re: OFFICIAL Week 14 CFB bet thread™

My early leans:

NIU-6 vs. Kent: Probably my favorite play of the week. It breaks my heart to bet against Kent because they've been mighty mighty good to me all season, but I do think NIU is the better team. Just way more explosive on offense.

UCLA+8.5 @ Stanford: I can't imagine that this is anything other than a very close game, and I wouldn't be surprised if UCLA won outright. I don't think UCLA outright threw the previous game, but I also don't think they played it with a great deal of emotion. This will be different.

Okie State-4 @ Baylor: Baylor will regress back to the mean, and will get beat by a sizable margin.

WVU-19.5 vs. Kansas: I can't imagine that Kansas is going to be real real excited about going into the Appalachian Mountains to play a meaningless game in freezing cold weather while drunken hillbillies hurl expletives and liquor bottles at them. Just a hunch on my part.


MTSU+9.5 @ Arky State: This just seems like too many points for an MTSU team that, as I see it, is on the same level as Arky State.

Cincy-5 @ UConn: UConn sucks at football. They aren't closing out the season with wins against the two best teams in their league. Last week was an outlier. They'll get worked by Munchi and the gang.

ULL-9.5 @ FAU: FAU is pretty atrocious, but I'm not sure I'm gonna throw down on this. Will decide as the week goes along. Every time I've messed with ULL this year, it has backfired, so I may lay off.

Boise-8.5 @ Nevada: I like this game. Nevada isn't that good this year at all. I mean, this isn't your older brother's Boise State, by any stretch of the imagination, but they're an appreciably better team than Nevada, who just recently eeked out a 7 point win against the Fightign Bob Davies of New Mexico.

New Mexico State+13.5 @ Texas State; I'm honestly not sure if I'm going to be able to bring myself to bet on a team as atrocious as NMST. But this is too many points. Texas State lost last Saturday to UTSA, who is complete dogtrash. They shouldn't be favored by this many points over any team comprised of players 14 years or older.

Kansas State-11.5 vs. Texas: I watched Texas play TCU last week. Texas is a train wreck. And K-State will be fresh off a bye week. I see Kansas State rolling the longhorns in this game. Shouldn't be close.