Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included | TigerDroppings.com

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Tuscaloosa
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Member since Dec 2011
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Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


Obama 49%
Romney 47%

quote:

Friday, October 05, 2012

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows President Obama attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while Mitt Romney earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and three percent (3%) are undecided. See daily tracking history.

These results are based upon nightly interviews and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. As a result, only about one-third of the interviews for today’s update were conducted after the presidential debate. The single night of polling conducted after the debate did show some improvement for Romney, but it remains to be seen whether that will continue or if it was merely statistical noise. Sunday morning’s update will be the first national polling based entirely upon post-debate interviews.



LINK



This post was edited on 10/5 at 9:33 am



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Navytiger74
LSU Fan
Washington
Member since Oct 2009
14538 posts

re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


No change. But the debate won't really be priced in until Monday or so. I have a hard time believing Romney doesn't pick up 2-3 on that performance.





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MFn GIMP
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Owensboro, Kentucky
Member since Feb 2011
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re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


and Rasmussen has Romney winning in VA now.





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LSURulzSEC
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re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


The full post debate poll from Rasmussen will be out Sunday he said...





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LSURussian
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re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


From your link I see that Romney has moved ahead of Hussein by 1% in Virginia.

ETA: Dang it, Gimp, you beat me to it!



This post was edited on 10/5 at 8:57 am


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Midget Death Squad
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3 docks down from the bait shop
Member since Oct 2008
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re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


it's a 5 day rolling sample, so the effects of the debate won't show until next Tuesday or so. other polls will be more post-debate genuine, unless the increase the Dem sample even more





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Tuscaloosa
Alabama Fan
Member since Dec 2011
5205 posts

re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


quote:


it's a 5 day rolling sample, so the effects of the debate won't show until next Tuesday or so. other polls will be more post-debate genuine, unless the increase the Dem sample even more


3 day rolling average, so Sunday will be the first poll with full results.






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MFn GIMP
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Owensboro, Kentucky
Member since Feb 2011
8450 posts

re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


quote:

Dang it, Gimp, you beat me to it!

I run memberships at a gym and it's Friday morning so it is dead. I have absolutely nothing else to do.






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Holden Caulfield
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re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


Last night Rasmussen himself said the post debate numbers won't be out until Sunday





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mytigger
USA Fan
Member since Jan 2008
12248 posts

re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


Ras said last night that he won't have his first poll with debate numbers until Sunday morning.





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Midget Death Squad
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3 docks down from the bait shop
Member since Oct 2008
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re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


quote:

3 day rolling average, so Sunday will be the first poll with full results.


I stand corrected, but my point still remains: today's numbers are not "post-debate numbers"






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Hugo Stiglitz
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re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


lulz





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Holden Caulfield
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Hanging with J.D.
Member since May 2008
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re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


I figured the debate bump would be modest but Rasmussen thinks it could go +4 for Romney.





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ottothewise
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Member since Sep 2008
32094 posts

re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


quote:

I have a hard time believing Romney doesn't pick up 2-3 on that performance.





1. what percentage do/did you think were undecided and also LV, in Rasmussen's correspondents, before the debate? 5%? 10%?
2. by this time next week, ads will be running in Virginia and Ohio demonstrating that Romney lied/was disingenuous/does not know his arse from hole in ground (choose one) about his 5 trillion dollar tax cut giveaway.

Dont count on the bump (of whatever size it really is today) lasting.







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LSURussian
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re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


This board was much more intelligent when you were banned.





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Aubie Spr96
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lolwut?
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re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


What's up Otto!





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Navytiger74
LSU Fan
Washington
Member since Oct 2009
14538 posts

re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


quote:

1. what percentage do/did you think were undecided and also LV, in Rasmussen's correspondents, before the debate? 5%? 10%?


5%. And they are the sort to be swayed by optics.

quote:

2. by this time next week, ads will be running in Virginia and Ohio demonstrating that Romney lied/was disingenuous/does not know his arse from hole in ground (choose one) about his 5 trillion dollar tax cut giveaway.


We both know Romney handled himself pretty damn well the other night. He was no more dishonest that most candidates have been in given debates.

quote:

Dont count on the bump (of whatever size it really is today) lasting.


I don't. That's why it's a bump. I've already recorded my opinion of the debate (ass-whooping) and my take on the race going forward (Obama still wins, probably by the same EV margin).






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BigBoyTiger
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Chicago
Member since Aug 2005
8751 posts

re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


quote:

Hugo Stiglitz


Serious question...you might be a nice guy, but do you bring anything of substance to the board. All you do is post "lulz..hahahaha...lol".. shite like that.

If you are going to post, at least post something with substance.






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Tuscaloosa
Alabama Fan
Member since Dec 2011
5205 posts

re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


quote:

Last night Rasmussen himself said the post debate numbers won't be out until Sunday


Any of you folks read what I posted?

1/3 of the poll results are post-debate. So, yeah... post debate numbers are included - although it's only 1/3 of the total pool. I also pointed out that the full numbers won't be released until Sunday.




This post was edited on 10/5 at 9:22 am


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mytigger
USA Fan
Member since Jan 2008
12248 posts

re: Rasmussen's first poll with partial post-debate numbers included


quote:

Any of you folks read what I posted?


misleading title is misleading.






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