1/11/13 Basketball Bet Thread: the last time mac starts the thread edition
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1/11/13 Basketball Bet Thread: the last time mac starts the thread edition
Posted by maclauer on 1/11 at 9:45 am
My full card for tonight...

V43totals: 64-34-5 (.653), +50.9 units YTD.
2 units: PHX/BKN 1H over 98
Utah/ATL 1H over 96
MIN/NOH 1H over 92
DET/MIL 1H over 99
CLE/DEN 1H over 103
CLT/TOR 1Q under 50
2 units: PHX/BKN 1Q over 49.5
MIN/NOH 1Q over 46.5
2 units: DET/MIL 2Q over 49
CLE/DEN 2Q over 51
2 units: PHX/BKN 3Q under 48
MIN/NOH 3Q under 45
2 units: DET/MIL 3Q under 48
2 units: PHX/BKN 4Q under 47.5
2 units: Utah/ATL 4Q under 48.5
CLE/DEN 4Q under 51

Full-game selections: 7-7 (.500), -0.7 units in 2013.
Rockets +3


This post was edited on 1/11 at 11:53 pm

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Posted by memphstigers23 on 1/11 at 9:49 am to maclauer



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Posted by dgtiger3 on 1/11 at 9:51 am to memphstigers23
In!

Small college slate tonight.
Will be capping all of Saturdays games today as I will be out of town for a wedding this weekend.



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Posted by maclauer on 1/11 at 9:53 am to memphstigers23
quote:

memphstigers23




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Posted by accnodefense on 1/11 at 9:55 am to maclauer
Small rundown today: LINK


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Posted by DaTigahDen on 1/11 at 10:03 am to maclauer
What do the experts here think about Memphis (-1.5) at home vs San Antonio?


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Posted by SenorTiger9 on 1/11 at 10:08 am to DaTigahDen
I wouldnt take it


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Posted by maclauer on 1/11 at 10:12 am to DaTigahDen
quote:

What do the experts here think about Memphis (-1.5) at home vs San Antonio?

I have no idea, to be honest. I have conflicting data on that game.

ETA: sides aren't my specialty, so my opinion shouldn't really matter


This post was edited on 1/11 at 10:15 am

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Posted by memphstigers23 on 1/11 at 10:37 am to DaTigahDen
quote:

What do the experts here think about Memphis (-1.5) at home vs San Antonio?


San Antonio can't stop me. I'll win by 10.



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Posted by maclauer on 1/11 at 11:00 am to maclauer
Tonight's totals look good


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Posted by Carson123987 on 1/11 at 11:08 am to DaTigahDen
If a line is too good to be true, it is


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Posted by gizmoflak on 1/11 at 11:15 am to Carson123987
POR +7.5
LAL +6
CLE +11
NYK -4
MIN +2.5
SAS +1.5
HOU +2.5
UTA +4.5
BKN -7
CHA +8

that's all I got


This post was edited on 1/11 at 11:24 am

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Posted by maclauer on 1/11 at 11:21 am to gizmoflak
quote:

that's all I got

Is that all?

ETA: I like the majority of plays on your card, but the Bobcats are only getting 8, not 11


This post was edited on 1/11 at 11:23 am

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Posted by 23hvlhoff94 on 1/11 at 11:23 am to gizmoflak
Let's all have a more profitable, less stressful day than yesterday.

frick Iowa and Colorado



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Posted by gizmoflak on 1/11 at 11:24 am to maclauer
quote:

the Bobcats are only getting 8, not 11


you're right, I got it mixed up with CLE



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Posted by dgtiger3 on 1/11 at 11:25 am to DaTigahDen
quote:

What do the experts here think about Memphis (-1.5) at home vs San Antonio?


I'm not sure we have an expert on full game NBA lines...if such a thing even exists..


I think I have bet one NBA game in the last two weeks, I'd rather just play whatever Quarter and Half lines Mac likes and collect profit.

I saw a pretty good quote on twitter last night about betting on the NBA.

"Betting on the NBA is kinda like eating Taco Bell, it sounds like an awesome idea and its fun to pick and choose off the menu, but you always end up feeling like shite afterwards."



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Posted by gizmoflak on 1/11 at 11:28 am to dgtiger3
quote:

What do the experts here think about Memphis (-1.5) at home vs San Antonio?


I'm no expert, but my predictor has MEM at +0.2

TTFWIW



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Posted by maclauer on 1/11 at 11:36 am to dgtiger3
quote:

I'm not sure we have an expert on full game NBA lines...if such a thing even exists..


I think I have bet one NBA game in the last two weeks, I'd rather just play whatever Quarter and Half lines Mac likes and collect profit.

I saw a pretty good quote on twitter last night about betting on the NBA.

"Betting on the NBA is kinda like eating Taco Bell, it sounds like an awesome idea and its fun to pick and choose off the menu, but you always end up feeling like shite afterwards."

It's hard. I never play a full-game line or total for more than one unit. It's usually just for fun more than me thinking I'm gonna have long-run profitability.

The issue is that different parts of the game are played so differently in the NBA. Breaking the game down into segments is the only place I've found consistent value.


This post was edited on 1/11 at 11:39 am

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Posted by TJG210 on 1/11 at 11:38 am to dgtiger3
quote:

"Betting on the NBA is kinda like eating Taco Bell, it sounds like an awesome idea and its fun to pick and choose off the menu, but you always end up feeling like shite afterwards."


+10000

Last night was the second time in a month where I bet a NBA side where the team I was on held a 17+ lead in the second and not only didn't cover, but gagged on the game SU.

Though Sacramento blowing a 17pt lead they held in the 3rd quarter last night, still doesn't hold a candle to that shite show a few weeks back where Charlotte was up 18 with 4 minutes and in some crazy circumstance ended up losing SU.



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Posted by maclauer on 1/11 at 12:03 pm to TJG210
quote:

Though Sacramento blowing a 17pt lead they held in the 3rd quarter last night, still doesn't hold a candle to that shite show a few weeks back where Charlotte was up 18 with 4 minutes and in some crazy circumstance ended up losing SU.

That game will forever live in infamy on the MSB. Let us forever remember the ills of taking the Bobcats as a favorite.



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