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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/14 at 10:33 pm
[img]http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc14/EPAC/15E.ODILE/tc_ssmis/color/1degreeticks/20140915.0043.f17.x.colorpct_91h_91v_1deg.15EODILE.110kts-925mb-220N-1092W.70pc.jpg[/img]...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/14 at 9:02 pm
[quote]Please miss Cabo! [/quote] Looks like a direct hit [img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BxifklIIMAA7hcp.png[/img] [quote]Going in 4 weeks[/quote] Looks like they are ready :lol: [img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BxidctiCYAEJdAT.jpg[/img]...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/14 at 8:12 pm
Cabo! [img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BxiPz78IgAAMJJ0.png[/img] [img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/BxiU42sCYAIZx1P.jpg[/img]...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/13 at 10:34 pm
Cat 4 Odile in the EPAC [img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Bxg68DLIAAAHeat.png[/img] [img]http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/floaters/15E/imagery/rb_lalo-animated.gif[/img]...

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re: Homebrewing: In-Process Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/12 at 9:43 pm
[quote]To get this thread back on track what does everyone currently have on tap or in the works. [/quote] No taps :lol: I've got a few bottles of the following left: 100% Brett Chamomile/Lavender Ale - really like this one, very refreshing 100% Brett Pale Ale V2, i drank the last bottles...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/12 at 9:20 pm
[quote]Beanie weenie time? Yes / no?[/quote] Not unless you just love the beanie weenie :lol:...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/12 at 9:07 pm
[img]http://derecho.math.uwm.edu/models/archive/2014/al922014/al922014_2014091300.png[/img]...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/12 at 11:48 am
[quote]ULL[/quote] That has moved into Mexico and convection in the BoC is associated with a weak surface low. ...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/12 at 11:45 am
[quote]Would the kickback be contingent upon it developing or not? If it develops is kicks back, and if not it keeps going west?[/quote] Hard to say, a stronger system probably has more of a SW component to the track based on current forecast for the 500 mb and above pattern. What impact that has...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/12 at 9:12 am
[quote]You gotta dumb it down a little bit[/quote] It doesn't get any dumber than "kick back" :lol: ...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/12 at 8:33 am
Looking at few things this morning and the "kick back" that the models are showing is when things could get interesting. The upper level flow is forecasted to become more favorable across the northern Gulf around then. That appears to be what the 06z HWRF is sniffing out. ETA: The Euro EPS membe...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/11 at 9:46 pm
[quote]Also the GFS and EURO show more favorable conditions in the GOM[/quote] The conditions being depicted across the northern Gulf in a few days are certainly interesting. I don't have any data at my finger tips but it seems like the models struggle with the upper levels more than they do wit...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/11 at 5:19 pm
Shear has really started to work 92L over this afternoon and convection appears to be moving farther away from the weak surface low. There was kind of a sweet spot in the upper level flow earlier today and convection really got going there for a few hours. 92L did pickup some model support today...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/11 at 9:24 am
92L is still spinning away but shear to the N of it has been increasing and now the best convection is SW of the LLC. This will have to track way S to have any chance. [img]http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/storminfo/92L_tracks_latest.png[/img] [quote]Looks like there is spin near the Yucatan w...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/9 at 10:38 pm
[quote]Latest euro takes it into LA/MS as a TS[/quote] Looks more like a vort max and not a TS, maybe a TD? The Euro has been pretty crappy in the tropics this season but at least it hasn't been "spin up" happy like the GFS. There isn't a whole lot of support for the operational from the EPS. ...

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re: Homebrewing: In-Process Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/6 at 6:36 am
I really want to brew another batch of my Brett pale ale next weekend. That means I have to bottle my red farmhouse ale today and rotate everything to free up a fermentor. ...

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re: Homebrewing: In-Process Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/6 at 6:33 am
[quote]Racking my first try at a sour to a secondary with Pecan chips.[/quote] When did you brew a sour?! Pecan chips? Interesting for sure. I'll have to schedule a tour of the brewery and get some samples. ...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/6 at 6:26 am
[quote]Here we go....... [/quote] Yep, peak season and almost no legit threats :lol: We've been watching the BoC since Dolly but things are looking less interesting as time goes on, it is looking more like the EPAC will end up being the favored area for genesis. 90L (what your map shows ...

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re: What are your favorite songs that take shots at other big time musicians?
Posted by rds dc on 9/5 at 9:28 pm
[quote]Pavement's Range Life [/quote] 1st thing i thought of when i saw this thread :bow:...

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re: 2014 Hurricane Season Long Thread
Posted by rds dc on 9/2 at 9:16 pm
99L stumbled and fumbled through the BoC long enough to form the short lived Dolly. This was a sloppy system that probably looked best over the few hours right before landfall. It was designated a "tropical storm" last night and had an elongated center with multiple vortexes rotating around it. T...

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