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| NFL Week 6 Betting Thread.. Posted by LSUAlum2001 9-2 with Houston pending tonight in Week 5.  on 10/8 at 12:05 pmI'll review the blacklisted spreadsheet (5-1 so far in W5) for week 6 and try to make adjustments based on injuries that may carry over to Week 6 like the injury to Cassel. My spreadsheet's (18-11 YTD) early look at W6: Atlanta -9.5 Baltimore -3.5 New England -4 San Francisco -6 (I hope this drops) Green Bay +5.5 This post was edited on 10/8 at 12:54 pm Reply • Back to Top |
Posted by LSU Coyote on 10/8 at 12:13 pm to LSUAlum2001 quote: That will go over 10 before it closes. Reply • Back to Top |
Posted by Brageous on 10/8 at 12:28 pm to LSUAlum2001 I got Atlanta at -8.5 and Baltimore -4 this week. May start with that on NFL and continue onto CFB betting now.  Reply • Back to Top |
| Y'all think Atlanta will get over 10? Reply • Back to Top |
| Atlanta is the only 3:1 ratio play on the NFL blacklisted spreadsheet in W6 so it makes this a big bet play. Other leans from the blacklist spreadsheet: Pittsburgh -5.5 Cincinnati -1 Miami -3.5 Houston -5.5 Denver +2.5 ..waiting on lines in the NYJ/IND, TB/KC and WAS/MIN games. This post was edited on 10/8 at 12:52 pm Reply • Back to Top |
| Blacklist sheet is 9-2 against the spread this week. Figured out how to apply the spreads (if Im doing it right) Reply • Back to Top |
| Baltimore has three consecutive weeks of winning the game, but losing ATS. The lines were good every week. -2.5 vs New England -12.5 vs Cleveland -4.5 vs Kansas City Of course there is no method to any of this madness, but I'm fading Baltimore TFN. Reply • Back to Top |
quote: Ex of a lean for W5 Cincinnati Team Rating: 24.4 (23.4 and 1 point for Home) Miami Team Rating: 24.2 Vegas Spread was CIN -3.5. Spreadsheet said P. Miami was a lean. Ex of a 3:1 big bet for W5 Minnesota team rating: 29.55 (28.55 + 1 for home field) Tennessee team rating: 10.1 Minnesota's team rating was ~3x Tennessee's. Vegas line was -3.5 for Minnesota Bet the house on Minnesota and they crushed Tennessee by 23. This post was edited on 10/8 at 4:20 pm Reply • Back to Top |
| Texans are a spreadsheet play for tonight? Reply • Back to Top |
quote: Yes. The other two 3:1 ratio games rolled to easy covers: Chicago and Minnesota. Reply • Back to Top |
| How do you tell as far as the spread goes? How many points they should give? Etc, etc .. Reply • Back to Top |
quote: Based on the team total ratings. Houston team total rating: 37.78 NY Jets team total rating: 13.6 (with +1 for home added in) The difference is 24. You can usually use this a guide to the score. Houston 34 NY Jets 10 I'd use the difference ratings for favorites up to -14 or so. Reply • Back to Top |
| i'm on a 7pt teaser so far, (i hardly ever do teasers, but somebody mentioned it yesterday and i loved it), Hou -1/O33 gonna see where the line goes and play it by ear Reply • Back to Top |
quote: Looks like a winner to me. Reply • Back to Top |
Posted by Brageous on 10/8 at 4:07 pm to LSUAlum2001 think I got houston -2.5 and O34.5 in a teaser a while backReply • Back to Top |
| i should have grabbed -8 last night when i had the chance and buy it down to -7, i thought people would pound the Jets today though.. i was wrong Reply • Back to Top |
| I'm on that teaser as well. I mentioned it yesterday and locked it in for tonight. Might take Texans in-game if Jets somehow score. Would love to get it at -7. Reply • Back to Top |
quote: I don't see how: Holmes, Keller, & Hill are all out. I'd take -9 now. Once Houston scores 1st, it'll never drop below -13 in game. Reply • Back to Top |
Didn't know Hill was out. There is approximately zero offense left for Jets  Reply • Back to Top |
| you just talked me into -9 i might make this a *10 night Reply • Back to Top • Refresh |
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