LEFT COAST
Member since Jan 2008
31803 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
quote:

polls of likely voters in Ohio conducted prior to the debate indicated Obama with a 7-10 point advantage


My point was there wasn't a CNN poll (that I could find) prior to this one.

And also, the margin of error was 3.5% and the lead is 4.


FaSheaux
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re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
CNN;dr


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RunningBlake
Georgia Fan
Member since Aug 2011
2217 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
Obama over 50%



Interception
Providence Fan
Member since Nov 2008
11089 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
quote:

My point was there wasn't a CNN poll (that I could find) prior to this one.


Also, Gallop has started it's LV Polls staring today.


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BlackHelicopterPilot
LSU Fan
Top secret lab
Member since Feb 2004
34922 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
quote:

And also, the margin of error was 3.5% and the lead is 4


methinks you are unclear about 'margin of error'








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bigpapamac
South Alabama Fan
Mobile, AL
Member since Oct 2007
18715 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
quote:

No internals published


Probs cause they don't want everybody to know their sample was +10 dems or something.


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NHTIGER
LSU Fan
Central New Hampshire
Member since Nov 2003
12228 posts
Online

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
quote:

I'm starting to believe we might be headed to an Electoral College victory for Obama with Romney winning the Popular Vote?



If this happens, Obama will be glad he kept the power seat.

But that giant ego of his will take a big hit, since being popular is something he cherishes. It will be a rejection by the people, even if a victory by the rules of the game.

He will give a great victory speech and smile and wave, etc. --- then retire to the Presidential bedroom and shun Michelle's advances, while mumbling, "friggin' losers, I'll show them"....


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LSURussian
LSU Fan
Member since Feb 2005
85147 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
From your link...
quote:

American Research Group is also out Tuesday with a poll in Ohio, with Romney at 48% and Obama at 47% among likely voters. ARG's previous Ohio survey, conducted in mid-September, had Obama at 48% and Romney at 47%.

I am shocked you didn't include this quote in your OP.

ETA:
quote:

labmasted

Not a word....
This post was edited on 10/9 at 3:46 pm


CP3LSU25
LSU Fan
Lafayette
Member since Feb 2009
36830 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
I blame these shitholes. California/New York/Nevada


buddhavista
Member since Jul 2012
3543 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
quote:

I blame these shitholes. California/New York/Nevada


and they blame you for GWB/Iraq. Funny how that works.


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DEANintheYAY
Cal State Fullerton Fan
LEFT COAST
Member since Jan 2008
31803 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
quote:

I am shocked you didn't include this quote in your OP.



Didn't see that in the story. Was just killing some time before a meeting.

and oops...fast fingers.


JoshuaChamberlain
Army Fan
Member since Sep 2010
5169 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
Indis way too high in this one as is the +D
These things are all ridiculos and all over the place.
It's pretty much a tie right now nationally.
O has a small lead in Ohio
R has a small lead in FL
O has MI, MN, PA in the bag
R has NC, MO, IN in the bag

It'll come down to the end


DEANintheYAY
Cal State Fullerton Fan
LEFT COAST
Member since Jan 2008
31803 posts

re: New CNN/ORC International poll of Ohio | 51% O, 47% R among LVs
quote:

Indis way too high in this one as is the +D



You do realize that this is party identification and thus it is a fluid measure unlike party registration, which is more constant.


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