Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
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Official Week 11 NFL Bet Thread
Posted by Billy Mays on 11/15 at 9:23 am
Early leans:

Cleveland +7.5 @ Dallas
San Diego +7.5 @ Denver
Green Bay -3.5 @ Lions
Philadelphia +3.5 @ Washington

Also,

Colin Cowherd ?@ESPN_Colin

Have already selected blazin 5----wow---we may have lock of the year material.



Cowherd is 35-15 on the year FWIW



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Posted by touchdown moses on 11/15 at 9:45 am to Billy Mays
took the bills tonight at -2.5 -115


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Posted by BeaumontBengal on 11/15 at 9:48 am to Billy Mays
Has he announced his selections?

You like Phi with Nick Foles?

I like:

NO -4.5 @ Oak
GB -3.5 @ Det
Bal -3.5 @ Pitt (no Big Ben)

All square bets, but I've been doing ok the last few weeks picking 3-4 square bets a week. I guess I kind of like Cle +9 (what's on 5dimes right now) too.




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Posted by Billy Mays on 11/15 at 10:01 am to BeaumontBengal
quote:

You like Phi with Nick Foles?



Yes, especially with Washington's atrocious secondary. Foles is going to put up solid numbers.

The Eagles are in desperation mode and more talented. The public is all over Washington right now.



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Posted by BeaumontBengal on 11/15 at 10:04 am to Billy Mays
I would imagine they are. My brother even said he may even take the Redskins in survivor when we were watching the Cowboys game last week. I'm thinking of staying away from that game.


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Posted by Zipfer2022 on 11/15 at 10:11 am to Billy Mays
quote:

Yes, especially with Washington's atrocious secondary. Foles is going to put up solid numbers.


You are nuts. A rookie QB behind that offensive line?!

Washington -3.5 and New Orleans -4.5 are the two best plays of the NFL season and they come in the same week



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Posted by Billy Mays on 11/15 at 10:12 am to BeaumontBengal
Not surprised. The public hates Philadelphia right now but their talent is undeniable. Seems like a good move to take better than a FG against a mediocre divisional rival. Vick being out is not a detriment because he's been bad. Washington is 0-3 ATS as a favorite this year, so they aren't exactly proven frontrunners.

If it goes up to 4 or 4.5 I'd probably lay an extra unit.

Love GB @ Detroit tho. Detroit's defense is absolutely god awful. Clay Matthews being out will hurt but still like it.



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Posted by Billy Mays on 11/15 at 10:16 am to Zipfer2022
quote:


You are nuts. A rookie QB behind that offensive line?!



Vick sucked this year. If you think they are taking a big hit (or any at all) with Foles I think you are nuts. Sure the OL is terrible, but Shady will be fed early and often. They need him on track.

I'd imagine the line would've been Wash -1 if Vick was healthy. Is Vick worth 2.5 points? The public sees Foles as a downgrade - not convinced. We don't even know if Vick is 100% yet. Wash will have to prep for both.

ETA: I don't think Philly is that great I just think the line is in their favor on this one. More betting points than teams.


This post was edited on 11/15 at 10:23 am

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Posted by TigerBait2008 on 11/15 at 10:24 am to Billy Mays
Early Leans:


Green Bay
Tampa Bay
Denver



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Posted by Zipfer2022 on 11/15 at 10:33 am to Billy Mays
I'm not sure how you can even blame Vick for this bad season. He literally has had no time to throw all year and has gotten crushed. The Eagles haven't been able to run the ball either. Their offensive line is the worst in football along with the Cards. You really have confidence in Foles? Good luck, man. No way in hell Wash loses this game. Maclin is banged up as well. HFA will be huge, and I beleive there is a good chance for rain in this game. Going to be a miserable day for Philly.

This post was edited on 11/15 at 10:34 am

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Posted by Billy Mays on 11/15 at 10:39 am to Zipfer2022
I understand it looks bad for the Eagles.

I'm not really blaming Vick for Philly sucking, I just think he's having a terrible season and his lack of preparation and leadership has been a detriment. He's not exactly Peyton Manning as a team member.

I expect this to a FG game. I'm leaning Philly because Washington is not that good. Divisional games are usually close.

I'm not really looking @ Philly as a team because I think they are meh, moreso the 3.5 (or potentially 4 or 4.5).

It's about the number.



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Posted by carmenjello on 11/15 at 11:13 am to Billy Mays
locked in on tuesday morning Baltimore Ravens ML +160 2* (now -190)




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Posted by Biff Tannen on 11/15 at 5:32 pm to carmenjello
I'm playing U45 tonight

I'm also leaning bills tonight, dolphins have been playing poorly lately.. if they don't reestablish the run again they are in for a long night

the bills are a pretty good home team, despite what the #s say imo



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Posted by HoLeInOnEr05 on 11/15 at 5:45 pm to Biff Tannen
I like it.


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Posted by Billy Mays on 11/15 at 6:01 pm to Biff Tannen
I'm teasing the Bills tonight.

The knee jerk reaction says stay away from Miami after getting pwned at home by Tennessee.

I'm a Bills fan, and I know better not to trust them, especially when the public likes them

If the number gets up over 3 in the next hour I might hop on the Dolphins.



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Posted by bamafan425 on 11/15 at 6:11 pm to Billy Mays
I'm on UNDER 45.5.


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Posted by BilJ on 11/15 at 7:11 pm to bamafan425
Phins !


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Posted by HoLeInOnEr05 on 11/15 at 7:14 pm to BilJ
Under for 1.5*


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Posted by BilJ on 11/15 at 7:15 pm to HoLeInOnEr05
Fine guys I'll go under


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Posted by Zipfer2022 on 11/15 at 7:17 pm to Biff Tannen
quote:

Over 4.5 season trend! Visitor in #Dolphins games 50-23 against the spread (68% ATS)


Probably going to regret ever getting involved, but just have a gut feeling Miami wins.

Dolphins +2.5



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