Preview: Arkansas (13-7,2-5) @ LSU (13-6,4-3) - Sat 4pm - ESPNU | TigerDroppings.com
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Preview: Arkansas (13-7,2-5) @ LSU (13-6,4-3) - Sat 4pm - ESPNU

Who: LSU Tigers vs Arkansas Razorbacks
When: Saturday, February 1 - 4:00pm
Where: Pete Maravich Assembly Center (13,215 - 46 NCAA)
How: TV:ESPNU, Radio:98.1FM, Stream:ESPN3.com

After LSU's most impressive win of the season, it looks like they are back in the hunt for the NCAA Tournament. WooHoo! ESPN had them as the first 4 to miss the tournament which means they are in striking distance. Saturday, they have a formidable opponent come in to the Assembly Center for an afternoon bubble battle.

Arkansas dons some impressive victories this year. They have 4 top 50 wins and gave Florida their toughest SEC test losing by 2 in overtime. However, they have struggled on the road. Under Mike Anderson they only have 3 wins away from home in this his third year with the Razorbacks. The way they win is obvious; turnovers.

On offense, they lead the SEC turning it over on only 15.5% of their possessions. On defense, they lead the SEC in forcing turnovers forcing 22.4% of opponent possession to end in a turnover. That's a 5 turnover gap per game (12 vs 17). They force these turnovers with a full court press and a ton of depth. They will consistently go 10-11 deep and throw out a "40 minutes of hell" press to keep opponents out of rhythm.

LSU has played relatively well against presses, however, turnovers have been an issue for the Tigers. They currently average turning it over on 18.4% of possessions in SEC play (9th out of 14 SEC teams). Most of that comes from LSU's post players. Anthony Hickey leads the SEC in Assist to Turnover ratio with an impressive 3.32 ratio. No SEC player has ended a season better than 3.14 in the past 12 years. Andre Stringer sits at a 2.4 A:TO which is good enough for 3rd in the SEC. Those two will be important in beating Arkansas' press.

LSU has also been very good at getting steals and blocks. They lead the SEC in both categories in SEC games. They block 18.1% of two point attempts (2.1% better than 2nd place) and steal 13.4% of opponent possessions (0.9% better than 2nd place). While Arkansas' turnover % is better, LSU's steal % leads to more fast breaks and easy scoring opportunities.

Keys to the Game:

Turnovers: I've already covered this pretty thoroughly, but to reiterate the point, LSU cannot allow Arkansas to force LSU out of too many opportunities. LSU could really use some easy baskets in transition after steals and blocks.

Deep Shooting: Arkansas shoots three's at a 36.5% mark. They have 6 players shooting 40% or better in Madden (34/72), Clarke (10/23), Gulley (15/36), Kingsley (1/2), Haydar (20/40), and Wade (6/15). LSU only has 3 players shooting over 40% in Johnny O'Bryant (1/1), Andre Stringer (39/96), and Darcy Malone (2/5).

Rebounding: LSU has been their best when being a good rebounding team. It has to be a team effort in grabbing boards for LSU to play their best basketball.

LSU getting the ball inside: The Tigers cannot settle for three's this game. They have an obvious advantage inside and they need to take advantage.

Prediction:

LSU could run away with this one if they are able to beat the press. LSU has the athleticism to finish around the rim as well as a couple really good shooters in transition. LSU cannot settle for jumpers in their offensive sets.

LSU 88, Arkansas 75
Filed Under: LSU Basketball

Comments (96) - Add Comments

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bighead7 - 8 months ago
Freakin awesome prediction :usa:
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harry coleman beast - 8 months ago
quote:

LSU 88, Arkansas 75


:ahh:
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Schooter - 8 months ago
South of South :bow: :bow:

You nailed the pre-game write up!

Nice work!
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SouthOfSouth - 8 months ago
I point off... Almost had my second perfect prediction in two weeks
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jlu03 - 8 months ago
Great prediction score.
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Pintail - 8 months ago
Flappy Bird shoutout..

24 here :nana:
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donRANDOMnumbers - 8 months ago
How do you get first row to work? Anyone with advise?
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IgotKINGfisherSpeed - 8 months ago
It seems the game before LSU's always run into our game.
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Geauxld Finger - 8 months ago
It swapped over. Log into watch espn and go to espnu
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tigerdup07 - 8 months ago
first row sports
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donRANDOMnumbers - 8 months ago
Ok. Where to watch it if you don't have ESPNU at home? Therefor it will it work on the app.
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Geauxld Finger - 8 months ago
Espn watch app isn't showing it either til this piece of shite goes off
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LSU999 - 8 months ago
Watch ESPN app.
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purplengold1 - 8 months ago
ESPN3
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donRANDOMnumbers - 8 months ago
HOW TO WATCH THE GAME ONLINE?
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LSU999 - 8 months ago
The old people can't find their seats with the lights out.

I still haven't figured out why they do this waaaay before the player intros.
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meaux5 - 8 months ago
Yeah crowd looking good so far
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cooltitan1337 - 8 months ago
In the student section


STTDB :geauxtigers: :nana: :pimp:
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thunderbird1100 - 8 months ago
Watching A&M @ UF.

It's going to take a small miracle for us to win in Gainesville. ESPECIALLY with Walker now being eligible.
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Smalls - 8 months ago
Fricking Highland traffic. :banghead:
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purplengold1 - 8 months ago
Ya. Just mentioned that there are more people sitting in areas up top that I haven't seen filled in a while.
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meaux5 - 8 months ago
Crowd will be here
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purplengold1 - 8 months ago
Checking in... Not many others here
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meaux5 - 8 months ago
Meaux5 checking in from the PMAC :geauxtigers:
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Smalls - 8 months ago
Fricking 10 East traffic. :banghead:
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