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Netflix - Where is it two years from now?

Posted on 2/23/13 at 1:43 pm
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 1:43 pm
With the release of House of Cards and the upcoming release of Arrested Development, do you think Netflix will increase production of original content? Obvious answer is yes, but I think the better answer is how many shows/movies will we be seeing? And will they continue to release them all at once, ad-free? Will they up their price (it's inevitable) due to more original content? I wouldn't mind an increase in pay if they deliver quality original content on top of their streaming library.

I'm not sure if they have any more original productions in the works, besides season two of HOC. I'm just interested to see where Netflix goes from here. I think they could make a huge impact on the whole industry (already have really). I think they could put some pressure on the competition.
Posted by siliconvalleytiger
Bay Area, CA
Member since Apr 2004
31326 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 1:45 pm to
House of cards will turn out to be a game changer and very bad news for traditional TV networks.
Posted by hashtag
Comfy, AF
Member since Aug 2005
33756 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 1:51 pm to
I think you'll eventually convince some networks to: stream episodes right after they launch. ABC, NBC, FOX, and CBS currently do this on their own sites. If Netflix is willing to pay, why not let them do the same thing.

After that, you might see other networks release shows to Netflix first. Or, at least release the premieres to Netflix first to build interest.

I also wouldn't be surprised to see Netflix sign an exclusive with a major movie company. They could show movies on Netflix prior to them releasing on DVD.
Posted by RonBurgundy
Whale's Vagina(San Diego)
Member since Oct 2005
13302 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 1:54 pm to
seasons 5 and 6 of Community air along with Terriers, Freaks and Geeks and Deadwood.
Posted by ATLienTiger
NOLA
Member since Oct 2006
27301 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 1:56 pm to
Lillyhammer is another Netflix original. Check it out.

quote:

Frank Tagliano (Steven Van Zandt), is a former New York mobster, who after testifying in a trial in the United States, Tagliano joins the witness protection program. Intrigued by the place after watching the Winter Olympics in 1994, he is relocated to Lillehammer in Norway. The transition from being a feared and respected gangster in New York, to becoming an unemployed immigrant in Norway, is not simple. Frank soon discovers that in order to succeed in this rural Norwegian society, he must resort to his old ways.
Posted by TulaneTigerFan
Seattle
Member since Sep 2005
35856 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 1:58 pm to
quote:

Terriers


Losing that one was a damn shame. Can't believe nobody watched it, as FX usually does pretty well with their shows
Posted by MrPackSix
Lakeview/God's Country
Member since Oct 2009
8220 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 2:11 pm to
Hopefully more Netflix-produced shows like House of Cards

Add shows like Seinfeld and The Simpsons and I may never see the light of day again
Posted by Kingwood Tiger
Katy, TX
Member since Jul 2005
14162 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 2:27 pm to
Interesting article about Netflix and where they will be heading in original programming.

LINK


In a Jan. 23 letter summarizing the past year and its views on original programming, Netflix noted its two main rivals "are moving toward increasing exclusives and original series, and over time as a group we are likely to compete more like Showtime and HBO do today."



Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 2:34 pm to
How did i miss that? Sounds right up my alley. Just finished HOC, I'll start Lillyhammer next.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
95795 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 2:39 pm to
I think they're going in the right direction - trying to become HBO faster than HBO is trying to become Netflix.

They have an uphill battle against larger competitors HBO and Amazon, but they won the a key position as the default name in delivery of online content - nobody says "HBO to Go", or "Amazon Prime Streaming" - and if they do, they have to clarify "Like Netflix Instant Streaming".

Posted by JabarkusRussell
Member since Jul 2009
15825 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 3:46 pm to
Netflix original shows are fine for small cults of fans but will never rival HBO or the like. USPS going to 5 days isn't going to help them either.
Posted by Archie Bengal Bunker
Member since Jun 2008
15603 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 3:53 pm to
The way people consume TV shows has changed. Even people that don't Netlfix, likely DVR.


BUT, any major change in distribution is not going to happen in 2 years. Netflix will mostly look like it does today. Hopefully, more content producers will start to use avenues like Netflix or direct distribution over traditional channels. But some shows require such an initial investment, that this model can't work for everyone. Easier models, like stand-up, are already getting there. Louis CK released his latest production straight to his website.
Posted by Ace Midnight
Between sanity and madness
Member since Dec 2006
95795 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 4:28 pm to
quote:

USPS going to 5 days isn't going to help them either.



Netflix, honestly, would rather get out of the disc business.
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 4:33 pm to
I originally had the title as five years from now but thought that was too far ahead.

ETA: That was meant to be in reply to Archie.
This post was edited on 2/23/13 at 4:35 pm
Posted by Matisyeezy
End of the bar, Drunk
Member since Feb 2012
16638 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 4:34 pm to
quote:

Netflix original shows are fine for small cults of fans but will never rival HBO or the like


Just my impression, but I feel like Netflix subscribers outnumber HBO subscribers. But that's just based upon day-to-day conversation. If that's the case, I could easily see Netflix expanding into the market space that is quality TV programming that HBO currently occupies.

That being said, I've never watched a Netflix original series, although I have intentions of doing so. Netflix definitely has the advantage in that it appeals to people regardless of their cable subscription, whereas HBO is contingent upon it. Not that wire-cutters are a substantial portion of the population. And JR, I promise I'm not "going at you" although it seems like I keep responding to you. You just keep generating interesting talking points for me
Posted by bamafan425
Jackson's Hole
Member since Jan 2009
25716 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 4:38 pm to
A ton of my friends have Netflix. And even those who don't watch many TV series have been talking about House of Cards.

Personally, I know infinitely more people who have Netflix compared to HBO. I think thats just cause most of my friends are college aged. That's a great demographic for Netflix to have moving forward.
Posted by JabarkusRussell
Member since Jul 2009
15825 posts
Posted on 2/23/13 at 7:36 pm to
quote:

Netflix, honestly, would rather get out of the disc business.


If they didn't have such a crappy digital selection, this wouldn't be a problem but it is.

quote:

Just my impression, but I feel like Netflix subscribers outnumber HBO subscribers.


That may be true but 2/3 of them aren't going to watch these niche shows.

Matisyeezy, I didn't even notice. What other topics have we discussed?
This post was edited on 2/23/13 at 7:38 pm
Posted by FootballNostradamus
Member since Nov 2009
20509 posts
Posted on 2/25/13 at 7:38 am to
quote:

Lillyhammer is another Netflix original. Check it out.


Damn that sounds good. Checking it out tonight.
Posted by TigerinATL
Member since Feb 2005
62446 posts
Posted on 2/25/13 at 8:01 am to
quote:

I think the better answer is how many shows/movies will we be seeing? And will they continue to release them all at once, ad-free? Will they up their price (it's inevitable) due to more original content?


To give you an idea HBO has around 28 million subscribers and they supposedly gets about $7 per subscriber. NetFlix is up to 25 million streaming subscribers, so in theory if they doubled the price they could do what they do now plus match HBO's output for original content.
Posted by Freauxzen
Washington
Member since Feb 2006
38710 posts
Posted on 2/25/13 at 8:03 am to
quote:

The way people consume TV shows has changed. Even people that don't Netlfix, likely DVR.


BUT, any major change in distribution is not going to happen in 2 years. Netflix will mostly look like it does today. Hopefully, more content producers will start to use avenues like Netflix or direct distribution over traditional channels. But some shows require such an initial investment, that this model can't work for everyone. Easier models, like stand-up, are already getting there. Louis CK released his latest production straight to his website.


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