- My Forums
- Tiger Rant
- LSU Recruiting
- SEC Rant
- Saints Talk
- Pelicans Talk
- More Sports Board
- Fantasy Sports
- Golf Board
- Soccer Board
- O-T Lounge
- Tech Board
- Home/Garden Board
- Outdoor Board
- Health/Fitness Board
- Movie/TV Board
- Book Board
- Music Board
- Political Talk
- Money Talk
- Fark Board
- Gaming Board
- Travel Board
- Food/Drink Board
- Ticket Exchange
- TD Help Board
Customize My Forums- View All Forums
- Show Left Links
- Topic Sort Options
- Trending Topics
- Recent Topics
- Active Topics
Started By
Message
re: LSU Wins / Losses
Posted on 5/5/10 at 4:38 pm to CptBengal
Posted on 5/5/10 at 4:38 pm to CptBengal
If you know pure math and stat as its intended you'd know what you are trying to do would be thrown out in any business for a multitude of reasons... Sometimes when one tries to appear intelligent their ignorance shines through to those who really know what is going on, and I do not have the time and do not care to educate you on this. Math and stat are what I do you can't tell me anything I don't know on either paradigm. Time to kill this thread/// its a bit self indulgent and rediculous... sorry, but thats how I see it
1
Posted on 5/5/10 at 4:41 pm to joechristoppher77
quote:
sorry, but thats how I see it
you know what they say about opinions.
quote:
Math and stat are what I do you can't tell me anything I don't know on either paradigm.
It's what I do also....
Posted on 5/5/10 at 4:58 pm to CptBengal
CptBengal - you don't have a statistical argument.
Using your math, Real Estate can only go up. You should go make some investments with brilliance like that.
Using your math, Real Estate can only go up. You should go make some investments with brilliance like that.
Posted on 5/5/10 at 5:03 pm to CptBengal
Under the command of Nick Saban while at LSU....our win/loss trend for 2003-2004 had a slope of -2.0.
That meant on average in any season Nick Saban would lose 2.0 more games than the year before. Discuss.
BTW: This is a FACT.
BTW: Les Miles' Slope is better than Saban's Slope. Discuss.
That meant on average in any season Nick Saban would lose 2.0 more games than the year before. Discuss.
BTW: This is a FACT.
BTW: Les Miles' Slope is better than Saban's Slope. Discuss.
Posted on 5/5/10 at 5:07 pm to CptBengal
This time of year is so boring people are now arguing about math. Wow.
Posted on 5/5/10 at 5:19 pm to Earl Long
Slopes, excel, regression wtf is going on in here?
Posted on 5/5/10 at 5:28 pm to CptBengal
If you include his predecessors last year wouldnt the win slope be a ~+1. It funny how statistics can be made to prove what you want isnt it?
Posted on 5/5/10 at 5:33 pm to WacoTiger
quote:
Under the command of Nick Saban while at LSU....our win/loss trend for 2003-2004 had a slope of -2.0.
That meant on average in any season Nick Saban would lose 2.0 more games than the year before. Discuss.
I love the stupid... actually Saban under the years he was here had a positive slope of 0.5. I hadn't even thought to look at that.
quote:
BTW: Les Miles' Slope is better than Saban's Slope. Discuss.
That's a negative ghostrider.
Posted on 5/5/10 at 5:35 pm to ironsides
quote:
CptBengal - you don't have a statistical argument.
Using your math, Real Estate can only go up. You should go make some investments with brilliance like that.
the support for the distribution in question is Miles tenure at LSU. Your analogy is specious.
Posted on 5/5/10 at 5:38 pm to big70
quote:
If you include his predecessors last year wouldnt the win slope be a ~+1. It funny how statistics can be made to prove what you want isnt it?
Actually it's a negative 0.2 when you include the last year of his predecessor. Seems like you're wrong here too.
This post was edited on 5/5/10 at 5:40 pm
Posted on 5/5/10 at 10:22 pm to CptBengal
See how stupid you are - I said "2003-2004" seasons and the slope for those 2 seasons would be a -2.0. I thought you were a math major! Apparently, you don't read emails very closely and slope statistics don't lie, right? You have now lost all credibility in this discussion.
Discuss.
Discuss.
Posted on 5/6/10 at 12:31 am to CptBengal
quote:
I do the calculus
right there is why you are an idiot.
This post was edited on 5/6/10 at 12:52 am
Posted on 5/6/10 at 9:23 am to chilge1
Your math is wrong
11-2 11-2 12-2 8-5 9-4
Only one decrease and two increases, I think the slope you found is the standard deviation anyway.
11-2 11-2 12-2 8-5 9-4
Only one decrease and two increases, I think the slope you found is the standard deviation anyway.
Posted on 5/6/10 at 11:31 am to CptBengal
This particular statistic has absolutely zero meaning when trying to predict the future.
If you are so confident, try using the formula to buy stocks. In 1999, you would have bought Lucent, JDS Uniphase and Enron. In 2001, you would have been broke. In 2008, you would have bought Lehman Brothers, Wachovia Bank, Goldman Sachs. In 2009, you would be broke.
There's more to predicting the future than past results in the W-L columns.
If you are so confident, try using the formula to buy stocks. In 1999, you would have bought Lucent, JDS Uniphase and Enron. In 2001, you would have been broke. In 2008, you would have bought Lehman Brothers, Wachovia Bank, Goldman Sachs. In 2009, you would be broke.
There's more to predicting the future than past results in the W-L columns.
Posted on 5/6/10 at 11:36 am to The_Pistol
quote:
This particular statistic has absolutely zero meaning when trying to predict the future.
I'm not predicting the future. The support for the distribution is miles tenure at LSU. Projecting ANY regression outside the support is a flawed methodology.
quote:
There's more to predicting the future than past results in the W-L columns.
I only analyzed the work Miles has done at LSU up to this point. The numbers are irrefutable. What he does in the future is a matter of speculation and opinion, both of which contain zero fact.
Posted on 5/6/10 at 11:40 am to CptBengal
For a visual representation, it should look like this (tilted vertically since TD.com doesn't let you position things along the line of type with lots of spaces):
LL
LL
LL
LLLLL
LLLL
For wins:
WWWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWW
The trend is pretty flat with the exception of the huge dropoff in wins and increase in losses from 2007 to 2008.
LL
LL
LL
LLLLL
LLLL
For wins:
WWWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWW
WWWWWWWWW
The trend is pretty flat with the exception of the huge dropoff in wins and increase in losses from 2007 to 2008.
Posted on 5/6/10 at 11:45 am to Nuts4LSU
quote:
he trend is pretty flat with the exception of the huge dropoff in wins and increase in losses from 2007 to 2008.
the solution to the slope in the regression is what it is. I didn't manufacture the numbers or make them up. The slope is -0.7. Kinda flat, or whatever, are subjective terms. I don't care who you give the numbers to, they will all get the same answer of -0.7, sorry to get everyone's panties in a wad...it's just a fact.
Posted on 5/6/10 at 11:51 am to CptBengal
After you have stated it again and again, I can see that we are dealing with a brilliant mathematician. Thanks for your amazing insight and number crunching capabilities. Keep up the good work and when we need someone with your incredible abilities, we will look you up.
Now F off.
Now F off.
Posted on 5/6/10 at 11:54 am to Dallasgrowl
quote:
LSU Wins / Losses
After you have stated it again and again, I can see that we are dealing with a brilliant mathematician. Thanks for your amazing insight and number crunching capabilities. Keep up the good work and when we need someone with your incredible abilities, we will look you up.
Now F off.
Ah yes attack the messenger when you can't counter the argument. I'll still say hi to you when I walk in walmart later though!
Posted on 5/6/10 at 11:55 am to Nuts4LSU
quote:
The trend is pretty flat with the exception of the huge dropoff in wins and increase in losses from 2007 to 2008
Nuts, should LSU go 10-2 or better in 2010.. and let's not debate the possibility of this... your opinion on the "slope?"
Page 2 of 3
Popular
Back to top
Follow TigerDroppings for LSU Football News