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Coach O at OM and the mistake that haunts him
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:21 pm
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:21 pm
(TL,DR: Not sure who our next HC should be, but CEO's record at OM should be considered in context. Downvote away.)
The biggest knock against hiring O to be our HC is undoubtedly his record at Ole Miss. This is reason enough for many posters to dismiss him from any consideration. The idea that he learned from his mistakes there is routinely mocked on this board.
I contend that the biggest mistake that he made was ever taking the job in the first place. Obviously it was a great opportunity for him and I can't blame him for taking it. But his record there haunts him. No doubt it was a dismal record.
However, I think coaching records should be considered in context. Boxing promoters don't put their up and coming fighters in the ring early on against tough competition if they want to build their record up.
The fact is that since Johnny Vaught left the program in the early 70's, no coach has had success there. Of the 10 coaches who have coached at OM since 1971, including Freeze, only 5 have had winning records. Only 3 have broken .600 winning percentage. None have a division championship, much less an SEC or National Championship.
My point is that I'm not sure anyone coaching at Ole Miss can have the kind of high level, sustained success that we expect at LSU. David Cutcliffe, Tommy Tubberville, and Hugh Freeze are pretty good coaches in my opinion. But they didn't have the kind of success at OM that Miles had at LSU. And we fired Miles (appropriately) because he wasn't getting it done.
There are a few programs in the SEC that we should expect to compete for the elite spots in the modern era...Alabama, Florida, LSU, Auburn, and maybe Georgia. The rest may never have sustained, high-level success again, regardless of who the coach is.
Steve Spurrier is one of the greatest college football coaches ever. He worked miracles at South Carolina. But nobody really ever worried about USCe being a sustained national threat. I see no reason to think that USCe, Vandy, MSST, OM, KY, Mizzou will ever be truly competitive regardless of coach. You could make arguments for occasional success for A&M, Tenn, Arky. But sustained success? Perhaps I'm too much of a homer, though.
The lesson here is that if you want to be considered for elite coaching positions, be careful where you take positions on your way to the top. Coach in the MAC, I guess. You may get a chance to prove that your a good coach at a major program or you may just prove that you were really good in the MAC. But at least you might get a chance.
Even great coaches need some help from their competition to have great success. Consider Saban's tenure at LSU 2000-2004.
What great coach did he coach against?
Bama: Dubose, Franchione, Price, and Shula
Auburn: Tubberville (3 and 2 vs. Saban I'm pretty sure)
MSSt: Sherrill, Croom
OM: Cutcliffe
Arky: Nutt (2 and 3 vs. Saban)
Florida: Spurrier (2 and 0 vs. Saban...good thing for Saban he went to the pros) Zook (1 and 2 vs. Saban)
Would Saban have been just as successful no matter where he coached? Would Ole Miss have a Nat'l Championship if Saban had been there from 2000-2004? I think not.
Where you coach and when you coach there is highly determinant of your W-L record.
The biggest knock against hiring O to be our HC is undoubtedly his record at Ole Miss. This is reason enough for many posters to dismiss him from any consideration. The idea that he learned from his mistakes there is routinely mocked on this board.
I contend that the biggest mistake that he made was ever taking the job in the first place. Obviously it was a great opportunity for him and I can't blame him for taking it. But his record there haunts him. No doubt it was a dismal record.
However, I think coaching records should be considered in context. Boxing promoters don't put their up and coming fighters in the ring early on against tough competition if they want to build their record up.
The fact is that since Johnny Vaught left the program in the early 70's, no coach has had success there. Of the 10 coaches who have coached at OM since 1971, including Freeze, only 5 have had winning records. Only 3 have broken .600 winning percentage. None have a division championship, much less an SEC or National Championship.
My point is that I'm not sure anyone coaching at Ole Miss can have the kind of high level, sustained success that we expect at LSU. David Cutcliffe, Tommy Tubberville, and Hugh Freeze are pretty good coaches in my opinion. But they didn't have the kind of success at OM that Miles had at LSU. And we fired Miles (appropriately) because he wasn't getting it done.
There are a few programs in the SEC that we should expect to compete for the elite spots in the modern era...Alabama, Florida, LSU, Auburn, and maybe Georgia. The rest may never have sustained, high-level success again, regardless of who the coach is.
Steve Spurrier is one of the greatest college football coaches ever. He worked miracles at South Carolina. But nobody really ever worried about USCe being a sustained national threat. I see no reason to think that USCe, Vandy, MSST, OM, KY, Mizzou will ever be truly competitive regardless of coach. You could make arguments for occasional success for A&M, Tenn, Arky. But sustained success? Perhaps I'm too much of a homer, though.
The lesson here is that if you want to be considered for elite coaching positions, be careful where you take positions on your way to the top. Coach in the MAC, I guess. You may get a chance to prove that your a good coach at a major program or you may just prove that you were really good in the MAC. But at least you might get a chance.
Even great coaches need some help from their competition to have great success. Consider Saban's tenure at LSU 2000-2004.
What great coach did he coach against?
Bama: Dubose, Franchione, Price, and Shula
Auburn: Tubberville (3 and 2 vs. Saban I'm pretty sure)
MSSt: Sherrill, Croom
OM: Cutcliffe
Arky: Nutt (2 and 3 vs. Saban)
Florida: Spurrier (2 and 0 vs. Saban...good thing for Saban he went to the pros) Zook (1 and 2 vs. Saban)
Would Saban have been just as successful no matter where he coached? Would Ole Miss have a Nat'l Championship if Saban had been there from 2000-2004? I think not.
Where you coach and when you coach there is highly determinant of your W-L record.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:25 pm to Tiger4Liberty
You seem to confuse "Not Les Miles Success" with "winning 5 games in a season"
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:26 pm to Tiger4Liberty
This is a lot of smoke and mirrors. If you're a good coach, you at least still have success, just a matter of how much and to what degree its sustained.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:27 pm to Tiger4Liberty
Cutcliffe had success at OM before O arrived. Nutt had two consecutive nine win seasons after O departed. Both O's predecessor and his immediate successor at OM surpassed O. As has Freeze. O is the outlier in OMS recent history.
This post was edited on 10/26/16 at 12:29 pm
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:28 pm to Tiger4Liberty
You do realize Cutcliffe had 5 winning seasons before they fired him dont you? OM wasnt a dumpster fire when Orgeron was hired. It was when he left.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:30 pm to Tiger4Liberty
quote:
Despite his 44–29 record, five straight winning seasons, and guiding the team to its first 10 win season in over 30 years, Cutcliffe was fired by Ole Miss's Athletic Director Pete Boone in December 2004 after the team posted a disappointing 4–7 record and three consecutive losses to LSU
Cutcliffe and Boone had a soured relationship because Cutcliffe wouldnt fire certain assistants. Thats why he was fired. He had the program going in the right direction. Oh, and also he was processed by Saban with the three consecutive losses to LSU.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:35 pm to Tiger4Liberty
quote:
(TL,DR: Downvote away.)
done.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:39 pm to Chad504boy
quote:
If you're a good coach, you at least still have success, just a matter of how much and to what degree its sustained.
Exactly. Let's assume O wins out at LSU. He would still have a LOSING RECORD. Just let that sink in OP. He could go 6-2 at USC, Undefeated at LSU, and the only time he ran a major program for more than 8 games he screwed it up so bad that an undefeated and 6-2 interim record couldn't give him a winning overall record. That is bad...REALLY REALLY BAD.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:42 pm to SammyTiger
I acknowledged that his record was dismal at OM. But who knows what it would have been in the MAC in the right era.
That's my only point. Context means a lot.
That's my only point. Context means a lot.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:45 pm to Tiger4Liberty
You're argument holds absolutely no water considering the next two coaches to come into Ole Miss out performed him. Sure, it's a tough program to succeed at, but no one expects you win 10 games a season at Ole Miss. They do, however, expect you to win 7-8, hell maybe even 6.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:47 pm to Tiger4Liberty
quote:
That's my only point. Context means a lot.
except you ignore the point that other coaches had better success before and after O was there
so what was the context of their success?
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:47 pm to Tiger4Liberty
Except you didn't mention how he lost to several terrible teams such as wyoming.
Let me provide you with a couple high points of Os career at Ole Miss:
You still wanna try and defend all his time at ole miss?
Let me provide you with a couple high points of Os career at Ole Miss:
quote:
At Ole Miss, Orgeron recorded only two wins against teams with winning records (the 2005 and 2007 Memphis teams, which both finished at 7-5)—the fewest among active SEC coaches at the time.
quote:.
In 2007, Ole Miss finished the season 0–8 against fellow SEC teams, and 3–9 overall.[27] It was the program's first winless (conference) season since 1982
You still wanna try and defend all his time at ole miss?
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:48 pm to Tiger Tracker
quote:
You still wanna try and defend all his time at ole miss?
He clearly did zero research here and this thread should be deleted.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 12:56 pm to adamb2151
All that wasted typing, though. I would feel a little bad for him if they just deleted it. Lol
Posted on 10/26/16 at 1:02 pm to Tiger Tracker
quote:
You still wanna try and defend all his time at ole miss?
Not defending his record at all. It was a terrible record.
I'm just saying that comparing a terrible record from a perennially bottom dwelling SEC program against stiff SEC competition to a winning MAC record must be taken with a grain of salt.
I'm not ignoring how he fared relative to his fellow OM coaches either. But I haven't seen Tubberville or Cutcliffe or Nutt making anybody's short list.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 1:05 pm to Tiger4Liberty
quote:
I'm not ignoring how he fared relative to his fellow OM coaches either. But I haven't seen Tubberville or Cutcliffe or Nutt making anybody's short list.
yet O is...now do you get it?
Posted on 10/26/16 at 1:07 pm to Tiger4Liberty
He has said what his mistake was, micromanaging.
Posted on 10/26/16 at 1:08 pm to dr smartass phd
quote:
He has said what his mistake was, micromanaging.
and I commend O for having the awareness to be able to recognize his mistakes
but he needs to prove it at a lesser program first for a few years
Posted on 10/26/16 at 1:15 pm to Tiger4Liberty
quote:
I'm just saying that comparing a terrible record from a perennially bottom dwelling SEC program against stiff SEC competition to a winning MAC record must be taken with a grain of salt.
Yet again ignoring that the coaches before and after him had success in that bottom dweller program you speak of
Posted on 10/26/16 at 1:16 pm to Tiger4Liberty
quote:
The fact is that since Johnny Vaught left the program in the early 70's, no coach has had success there
another fact is that since 1893 (when Ole Miss football was created) Ed Orgeron has the lowest winning percentage of any person to coach Ole Miss for more than 10 games.
so at a school known for being pretty bad, he was historically the worst coach they ever had.
people would be a lot more understanding and forgiving if he was just "not successful", but he was in fact absolutely dreadful.
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