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re: OFFICIAL CFB Bet Thread Week 7

Posted on 10/8/13 at 4:21 pm to
Posted by PurpleAndGold86
Member since Jun 2012
11036 posts
Posted on 10/8/13 at 4:21 pm to
quote:


The double standards in this thread are unbelievable. Exactly what iron clad defense has Rutgers faced this year?


No one in the thread said anything about Rutgers' offense. You asked who was allowing the least amount of PPG, which really isn't applicable in a conference game of this magnitude for both teams, especially given the level of competition that Louisville has faced. Louisville has allowed almost half the PPG of Oregon. Do you think they have a better defense than Oregon?

I just don't think the statistic had any real bearing on the analysis of this game.
This post was edited on 10/8/13 at 4:29 pm
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
12977 posts
Posted on 10/8/13 at 4:24 pm to
quote:

People in Washington state are nuts about their sports. Plus that team loves playing for Sarkisian. He's done a really good job. My gut tells me Oregon SHOULD Cover two TD's. But having not looked at anything yet this week, I won't make a definitive statement.


I would take Oregon if a gun were put to my head but would probably not touch the game. There are so many intangibles going into this game. There is the rivalry, home crowd, new stadium but UW is coming off an emotional loss and they're still yapping about faking injuries and bad refs. Oregon, on the other hand, looked completely disinterested in the CU game in the first half until they realized they need to get their butts in gear. I think Oregon will be genuinely focused this game and UW might be a little tanked. However, Oregon hasn't faced a complete team like UW did in Stanford.

Wilcox likes to run mulitples on defense and I know they have the personnel to do it with Shaq, Feeney and other hybrid guys (important since they can't sub out). I just don't know how cute you can get on defense with the HUNH. They did go to the HUNH themselves to practice against it. Last year they were getting calls in late and running players out when we were snapping the ball.

Oregon can sit in it's base scheme and play them that way the whole the game. I like the matchup for Oregon better than Stanford but the intangibles throw this game way off.

This post was edited on 10/8/13 at 4:28 pm
Posted by bobbyray21
Member since Sep 2009
9490 posts
Posted on 10/8/13 at 5:53 pm to
quote:

Reading comprehension not a necessity in the great state of Tennessee?


They teach us what moot means.
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25270 posts
Posted on 10/8/13 at 7:02 pm to
Love Arizona coming off a bye and getting 6 points @ USCw fresh off the Kifftard firing.

Might even throw on some Zona ML action.
Posted by bisonduck
Oregon City, OR
Member since Apr 2011
12977 posts
Posted on 10/8/13 at 7:05 pm to
quote:

Love Arizona coming off a bye and getting 6 points @ USCw fresh off the Kifftard firing. Might even throw on some Zona ML action.


Have you seen how bad Denker is at QB for Arizona?
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17665 posts
Posted on 10/8/13 at 7:53 pm to
quote:

They teach us what moot means

Is that the button that makes the TV quiet?
Posted by Billy Mays
Member since Jan 2009
25270 posts
Posted on 10/8/13 at 7:59 pm to
quote:


Have you seen how bad Denker is at QB for Arizona?



At throwing, he sucks... but he's a typical Rich Rod QB.

This is more about USCw being a shite show.
Posted by HoLeInOnEr05
Middle of the fairway
Member since Aug 2011
16834 posts
Posted on 10/8/13 at 8:11 pm to
Useless factoid... As a head coach, Orgeron is 0 for his life ATS against teams with winning record.
Posted by LSUAlum2001
Stavro Mueller Beta
Member since Aug 2003
47119 posts
Posted on 10/8/13 at 8:35 pm to
My picks in W7:

3-8 last week
35-24 YTD

Week 7
Louisville -18.5
Pittsburgh +9
Ohio U -17
Clemson -24
San Jose State +4
NIU -22
Stanford -9
North Texas -6.5
Alabama -27.5
Hawaii +9.5
Arizona St -25


Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17665 posts
Posted on 10/8/13 at 9:14 pm to
Except 06 in baton rouge
Posted by The Boat
Member since Oct 2008
164014 posts
Posted on 10/9/13 at 12:11 am to
Louisville line up to 19. I'm really hoping it somehow gets to 21.

Rutgers has a pretty good offense. Louisville will score, though.

The over may be the play.
This post was edited on 10/9/13 at 12:13 am
Posted by jp90
Member since Oct 2009
1298 posts
Posted on 10/9/13 at 9:56 am to
I've had a good bit of success with teasers, but I apologize to those of you who are annoyed by them...

Anyway, Which is the better bet in your opinion, to tease Rutgers up to +28ish or tease Louisville down to -8 or 9ish?

IMO I'm more comfortable with Rutgers keeping it close than I am expecting Louisville to cover against a respectable conference opponent.
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17665 posts
Posted on 10/9/13 at 10:08 am to
I tend to agree.

Of course that logic would have worked against you last week with a game like Maryland-FSU. Some had Maryland (crab cakes and football!) ATS, and lots of folks thought giving them 6 more in a teaser would be a lock. Lo and behold, they got blown the frick out of Talahassee, or just never showed up to begin with.
Posted by Captain Ron
Location: Ted's
Member since Dec 2012
4340 posts
Posted on 10/9/13 at 10:12 am to
Did hear one of FSU's DTs leak out the Maryland offensive tells?

Offensive line feet placement:

quote:

If Maryland’s offensive lineman squared their feet, it meant a run, Edwards said, while angled stances signaled pass. The Seminoles picked up on that and parlayed it into Maryland’s worst offensive game of the season.


I assume they did this so Maryland could correct it and finish higher in the rankings which would equal a greater chance of FSU finishing higher in the final BCS poll.
This post was edited on 10/9/13 at 10:13 am
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42453 posts
Posted on 10/9/13 at 10:14 am to
quote:

HoLeInOnEr05


Why are you such a douche? Serious question.
Posted by TheOcean
#honeyfriedchicken
Member since Aug 2004
42453 posts
Posted on 10/9/13 at 10:15 am to
I'm going to guess Maryland would have figured that one out after watching the tape.
Posted by death valley driver
CHOPPA CITY
Member since Jul 2004
11591 posts
Posted on 10/9/13 at 10:40 am to
Who has the argument of how Air Force is gonna cover 4 vs SDSU?
Posted by LSUJuice
Back in Houston
Member since Apr 2004
17665 posts
Posted on 10/9/13 at 10:59 am to
Somebody mentioned before that teams coming off a game at Hawaii are horrible ATS the next week.

Plus there's the whole Thursday night home game thing
This post was edited on 10/9/13 at 11:01 am
Posted by death valley driver
CHOPPA CITY
Member since Jul 2004
11591 posts
Posted on 10/9/13 at 11:19 am to
SDSU played a home game vs Nevada. The Force gives up 500+ a game and is down to their 3rd string QB. The driveman is sure it'll BE a straight up win for The Force BUT he can't see how SDSU doesn't atleast win by 10
Posted by PokerChamp21
Member since Apr 2006
20125 posts
Posted on 10/9/13 at 11:25 am to
quote:

The driveman is sure it'll BE a straight up win for The Force BUT he can't see how SDSU doesn't atleast win by 10



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