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dcrews 
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:44 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
Kind of, but then I remember WVU defense will have me stressing that entire game.
W. Michigan -16.5 (Fading U-Mass this week)
Purdue ML
Purdue +3
LSU -2.5
Are people really not liking Northwestern +3 @ Penn State?
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HoLeInOnEr05 
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 12:55 pm to dcrews)
I fricking LOVE that game bro.
And keep an eye out on the UNC/Va Tech game ... For some reason that game is still creeping up. If anything I figured it would swing in Va Tech's favor. I know Va Tech has burned a lot of us in here, but if it gets to 6.5, buy the hook and hammer the hokies. My Heels have only beaten ECU, Idaho, and Elon this year. I'm not understanding the love for them at the moment.
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dcrews
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:00 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
The "tech's" have burned me this year. I'm hesitant to take Va tech or Ga tech anymore.
Will still take a look at it, but doubt I play it.
Gonna lay some $$$ on Northwestern 
ETA: Took NW +3 @ Penn State & NW ML
This post was edited on 10/3 at 1:05 pm
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HoLeInOnEr05
Auburn Fan
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:00 pm to dcrews)
I'm telling you. My Heels have a way of shitting the bed in big games.
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dcrews
LSU Fan
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:06 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
For your sake, I hope they have explosive bowel movements all day then
This post was edited on 10/3 at 1:06 pm
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HoLeInOnEr05
Auburn Fan
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:09 pm to dcrews)
I'm not betting against them unless the line gets to a TD or better ...
And what's with the fading UMASS still? Hasn't that lost like 3 weeks in a row now?
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maclauer
LSU Fan
Member since Nov 2011
3916 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:10 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
quote:
And what's with the fading UMASS still? Hasn't that lost like 3 weeks in a row now?
So, it's due for a win 
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dgtiger3 
North Carolina St. Fan
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:11 pm to dcrews)
I will betting on UNC in all likelihood, I admitingly don't know much about the Heels but my numbers like them and the public will get burned again on Va Tech, IMO.
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HoLeInOnEr05
Auburn Fan
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12053 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:12 pm to dgtiger3)
Depends on which Renner shows up. If he doesn't make dumb arse mistakes they should be okay.
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dcrews
LSU Fan
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:13 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
I haven't been fading them all year. This is the first time I've bet against them (or on a game they've been in ).
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HoLeInOnEr05
Auburn Fan
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:17 pm to dcrews)
I'm pretty sure they have been covering
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dcrews
LSU Fan
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:21 pm to HoLeInOnEr05)
I believe tots said he went 2-0 fading them at first. So if they lost the last 3, they are 2-3.
W. michigan at home should cover against them. It's an extremely small play for me either way.
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1fairbank
LSU Fan
Smells Funny
Member since Sep 2011
1349 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:24 pm to dcrews)
quote:
Gonna lay some $$$ on Northwestern ETA: Took NW +3 @ Penn State & NW ML
I'm not sure about this game. PSU looked awful at the beginning of the year, but they were 3 pt underdogs vs Illinois last week and blew them away early. That and I add to it that teams that Northwestern has blown away are pretty bad (BC, Vandy, Syracuse, and Indiana). On the NW side, Illinois looks to be a team that anyone with a little talent in their pinky finger can trounce them.
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DFWAggie09 
Texas A&M Fan
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
198 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:37 pm to 1fairbank)
I think Penn State is very slow on defense and struggles against balanced offenses like they did against Ohio. NW has been on fire offensively lately and the defense has been impressive against every not named Syracuse in the first game of the season. They were up 27-7 on IU midway through the 3rd quarter last week and that game wasn't as close as the score suggests. Beaver Stadium is always difficult to play in but if the public hammers PSU later this week, then I'll definitely jump on NW with Purdue.
Also really interested to see what the rest of tigers system thinks about NW.
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bamafan425 
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:41 pm to DFWAggie09)
Dgtiger, what is your system spitting out about Kentucky and Vandy as dogs?
Because I like both Mizzou and Mississippi State to cover those. Thinking about a tease of State -4 and Mizzou -.5.
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DFWAggie09
Texas A&M Fan
DFW
Member since Oct 2011
198 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 1:57 pm to bamafan425)
Also pretty interested in the above cause I have Mizzou and Miss State in a 5 team teaser already.
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bamafan425
Alabama Fan
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 2:01 pm to DFWAggie09)
I wanted to take UGA against Vandy, and Florida against Kentucky two weeks ago and pussed out. So maybe I'm just trying to make up for that, but Mizzou....at HOME against Vandy. Seems too easy.
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HoLeInOnEr05
Auburn Fan
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 2:08 pm to bamafan425)
I'm kind of liking UTEP -2 @ home against SMU
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dgtiger3
North Carolina St. Fan
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3176 posts
| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 2:16 pm to DFWAggie09)
quote:
Also really interested to see what the rest of tigers system thinks about NW.
Mixed results, which means no play for me.
Northwestern fits the role of a very live dog, 14th out of all 122 teams. But Penn State isn't vulnerable enough of a favorite and the matchup analysis strongly favors Penn State.
quote:
Dgtiger, what is your system spitting out about Kentucky and Vandy as dogs?
Because I like both Mizzou and Mississippi State to cover those. Thinking about a tease of State -4 and Mizzou -.5.
Well it has Kentucky (107th) and Vanderbilt (114th) but playing a team the system considers to be a strong favorite against a team that is a weak dog has had very mixed results.
I made the mistake of releasing Stanford as a pick last Thursday because of this exact situation and got burnt. The match up analysis of the game gives both dogs a "punchers" chance.
Because of that game I feel like I held back on a few games I liked last weekend, La Tech and Texas Tech were two I really liked.
For me personally I know what the system was designed for and my goal was to hover around 70% on my released picks so I will be sticking with only what it does best until it has proven success otherwise.
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bamafan425
Alabama Fan
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| re: OFFICIAL Week 6 CFB bet thread™ (Posted on 10/3/12 at 2:22 pm to dgtiger3)
Thanks. Just wanted to make sure I wasn't going against the Spread Doc.
The lines don't seem to be moving so I'm holding off until later.
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