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Roth Contributions Question

Posted on 3/20/13 at 8:20 am
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
80092 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 8:20 am
With how high the market is right now, would it be better to max out your 2013 Roth contribution right now, or just do $500 a month, in case there is a pull back
Posted by TigerDeBaiter
Member since Dec 2010
10256 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 9:02 am to
Really doesn't matter unless you have a better place for your money at the moment.

You don't have to invest in anything particular once you deposit into a Roth.
Posted by Broke
AKA Buttercup
Member since Sep 2006
65043 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 9:06 am to
quote:

in case there is a pull back


What if there isn't a pull back? It drives me fricking nuts to hear people say these things. There are times in an investing life where people can make decisions:

1. Market is all time high: people are scared to invest. Yet over my career, that mark is always eclipsed.

2. Market is too low: this is THE ideal buying opportunity, yet people again are scared as frick

Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
80092 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 9:14 am to
quote:

What if there isn't a pull back?


I just didn't know if it was smart to go all in or pepper the investment over time
Posted by stonerolledaway
the villages
Member since Jul 2011
982 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 10:07 am to
just stay the course, why would you lump sum in when it is supposedly high? of course, it could go much higher or much lower, just keep to your plan, steady payments over time seem to even out the highs and lows over time resulting in a lower overall price paid in the long run...
Posted by foshizzle
Washington DC metro
Member since Mar 2008
40599 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 10:20 am to
I can't time any market very well and doubt anyone else can either, so I say go right ahead.

FWIW you don't to invest in US stocks. You can invest in a fund specializing in Malaysian junk bonds if you like. Or you can just contribute to the Roth and let it sit in cash.

But if you have the ability to do so, go ahead and get the money in the Roth, then I highly recommending thinking through a long-term investment strategy that involves more than just the US stock market.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
80092 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 10:23 am to
quote:

But if you have the ability to do so, go ahead and get the money in the Roth, then I highly recommending thinking through a long-term investment strategy that involves more than just the US stock market.


Roth is in a Vanguard 2040 fund

I've got $5500 cash on hand, just deciding whether to put it all in a max out 2013, or to do $500 a month.
Posted by TyOconner
NOLA
Member since Nov 2009
11080 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 10:32 am to
Yes, but what you are not understanding is that it doesn't matter even the slightest whether you put it all in now or spread it out.
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
80092 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 10:45 am to
quote:

it doesn't matter even the slightest whether you put it all in now or spread it out.




How doesn't it?

I put in 5k right now and buy 500 shares of X... In 4 months the market retreats 20%, my investment is now worth 4K and equivilant to buying 400 shares.

or

I put in 2k or 200 shares for the next four months and the market does the same thing, I lose $400 of value, but my next contributions have more buying power and over the next four months I am able to buy more shares with my money to level out the losses when the prices increase.

Maybe I'm looking at it wrong. Sure if the market continues to go up, I miss out, but I am somewhat mitigating a large loss.

Again, new to all the investing stuff.
Posted by TheDiesel
Phoenix
Member since Feb 2010
2608 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 10:54 am to
A great argument can be made about dollar cost averaging. But it is up to you in the end.
Posted by Broke
AKA Buttercup
Member since Sep 2006
65043 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 10:56 am to
You gonna sell your house to get out from under it if the value declines $10,000 on your next appraisal? Or are you going to keep living in it knowing the reason you bought it?
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
80092 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 11:02 am to
quote:

You gonna sell your house to get out from under it if the value declines $10,000 on your next appraisal? Or are you going to keep living in it knowing the reason you bought it?



I completely understand that thinking... I am 25-30yrs away from retiring (hopefully) and know the markets will always correct themselves, but was just wondering if dollar cost averaging was worth it or not
Posted by jso0003
Member since Jun 2009
5170 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 11:35 am to
def not worth it especially once you consider transaction costs on a monthly basis
Posted by Broke
AKA Buttercup
Member since Sep 2006
65043 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 11:38 am to
quote:

but was just wondering if dollar cost averaging was worth it or not


Sure it is worth it. But you have lump sum now. You have to take into account the time value of money. If I were in your shoes I would invest and forget about it for 3 years.

**This is not investment advice and should not be construed as investment advice**
Posted by Lsut81
Member since Jun 2005
80092 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 11:39 am to
quote:

Sure it is worth it. But you have lump sum now. You have to take into account the time value of money. If I were in your shoes I would invest and forget about it for 3 years.





quote:

**This is not investment advice and should not be construed as investment advice**


I wouldn't take advice from you anyways...

Just sayin
Posted by TyOconner
NOLA
Member since Nov 2009
11080 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 12:13 pm to
Obviously you are gonna make something if you put it all in now and the market rises and you will lose if it plays out the opposite way. You are pretty much asking people to time the market for you which is impossible. Therefore, if you buy and hold(def what you need to do) then the time at which you initially invest matters almost none.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
89477 posts
Posted on 3/20/13 at 6:05 pm to
quote:

just keep to your plan, steady payments over time seem to even out the highs and lows over time resulting in a lower overall price paid in the long run...



If only there was a name and math associated with this phenomenon...

Dollar Cost Averaging
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